Ukraine · resolved market
Will Trump say "Suit" during Zelensky events on August 18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x885c8a503295aaf62bff1f0a804320b60a104b3952a135c1b5f7ed4ebfb9d332
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,486
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,066
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,486 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a14…d748backed No | 78c | 4,724$3,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.37 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc851…cd2abacked No | 65c | 4,281$2,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.26 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 36c | 4,205$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.07 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…0a22backed No | 71c | 3,049$2,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.85 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 26c | 2,566$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.24 | 255 | 28.2%72 W · 183 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…42e6backed Yes | 25c | 2,101$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.31 | 45 | 11.1%5 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -75%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed No | 69c | 1,701$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.79 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…5a15backed Yes | 27c | 1,510$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.93 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 70c | 1,451$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.58 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf6…cf40backed No | 72c | 1,224$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.82 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +30%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6c…eb44backed Yes | 31c | 1,163$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa638…1d87backed Yes | 10c | 1,095$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.83 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed No | 68c | 1,000$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 71c | 949.94$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.7 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 27c | 943.5$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.43 | 87 | 25.3%22 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Yes | 27c | 822.08$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc360…dbb2backed Yes | 32c | 798.16$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd7c…00a2backed Yes | 25c | 796.65$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 63c | 788.95$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.14 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 26c | 768.05$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.9 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 24c | 736.92$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.66 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 36c | 728.62$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.55 | 91 | 15.4%14 W · 77 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x832b…3ae1backed No | 76c | 721.97$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.43 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab7b…f350backed No | 69c | 700$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 28c | 642.08$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.98 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…afc7backed Yes | 31c | 630$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ee…ec14backed No | 65c | 620.42$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.65 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Yes | 37c | 617.89$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.62 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64f9…6082backed Yes | 41c | 613.4$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Yes | 20c | 559.73$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.7 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 27c | 555$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.85 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed No | 73c | 499.99$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 26c | 499$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.75 | 308 | 37.7%116 W · 192 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03be…f6d9backed No | 76c | 497.57$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.44 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 29c | 496.23$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.06 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Yes | 28c | 480.13$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.44 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8756…b36cbacked No | 72c | 469.76$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.92 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa015…80bbbacked Yes | 23c | 439.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8074…d8dbbacked Yes | 28c | 420.35$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.7 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…07d9backed Yes | 25c | 411.53$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.77 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe15d…9507backed Yes | 24c | 408.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…e38bbacked No | 73c | 400$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -6.1wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x830e…7099backed Yes | 52c | 385.69$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.2 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed No | 77c | 363.23$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.39 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed No | 62c | 321.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.49 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x547b…014cbacked Yes | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +107.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x732d…95e1backed Yes | 35c | 288.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…f215backed Yes | 26c | 280.16$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.84 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…3f88backed No | 74c | 270$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c2…f46dbacked Yes | 6c | 246.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0149…fc9fbacked Yes | 26c | 235.45$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x450a…c24fbacked No | 65c | 231.23$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.23 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7540…0d08backed Yes | 26c | 222.04$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.73 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked No | 67c | 220.65$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.73 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -38.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…8d43backed No | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d14…7f85backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…b6e8backed Yes | 25c | 200$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 37c | 199.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x235c…ba38backed Yes | 26c | 199.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb9…1cb4backed Yes | 34c | 191.03$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd3…985bbacked Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd466…6ce6backed No | 74c | 158.42$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.48 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…8360backed Yes | 26c | 158.29$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf192…6ee2backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170d…dcd1backed Yes | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed No | 70c | 150$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x452d…c27ebacked Yes | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 31c | 142.73$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.51 | 99 | 32.3%32 W · 67 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 34c | 136.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.07 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb38a…8237backed No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…64a2backed Yes | 45c | 134.23$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9efd…1880backed Yes | 38c | 131.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…1da2backed Yes | 39c | 130.04$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd807…0aecbacked Yes | 39c | 129.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4020…11d1backed No | 63c | 127.14$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4a…884cbacked Yes | 28c | 125$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 28c | 124.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 54 | 22.2%12 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b3…1426backed No | 74c | 120$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 37c | 119.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa517…29a7backed Yes | 26c | 116.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed No | 59c | 114.64$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.44 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…cd20backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dc…250fbacked Yes | 27c | 110.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b13…a72bbacked Yes | 37c | 107.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f87…4919backed Yes | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…dcfebacked No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2f…578fbacked Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1de2…9e23backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 20cpaid | +153.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d12…bdf6backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91b9…dcd8backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc652…11b1backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…1c7bbacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbf…4ffabacked No | 73c | 99.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe991…9969backed Yes | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe219…d8afbacked Yes | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump say "Suit" during Zelensky events on August 18?this page
- Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?No won
- Will Trump say "Card" during Zelensky events on August 18?No won
- Will Trump say "Ceasefire" 3+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Crimea" or "Donetsk" during Zelensky events on August 18?No won
- Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Zelensky events on August 18?No won
- Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?No won
- Will Trump say "Hottest Country" during Zelensky events on August 18?No won
- Will Trump say "Marco" or "Rubio" during Zelensky events on August 18?No won
- Will Trump say "NATO" during Zelensky events on August 18?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Zelensky events on August 18?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Pakistan" during Zelensky events on August 18?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Putin" 5+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Rare Earth" or "Mineral" during Zelensky events on August 18?No won
- Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 15+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?No won
- Will Trump say "Thousand / Million / Billion" 12+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.