CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6756e8cedba8802ec73e85495c7f35c7e8af172f411ec9bf8a35baf434916321
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FUT Esportsof FUT Esports, 3DMAX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $125,927
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $128,780
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,927 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked 3DMAX | 77c | 20,327$15,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,622.48 | 224 | 68.8%154 W · 70 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked FUT Esports | 45c | 15,361$6,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,523.29 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked FUT Esports | 32c | 8,934$2,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,039.77 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed FUT Esports | 42c | 5,687$2,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,281.93 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed FUT Esports | 27c | 3,608$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,638.29 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked 3DMAX | 45c | 3,224$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.67 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f2…d84fbacked FUT Esports | 32c | 2,887$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,961.72 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FUT Esports | 30c | 2,405$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,684.34 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed FUT Esports | 43c | 2,093$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.06 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked 3DMAX | 63c | 1,251$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.28 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked FUT Esports | 68c | 1,246$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.96 | 271 | 33.2%90 W · 181 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked 3DMAX | 9c | 970$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.09 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed 3DMAX | 11c | 879.99$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.8 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed 3DMAX | 22c | 767.8$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.64 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x553f…99b9backed 3DMAX | 32c | 500.94$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x427c…9517backed 3DMAX | 17c | 467.87$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed FUT Esports | 55c | 462.44$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.8 | 273 | 48.4%132 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5019…74cdbacked 3DMAX | 21c | 450.67$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.64 | 116 | 30.2%35 W · 81 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked 3DMAX | 37c | 408.75$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.1 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed FUT Esports | 40c | 403.86$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.97 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb55f…5705backed 3DMAX | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 60 | 5%3 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6183…575fbacked FUT Esports | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed FUT Esports | 37c | 279$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.91 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked 3DMAX | 37c | 274.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed 3DMAX | 24c | 234.85$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.93 | 291 | 28.5%83 W · 208 L | -30.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ca…eb95backed 3DMAX | 77c | 196.71$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.47 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed FUT Esports | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed 3DMAX | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked FUT Esports | 32c | 125$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…2e16backed 3DMAX | 27c | 124.26$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed FUT Esports | 65c | 123.82$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.6 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bf…b567backed 3DMAX | 18c | 112.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0367…74e4backed 3DMAX | 61c | 106.56$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked FUT Esports | 48c | 104.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.67 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked 3DMAX | 52c | 95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 341 | 47.5%162 W · 179 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FUT Esports | 31c | 94.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.35 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed FUT Esports | 47c | 75.01$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.57 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed 3DMAX | 61c | 70$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 137 | 40.9%56 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed FUT Esports | 47c | 63.51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.51 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…d1ffbacked FUT Esports | 22c | 59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.82 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…c3a9backed 3DMAX | 55c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed FUT Esports | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 374 | 45.7%171 W · 203 L | -29.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed FUT Esports | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked FUT Esports | 70c | 42.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe63…2de4backed 3DMAX | 48c | 42.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 113 | 58.4%66 W · 47 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa886…822bbacked 3DMAX | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed 3DMAX | 64c | 32.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 376 | 46.3%174 W · 202 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed FUT Esports | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec6…e52cbacked FUT Esports | 53c | 28.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb63f…7ad4backed FUT Esports | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da8…baeebacked 3DMAX | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In3DMAX won
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winner3DMAX won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.