Ukraine · resolved market

Will Trump say "Marco" or "Rubio" during Zelensky events on August 18?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x637479a7a27284d736c84730ab9196b769493bad9d9d894a4e16c26420e94163

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Aug 18, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $28,479
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $28,362

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,479 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb747…b050backed No	35c	4,088$1,421 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,667.51	35	37.1%13 W · 22 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed Yes	65c	2,000$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	+2.8wins	+0.12per pick	30cpaid	+87.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed No	51c	1,894$959 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$935.39	34	44.1%15 W · 19 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Yes	65c	1,856$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,199.87	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	1c	1,050$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.55	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-41.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Yes	49c	1,031$508 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$507.89	44	50%22 W · 22 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c87…9bd4backed Yes	56c	705.86$396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$396.24	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+20.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fd3…e662backed No	28c	699.99$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$502.99	38	47.4%18 W · 20 L	+4.7wins	+0.12per pick	35cpaid	+81.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4fc1…8360backed Yes	2c	675$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	22cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x66c1…fa3fbacked Yes	46c	666$307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$307.49	40	45%18 W · 22 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-16%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x832b…3ae1backed No	74c	612.88$452 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160.44	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+1.6wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d33…209abacked Yes	64c	532.86$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$342.06	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6828…1056backed No	35c	508.03$179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$328.81	154	51.3%79 W · 75 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed No	54c	500$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230	25	64%16 W · 9 L	+5.0wins	+0.20per pick	44cpaid	+54.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x22db…190fbacked No	78c	436.75$340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.19	66	65.2%43 W · 23 L	+8.4wins	+0.13per pick	52cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xeed6…510ebacked Yes	68c	432.55$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.14per pick	57cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75c0…1484backed Yes	47c	425.48$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.15per pick	27cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe27…52b7backed Yes	46c	416.75$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.48	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x141c…7154backed No	34c	380$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$251.61	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	+5.5wins	+0.18per pick	37cpaid	+38.7%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked No	34c	358.47$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$234.88	87	25.3%22 W · 65 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No	49c	333.63$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168.7	255	28.2%72 W · 183 L	-17.5wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-32%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc417…3ca6backed Yes	65c	309.48$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-1.6wins	-0.12per pick	58cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce69…3e08backed No	34c	307.83$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$203.17	37	43.2%16 W · 21 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x79c9…c040backed No	33c	306.36$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204.21	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-25%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5e4…eff6backed No	50c	300$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151.16	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+1.4wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24fb…a48ebacked Yes	71c	281.69$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.11per pick	54cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6edf…3ff9backed No	36c	279.82$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$179.82	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.64per pick	36cpaid	+179.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0523…e38bbacked No	54c	250$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115	33	24.2%8 W · 25 L	-6.1wins	-0.18per pick	43cpaid	-63.2%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0815…d0ddbacked Yes	63c	249.99$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.49	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.16per pick	41cpaid	+52.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x260d…fbc2backed Yes	49c	230$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.8	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d84…1344backed Yes	47c	227.2$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.19	141	21.3%30 W · 111 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52f9…e1c7backed No	54c	223.57$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.57	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf327…0b68backed Yes	30c	208.08$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.21	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-1.9wins	-0.12per pick	31cpaid	-50.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a79…8e05backed No	55c	205.9$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.66	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x86e6…63d8backed Yes	68c	201.1$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.01	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.21per pick	58cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xedf6…cf40backed No	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	29	62.1%18 W · 11 L	+3.7wins	+0.13per pick	49cpaid	+30%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x267c…9b16backed Yes	67c	200$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-21%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a53…7a6fbacked Yes	52c	196.75$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.98	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	-2.3wins	-0.10per pick	26cpaid	-67.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd466…6ce6backed No	43c	193.63$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.93	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed No	33c	192.63$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.06	47	19.1%9 W · 38 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-39.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ee…96a0backed No	34c	177.06$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.56	27	11.1%3 W · 24 L	-2.9wins	-0.11per pick	22cpaid	-67.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc406…07d9backed Yes	65c	153.85$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	32	37.5%12 W · 20 L	-3.0wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Yes	66c	150$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-2.3wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc2c4…c131backed Yes	66c	150$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-2.6wins	-0.13per pick	35cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes	65c	150$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cb…3e65backed Yes	67c	150$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.5	32	56.3%18 W · 14 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75ac…33d7backed No	42c	149.99$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.99	77	33.8%26 W · 51 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x098e…6fa2backed Yes	11c	143.08$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.15	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c39…56dcbacked No	37c	141.19$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.98	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa638…1d87backed No	37c	134.92$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85	75	25.3%19 W · 56 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ae0…d8d0backed Yes	19c	128.13$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a4c…4bdbbacked Yes	48c	125.41$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes	66c	124.98$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.99	49	42.9%21 W · 28 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa8a2…973cbacked Yes	67c	119.99$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.69	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	52c	119$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.67	417	36.2%151 W · 266 L	-25.2wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes	65c	107.91$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.74	34	38.2%13 W · 21 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xcb59…0a22backed No	54c	100$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x927f…e7e7backed Yes	46c	100$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	29	27.6%8 W · 21 L	-2.0wins	-0.07per pick	34cpaid	-51.