Ukraine · resolved market
Will Trump say "Putin" 5+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36f441719d308a94c6fc55048d60809328e1890f5ac81ed9bd689dd96ce4b9f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,657
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,175
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,657 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbad2…5296backed No | 35c | 3,414$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.54 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 33c | 2,877$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.01 | 255 | 28.2%72 W · 183 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed No | 31c | 2,846$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.76 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1710…3344backed No | 33c | 2,528$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.16 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Yes | 66c | 2,500$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.78 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1383…bf84backed Yes | 67c | 2,500$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 74c | 1,973$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.13 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce69…3e08backed Yes | 66c | 1,816$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.19 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f33…0479backed Yes | 63c | 1,378$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.83 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 65c | 1,284$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.27 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 30c | 816.42$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.31 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed Yes | 69c | 758.7$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.93 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 29c | 693.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.43 | 87 | 25.3%22 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…20c5backed Yes | 66c | 671$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.01 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -6.8wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 30c | 658.95$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 33c | 658.43$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.08 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked No | 34c | 572.39$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.09 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 35c | 500$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb3…2682backed Yes | 62c | 499.99$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.41 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 27c | 489.98$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.4 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3944…f591backed Yes | 62c | 484.09$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf454…7bcbbacked No | 33c | 444.36$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 30cpaid | +211.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeed6…510ebacked Yes | 73c | 410.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…0a22backed No | 37c | 400.09$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.67 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 31c | 400$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 99 | 32.3%32 W · 67 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e4…eff6backed No | 35c | 400$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.46 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c67…8b76backed Yes | 72c | 400$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.57 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…7d08backed No | 27c | 399.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 66c | 350.76$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.61 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed No | 34c | 317.14$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.29 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…9b16backed Yes | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Yes | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x749f…a8f9backed Yes | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 39c | 256$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a0…7e0abacked Yes | 64c | 250.08$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.13 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f23…27cbbacked No | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cc…dea4backed Yes | 69c | 240$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d33…209abacked Yes | 70c | 216.45$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.72 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked No | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -38.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x038b…afc4backed No | 27c | 182.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a26…a80fbacked No | 56c | 181.29$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab6a…3319backed No | 29c | 174.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e45…3662backed Yes | 72c | 170.38$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.57 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…cbdcbacked No | 19c | 164.77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc324…4cd6backed No | 36c | 157$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.22 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed81…82eebacked No | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed Yes | 63c | 155$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.35 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…0eb0backed No | 37c | 150$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7487…fc0cbacked Yes | 72c | 150$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…07d9backed Yes | 66c | 149.3$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.24 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x017d…1290backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e1…921ebacked Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4020…11d1backed No | 28c | 141.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab07…e6f1backed Yes | 71c | 135.14$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.19 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe15d…9507backed Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24fb…a48ebacked Yes | 74c | 133.65$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb937…9d0dbacked No | 31c | 130.59$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd768…4f3cbacked Yes | 77c | 130.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x017b…1ef4backed No | 33c | 123.41$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.02 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0e…938fbacked Yes | 71c | 112.68$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad7e…f9ebbacked Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.31 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc894…b9f6backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 36c | 99.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30a5…d157backed Yes | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked No | 33c | 98.44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…3e65backed Yes | 72c | 98$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 33c | 92.72$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8974…3e16backed Yes | 70c | 90.56$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28b…a852backed No | 33c | 89.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cb…ae6dbacked No | 24c | 89.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa638…1d87backed No | 32c | 87.15$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…6ee3backed No | 30c | 86.14$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 69c | 83.13$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…ab37backed Yes | 68c | 81.65$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…1655backed No | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b3…1426backed No | 31c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa772…b445backed Yes | 71c | 80$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ae…c6e0backed Yes | 69c | 76.45$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9090…1ad3backed No | 36c | 76.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…ed53backed No | 29c | 75.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc14…2e9bbacked Yes | 61c | 75$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed Yes | 60c | 74.69$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.88 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…2423backed Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8134…8eaabacked Yes | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3be9…e080backed Yes | 68c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd469…15a7backed No | 29c | 69.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked No | 32c | 68.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c6…f536backed No | 32c | 63.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89e7…0ffabacked Yes | 71c | 62.25$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2063…1eedbacked Yes | 71c | 61.97$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked No | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…9597backed Yes | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0d…d3a5backed No | 29c | 59.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump say "Putin" 5+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?this page
- Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?No won
- Will Trump say "Card" during Zelensky events on August 18?No won
- Will Trump say "Ceasefire" 3+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Crimea" or "Donetsk" during Zelensky events on August 18?No won
- Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Zelensky events on August 18?No won
- Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?No won
- Will Trump say "Hottest Country" during Zelensky events on August 18?No won
- Will Trump say "Marco" or "Rubio" during Zelensky events on August 18?No won
- Will Trump say "NATO" during Zelensky events on August 18?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Zelensky events on August 18?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Pakistan" during Zelensky events on August 18?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Rare Earth" or "Mineral" during Zelensky events on August 18?No won
- Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 15+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?No won
- Will Trump say "Suit" during Zelensky events on August 18?No won
- Will Trump say "Thousand / Million / Billion" 12+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.