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Euroleague · resolved market

Paris Basketball vs. Monaco

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Monacoof Paris Basketball, Monaco
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,158
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$47,852

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,158 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Euroleague
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x033f…618ebacked Paris Basketball38c25,794$9,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,801.38425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick66cpaid-68%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed Monaco62c20,450$12,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,780.061127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick49cpaid-39.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Monaco62c10,000$6,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,800366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Paris Basketball38c4,973$1,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,865.84560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cae…a00abacked Monaco63c4,569$2,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,690.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cea…03d4backed Paris Basketball37c2,362$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.981353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Monaco64c1,166$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.3714847.3%70 W · 78 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Paris Basketball30c980$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29737052.7%195 W · 175 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed Paris Basketball44c849$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Paris Basketball37c800$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29616235.2%57 W · 105 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Monaco69c723.73$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.7313650%68 W · 68 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Paris Basketball38c683.78$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2595949.2%29 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Paris Basketball36c661.06$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.9327557.5%158 W · 117 L+12.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5df3…bb17backed Paris Basketball36c623.98$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2275450%27 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Paris Basketball16c615$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4913548.9%66 W · 69 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4a5…398fbacked Monaco65c571.45$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.76650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Monaco66c553.69$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.222937.9%11 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8d3…acf8backed Paris Basketball39c519.46$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012927.6%8 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Paris Basketball29c427.5$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.5836939.8%147 W · 222 L+1.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Monaco60c400.09$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.04771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+34.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Paris Basketball8c376.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6554251.5%279 W · 263 L+25.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb75d…9d01backed Monaco63c320.89$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.192387%20 W · 3 L+6.3wins+0.27per pick60cpaid+49.3%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x1154…0d31backed Monaco66c300$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1023450%17 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+19.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7662…7930backed Paris Basketball37c266.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cde…6040backed Monaco78c255.29$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.291776.5%13 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb81…a5d2backed Paris Basketball41c245.96$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x138a…8197backed Monaco65c230.77$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.774971.4%35 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick72cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Monaco65c140$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+56.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8643…85b2backed Paris Basketball38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Paris Basketball38c125$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.54953.1%26 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb81d…c6c0backed Monaco65c122$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.971172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.25per pick48cpaid+65.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4130…a35bbacked Monaco64c116$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.76616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.41per pick57cpaid-74%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Monaco63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379255.4%51 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8046…a845backed Monaco64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65ea…223fbacked Monaco64c98$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.281070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+66.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xed3f…0ab8backed Monaco64c91$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.76966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+39.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x454a…4039backed Monaco64c87$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.32742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3d8…c8c0backed Monaco63c87$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.55650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-22.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Monaco64c84$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.91060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+36.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ce0…2b8abacked Monaco72c82.95$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.958256.1%46 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Monaco57c80$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.48453.6%45 W · 39 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Paris Basketball37c77.5$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.687741.6%32 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2104…82d7backed Monaco65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.921963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Monaco61c74.44$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.0343543.7%190 W · 245 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee04…c7bcbacked Paris Basketball40c74.2$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00fe…eff7backed Monaco64c66$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.76650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Monaco63c64.53$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.913147.3%62 W · 69 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdf7…824ebacked Monaco65c62.83$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.99450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed4…8c3cbacked Monaco68c59.09$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.092540%10 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x28a2…91a4backed Monaco64c59$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.241233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-43.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa65b…b0c0backed Monaco64c56$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.16977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.18per pick59cpaid+39.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Monaco57c55.81$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242119%4 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x363a…b79ebacked Monaco65c55$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.25666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49ff…b00abacked Paris Basketball37c53.08$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.64250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72ea…d4f2backed Paris Basketball39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201650%8 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7563…1fb3backed Monaco64c51$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.36650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Paris Basketball33c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.66520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-61.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc853…0e2cbacked Monaco57c48.07$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x470e…07c0backed Monaco64c47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.92955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+50.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Monaco65c47$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.451428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-51.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xbaab…8b4cbacked Paris Basketball43c45.84$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7120%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked Paris Basketball43c44.21$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.24957.1%28 W · 21 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+19.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d10…e17cbacked Paris Basketball36c44$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc427…ee41backed Monaco64c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+30.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca6d…492bbacked Paris Basketball38c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-57.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Monaco73c38.63$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4326544.5%118 W · 147 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e71…8913backed Paris Basketball35c38$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.39366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Paris Basketball36c37$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4331446.2%145 W · 169 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x699c…3600backed Monaco63c37$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.69850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ecd…b2c0backed Paris Basketball36c36$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.78366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+93.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b3e…4773backed Monaco65c35.08$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+52.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10f7…26f0backed Monaco64c35$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2382…4628backed Paris Basketball37c34.52$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.772871.4%20 W · 8 L+6.7wins+0.24per pick47cpaid+59.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xc716…f0d7backed Monaco64c32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.52977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.29per pick49cpaid+82.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe13a…6bb5backed Paris Basketball36c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+78.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb780…e7a2backed Paris Basketball36c29$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e78…fcb4backed Paris Basketball35c29$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+18.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd568…655ebacked Paris Basketball36c29$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa60c…b395backed Paris Basketball36c29$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.36666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+19.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd4…9cebbacked Paris Basketball37c28$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.36520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-68.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc9d9…6febbacked Paris Basketball36c28$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91d7…5cf7backed Paris Basketball45c22.71$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfde5…676cbacked Monaco64c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.22560%15 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4105…1128backed Monaco64c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8687…1db0backed Monaco66c16.29$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.542454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.