TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
3DMAXof FUT Esports, 3DMAX
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$138,532
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$154,480

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,532 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbdd1…ae72backed FUT Esports0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2028852.1%150 W · 138 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed 3DMAX50c16,666$8,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,409.4145848.5%222 W · 236 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed FUT Esports51c15,000$7,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,649.9835153.8%189 W · 162 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd056…e004backed 3DMAX53c14,718$7,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,917.77580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked FUT Esports55c7,912$4,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,390.293,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fe8…3549backed FUT Esports47c6,573$3,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,089.2813954.7%76 W · 63 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked FUT Esports37c6,004$2,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,203.591,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3dd…a7e0backed FUT Esports51c5,712$2,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,913.099247.8%44 W · 48 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed 3DMAX53c4,037$2,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,897.5919455.2%107 W · 87 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked FUT Esports42c2,737$1,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,162.451,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed 3DMAX49c2,424$1,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,236.0564552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed FUT Esports48c2,108$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.9546949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed 3DMAX49c1,944$953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.4424846.8%116 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x334e…26f1backed 3DMAX53c1,887$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.792661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ca5…e6c9backed FUT Esports38c1,679$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.093844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed FUT Esports69c1,471$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,013.791,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked 3DMAX18c1,361$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,115.27,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfbb…55b0backed 3DMAX71c1,203$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.67156.3%40 W · 31 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed FUT Esports25c1,200$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3041,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked FUT Esports53c1,107$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.61,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97f2…d84fbacked FUT Esports48c1,088$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.886953.6%37 W · 32 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked 3DMAX52c1,082$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.9126045%117 W · 143 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4925…a69abacked 3DMAX11c877.79$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.7910331.1%32 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick31cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed 3DMAX73c799.99$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21658961.3%361 W · 228 L-1.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada4…c344backed 3DMAX49c790.88$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.356758.2%39 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked 3DMAX59c682$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.632,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9160…de3dbacked 3DMAX30c681.65$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.6518040.6%73 W · 107 L-11.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6183…575fbacked FUT Esports35c636.07$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2213240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb855…3332backed 3DMAX6c635.83$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.869832.7%32 W · 66 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c8…97b4backed 3DMAX49c612.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.2447165.2%307 W · 164 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2930…4cf8backed 3DMAX49c594$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.9415743.3%68 W · 89 L+0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked 3DMAX53c563.93$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.051,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed 3DMAX29c499.99$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35358651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fca…2e16backed FUT Esports48c499.99$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.994247.6%20 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3b1…19bbbacked 3DMAX53c469.81$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.815961%36 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed FUT Esports33c467.95$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.1629128.5%83 W · 208 L-30.2wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-38.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked 3DMAX43c441.44$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.6835341.6%147 W · 206 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5019…74cdbacked 3DMAX52c416.4$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.5811630.2%35 W · 81 L-0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked 3DMAX6c356.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.5922931.4%72 W · 157 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed FUT Esports53c350$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.55,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa60…556cbacked 3DMAX55c300$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.532352%168 W · 155 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed FUT Esports51c299.55$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.9911353.1%60 W · 53 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed FUT Esports56c269.71$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.8227348.4%132 W · 141 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed 3DMAX40c261.78$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.8385851.6%443 W · 415 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x699f…c3a9backed 3DMAX55c253.75$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.193652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3265…d5b8backed 3DMAX5c250$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.513043.1%56 W · 74 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d96…d524backed 3DMAX66c241.39$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.3915162.3%94 W · 57 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked FUT Esports50c239.49$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.732,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafa3…0915backed 3DMAX53c236.32$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.324955.1%27 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1351…bebcbacked 3DMAX54c231.95$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.0815749%77 W · 80 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked FUT Esports19c228.14$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3520238.6%78 W · 124 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed 3DMAX51c219.92$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.7644648.4%216 W · 230 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6027…b518backed 3DMAX40c212.29$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.687955.7%44 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked 3DMAX52c207$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.0660147.4%285 W · 316 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x13e9…7cd4backed 3DMAX49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.086657.6%38 W · 28 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+29.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked FUT Esports49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10065662.3%409 W · 247 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked 3DMAX49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed 3DMAX50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10047641.6%198 W · 278 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed 3DMAX51c198.01$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.384,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1816…2ee6backed 3DMAX52c193.29$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.786246.8%29 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11ff…4447backed FUT Esports47c169.06$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.4610534.3%36 W · 69 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked 3DMAX31c161.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.292142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed 3DMAX53c159$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.111,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03b0…482cbacked 3DMAX66c136.79$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.72445.8%11 W · 13 L-4.3wins-0.18per pick64cpaid-32.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked 3DMAX47c136.79$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.5712256.6%69 W · 53 L+9.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+19%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d79…899abacked FUT Esports47c134.04$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631030%3 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick55cpaid-45.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed 3DMAX55c132$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.571,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 3DMAX54c130.64$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.625,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabd6…ca90backed 3DMAX50c125$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.59260.9%56 W · 36 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4fb0…3182backed FUT Esports51c118.19$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.38166.3%1 W · 15 L-6.4wins-0.40per pick47cpaid-88.7%equal weight33-0.16 edge/pick
0x6de9…a8e5backed FUT Esports53c106.6$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.025556.4%31 W · 24 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd609…40f4backed 3DMAX53c90.57$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.57580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+24.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fb8…85b9backed 3DMAX49c90$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.66640.9%27 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xece7…3673backed FUT Esports49c90$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.11338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-34.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x62f9…ae42backed FUT Esports53c84.91$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4514751%75 W · 72 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x07c5…b946backed 3DMAX49c83.67$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.67875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+19.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a89…a4d6backed FUT Esports62c80.94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023842.4%101 W · 137 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed 3DMAX53c75.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.479565.3%62 W · 33 L+11.2wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+22.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x83fd…2aabbacked FUT Esports53c75.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011232.1%36 W · 76 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x842a…a742backed 3DMAX38c74.59$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.5216950.9%86 W · 83 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30ef…5a9ebacked FUT Esports51c71.59$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.51742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee9d…85f1backed 3DMAX56c71.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.432759.3%16 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed 3DMAX50c62.13$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2633352.6%175 W · 158 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed FUT Esports53c58$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5233949%166 W · 173 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5541…f1e3backed FUT Esports53c55.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5619150.8%97 W · 94 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8ab…f5c1backed 3DMAX46c53.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.819144%40 W · 51 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b4c…77bdbacked 3DMAX49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.024348.8%21 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf2f…6f32backed 3DMAX49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e28…33e5backed 3DMAX80c48$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaab…8b4cbacked FUT Esports53c47.51$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+32.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dbd…4476backed 3DMAX43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5115958.5%93 W · 66 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd11…79a5backed 3DMAX65c45.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.116448.8%80 W · 84 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed FUT Esports50c45$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.651,30426.5%345 W · 959 L-89.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed FUT Esports47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa811…011dbacked FUT Esports47c40.6$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.082867.9%19 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb63f…7ad4backed 3DMAX56c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x425f…0f7abacked 3DMAX31c35$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.1511747%55 W · 62 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf50…aca0backed 3DMAX59c33.69$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.696361.9%39 W · 24 L+8.8wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+20%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed 3DMAX45c30.26$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5237646.3%174 W · 202 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed 3DMAX54c29.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.819442.8%83 W · 111 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.