Tennis · resolved market
Hellenic Championship, Qualification: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Henry Bernet
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbb0cc98d1939e8183f0ca788048edab66cbdd734abab5cfb98ce41b63a54fa9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Struffof Struff, Bernet
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,124
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,340
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,124 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7606…2836backed Bernet | 68c | 25,500$17,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,333.39 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Struff | 32c | 23,311$7,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,851.23 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Bernet | 32c | 10,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Struff | 59c | 5,207$3,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,132.49 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Struff | 45c | 1,558$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.52 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd9…544abacked Struff | 70c | 1,357$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.1 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce3…3bc3backed Struff | 66c | 1,284$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.38 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Struff | 60c | 1,084$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.63 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Struff | 66c | 1,010$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.38 | 100 | 60%60 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x947f…fb99backed Struff | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -65%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Bernet | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Bernet | 30c | 999.95$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.98 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Bernet | 34c | 857.97$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb2…6b94backed Bernet | 42c | 719.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Struff | 63c | 657.05$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.85 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Bernet | 34c | 551.26$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 182 | 50%91 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ed…617ebacked Bernet | 34c | 526.47$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Struff | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 226 | 41.6%94 W · 132 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Struff | 38c | 500$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.79 | 227 | 37.4%85 W · 142 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9d…5eb1backed Bernet | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…3428backed Struff | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked Struff | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Struff | 67c | 254.93$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.89 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Bernet | 33c | 253.67$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.71 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa088…3d07backed Struff | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked Struff | 61c | 225.2$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.12 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b1…c973backed Struff | 67c | 187.81$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.98 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +6.3wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Bernet | 31c | 180$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 228 | 40.4%92 W · 136 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc54…ae45backed Struff | 60c | 173.95$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.54 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 59cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Struff | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb33e…740bbacked Struff | 73c | 152.83$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x647d…3cd9backed Struff | 67c | 149.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Bernet | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3694…4fd6backed Struff | 58c | 148.57$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.04 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Struff | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Struff | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 465 | 56.1%261 W · 204 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Struff | 56c | 139.73$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.07 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…558cbacked Struff | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc21…9eb9backed Bernet | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec3…d1c7backed Struff | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa13b…1a4dbacked Struff | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Struff | 67c | 99.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0d03backed Bernet | 33c | 91.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 166 | 57.8%96 W · 70 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3823…2784backed Struff | 71c | 89.72$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 321 | 61.7%198 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb56b…7150backed Struff | 48c | 82.58$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.58 | 165 | 64.8%107 W · 58 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Bernet | 29c | 69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Struff | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8d…00b4backed Struff | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99ab…d706backed Struff | 74c | 54.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…b5a9backed Bernet | 32c | 47.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…450abacked Struff | 69c | 47.16$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac1…85b8backed Bernet | 32c | 46.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Struff | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bernet | 29c | 41.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x444f…0d49backed Struff | 67c | 32.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked Struff | 65c | 32.31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Struff | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec10…4d93backed Struff | 70c | 28.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e5…0659backed Struff | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dd…490bbacked Struff | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 64cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a64…bb41backed Struff | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c38…215bbacked Struff | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92fb…18a3backed Struff | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7068…8236backed Struff | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…2ec1backed Struff | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffd6…8373backed Struff | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0e…7b1fbacked Struff | 74c | 27.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0b…8299backed Struff | 70c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 72cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80f0…9530backed Struff | 67c | 22.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Struff | 60c | 20.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…f618backed Struff | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed Bernet | 58c | 19.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 124 | 47.6%59 W · 65 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x876c…7d86backed Struff | 70c | 17.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 74cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Struff | 71c | 14.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.