Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump resign today?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8bc367aaeae9b482be6f1d2ca2be73a4ab807922c828770a0b8bceb1a0bfdbd0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,746,847
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,011,122
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,746,847 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 278 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b5a…00f2backed Yes | 0c | 1,596,626$7,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,728.02 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd968…d5ecbacked Yes | 1c | 600,000$3,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,659.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x113a…89c0backed Yes | 0c | 410,744$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…f5d2backed Yes | 0c | 362,694$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 0c | 352,635$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.9 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked Yes | 0c | 216,398$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.51 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 14cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…0beabacked Yes | 1c | 207,898$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5d…91d8backed Yes | 1c | 126,465$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x557f…70d8backed Yes | 1c | 118,990$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…1015backed Yes | 1c | 102,721$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc472…ced9backed Yes | 1c | 100,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…8f87backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 99,000$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298 | 61 | 0%0 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5286…0d47backed Yes | 0c | 93,444$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6028…10eebacked Yes | 1c | 84,942$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4685…4de3backed Yes | 1c | 83,333$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c54…7e8cbacked Yes | 0c | 79,885$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.54 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa197…e5b8backed Yes | 1c | 64,142$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3e…8d9bbacked Yes | 0c | 61,666$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6866…6d3dbacked Yes | 1c | 57,778$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f7…129abacked Yes | 1c | 57,200$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…0abdbacked Yes | 1c | 55,977$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.78 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -48%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 1c | 53,275$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.67 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed Yes | 1c | 50,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 1c | 48,000$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.6 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35cc…1704backed Yes | 1c | 43,199$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a7…60fcbacked Yes | 1c | 42,857$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb29…625bbacked Yes | 1c | 42,036$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.25 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a75…a578backed Yes | 1c | 37,500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x301a…edf5backed Yes | 1c | 37,009$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…79cabacked Yes | 1c | 33,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…16a6backed Yes | 1c | 29,700$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe900…a68ebacked Yes | 1c | 28,948$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 0c | 28,626$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.7 | 151 | 24.5%37 W · 114 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc2…8898backed Yes | 1c | 28,590$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf42…1a14backed Yes | 0c | 27,092$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9399…2fc6backed Yes | 1c | 26,596$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…c304backed Yes | 1c | 25,534$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0242…565dbacked Yes | 1c | 25,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e5…72ddbacked Yes | 0c | 25,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f6…564cbacked Yes | 1c | 24,875$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96e0…0d80backed Yes | 0c | 24,758$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4631…fd9dbacked Yes | 1c | 24,261$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ff…a0f9backed Yes | 0c | 23,958$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd4…5666backed Yes | 1c | 23,722$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3764…85eabacked Yes | 1c | 23,000$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf020…e10abacked Yes | 1c | 22,500$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7887…87aabacked Yes | 1c | 21,011$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Yes | 1c | 20,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ab…daccbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +98%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…0d48backed Yes | 1c | 20,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37a4…a487backed Yes | 1c | 20,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25a9…f991backed Yes | 1c | 20,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 13cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 1c | 20,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.5 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbeb…19dabacked Yes | 1c | 19,800$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9d…5954backed Yes | 1c | 18,750$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0f…cac7backed Yes | 1c | 18,081$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2065…1a64backed Yes | 1c | 17,667$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…63bcbacked Yes | 1c | 17,541$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…f4e2backed Yes | 1c | 17,532$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc99c…f913backed Yes | 1c | 17,365$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.4 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b0…533bbacked Yes | 1c | 16,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x135e…4086backed Yes | 1c | 16,286$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa69f…c41fbacked Yes | 1c | 16,122$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 1c | 16,000$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 320 | 29.1%93 W · 227 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…3ba6backed Yes | 1c | 15,743$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…f2a8backed Yes | 0c | 15,700$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.59 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb64e…9379backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a5e…326bbacked Yes | 1c | 15,000$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafdc…e9c9backed Yes | 1c | 14,750$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfef4…6cf4backed Yes | 1c | 14,286$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadb4…0157backed Yes | 1c | 14,092$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1580…a7c9backed Yes | 1c | 13,480$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a5…019abacked Yes | 1c | 13,453$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7198…0340backed Yes | 1c | 13,393$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…e7d0backed Yes | 1c | 12,667$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 5cpaid | +267.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2893…9f69backed Yes | 1c | 12,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x453b…5eccbacked Yes | 1c | 12,250$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2501…472cbacked Yes | 0c | 12,245$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc8…1b31backed Yes | 0c | 12,020$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Yes | 1c | 12,000$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 21cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a38…ada9backed Yes | 0c | 12,000$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…b0efbacked Yes | 1c | 11,905$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3b…050fbacked Yes | 1c | 11,824$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3d…5a44backed Yes | 1c | 11,279$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5510…2083backed Yes | 1c | 11,011$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed Yes | 1c | 10,900$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.03 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9de…2545backed Yes | 1c | 10,714$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e7…723ebacked Yes | 1c | 10,610$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.93 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf624…b3adbacked Yes | 1c | 10,280$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8400…98a3backed Yes | 0c | 10,200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa787…67e2backed Yes | 1c | 10,142$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.49 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6625…e343backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 153 | 32.7%50 W · 103 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd39b…9343backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd39…ea5fbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…a75dbacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b84…4a84backed Yes | 1c | 9,400$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.