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa248…04f3backed Yes	64c	100$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.14per pick	46cpaid	+56.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c67…8b76backed Yes	69c	100$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-1.7wins	-0.13per pick	44cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf86c…ba99backed Yes	63c	100$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	41	58.5%24 W · 17 L	+2.1wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2688…cb00backed No	43c	99.99$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No	42c	99.79$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.2	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-1.7wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2853…3482backed Yes	56c	93.09$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.83	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+3.2wins	+0.15per pick	37cpaid	+34.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed No	45c	90.56$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.37	214	26.2%56 W · 158 L	-7.9wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x17e5…3d19backed No	52c	88.64$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.95	115	42.6%49 W · 66 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb34…2423backed Yes	57c	88.34$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.9wins	-0.26per pick	53cpaid	-55.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xed7e…2fe2backed Yes	68c	80.5$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.37	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.26per pick	46cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x70f8…ab37backed Yes	65c	80$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad89…f6e1backed Yes	58c	74.91$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.45	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-2.6wins	-0.11per pick	55cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xab07…e6f1backed Yes	64c	67.17$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.99	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.5wins	-0.12per pick	46cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x06dc…af59backed No	31c	57.25$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.5	43	58.1%25 W · 18 L	+4.2wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+16%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes	56c	56.64$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.99	117	41%48 W · 69 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xc376…a8e7backed No	36c	55.56$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.56	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e6…f634backed No	39c	51.28$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.28	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.09per pick	37cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Yes	62c	50$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	16	75%12 W · 4 L	+3.3wins	+0.21per pick	54cpaid	+43.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1f1f…94aabacked Yes	54c	50$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eaa…7d99backed Yes	58c	50$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	36	38.9%14 W · 22 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11db…9831backed No	74c	50$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	63cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3753…dc42backed No	79c	50$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.5	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2654…c2b2backed No	30c	50$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+2.6wins	+0.24per pick	49cpaid	+44.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x50b2…c94abacked Yes	66c	50$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	48	50%24 W · 24 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30a5…d157backed Yes	59c	50$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.5	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed No	45c	46.49$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.78	78	43.6%34 W · 44 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34e8…1e4cbacked No	75c	40$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b72…6dbebacked Yes	63c	40$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.1	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	+4.1wins	+0.13per pick	40cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9fd8…01f0backed Yes	65c	40$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	44	27.3%12 W · 32 L	-4.8wins	-0.11per pick	38cpaid	-47.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4083…363fbacked No	53c	40$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19	36	44.4%16 W · 20 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes	66c	37.88$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x06ec…f845backed No	50c	34.9$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.45	44	43.2%19 W · 25 L	+5.0wins	+0.11per pick	32cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ba4…0caabacked Yes	59c	33.9$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	+16%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes	47c	30.36$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.27	99	32.3%32 W · 67 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a6e…b172backed Yes	56c	30.36$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9394…37dabacked Yes	66c	30.3$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	+126.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d12…bdf6backed No	37c	30$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.9	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-39.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x89e7…0ffabacked Yes	74c	30$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.2	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x62f7…129abacked Yes	50c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+25.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x55bf…e2ddbacked Yes	48c	30$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.4	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ba8…2bb1backed No	40c	30$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e24…a03dbacked Yes	68c	29.41$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.8wins	-0.61per pick	61cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.

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Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Trump say "Marco" or "Rubio" during Zelensky events on August 18?this page
Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?No won
Will Trump say "Card" during Zelensky events on August 18?No won
Will Trump say "Ceasefire" 3+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?Yes won
Will Trump say "Crimea" or "Donetsk" during Zelensky events on August 18?No won
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Zelensky events on August 18?No won
Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?No won
Will Trump say "Hottest Country" during Zelensky events on August 18?No won
Will Trump say "NATO" during Zelensky events on August 18?Yes won
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Zelensky events on August 18?Yes won
Will Trump say "Pakistan" during Zelensky events on August 18?Yes won
Will Trump say "Putin" 5+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?Yes won
Will Trump say "Rare Earth" or "Mineral" during Zelensky events on August 18?No won
Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 15+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?No won
Will Trump say "Suit" during Zelensky events on August 18?No won
Will Trump say "Thousand / Million / Billion" 12+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Trump say "Marco" or "Rubio" during Zelensky events on August 18?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event