Ukraine · resolved market
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together by August 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e2ada45732ff2ce8685b32088285bac5b5490d11485d4067fde789cb5144b29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $724,124
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $716,092
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $724,124 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8ff6…72aebacked Yes | 2c | 37,879$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.89 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 12cpaid | -92.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…201bbacked Yes | 6c | 26,618$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,595.34 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 6c | 21,443$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.6 | 90 | 5.6%5 W · 85 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…8bbfbacked Yes | 12c | 19,954$2,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,368.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 9c | 17,276$1,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,638.45 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Yes | 11c | 16,101$1,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,724.24 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +90.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 8c | 9,704$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.32 | 262 | 38.5%101 W · 161 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 6c | 8,697$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.91 | 65 | 1.5%1 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…42e6backed Yes | 8c | 8,624$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.24 | 45 | 11.1%5 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -75%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…6038backed Yes | 5c | 8,597$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 7c | 8,333$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.6 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd152…4faabacked Yes | 8c | 7,673$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37b6…6457backed Yes | 13c | 6,872$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.92 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…6cfdbacked Yes | 11c | 6,019$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.56 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 10c | 5,991$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.13 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4b…75eabacked Yes | 5c | 5,881$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x110a…38a8backed Yes | 1c | 5,766$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dbe…c980backed Yes | 6c | 5,545$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 10c | 5,308$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.78 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 22cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Yes | 11c | 5,102$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.88 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 12c | 4,682$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.04 | 108 | 12%13 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 8c | 4,416$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.86 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c3…d2d7backed Yes | 5c | 4,185$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46ee…eb1ebacked Yes | 5c | 4,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 9c | 3,530$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.93 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd0…93dcbacked Yes | 11c | 3,472$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.35 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedc0…99f3backed Yes | 9c | 3,402$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0490…c81fbacked Yes | 5c | 3,333$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Yes | 8c | 2,771$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.03 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 8c | 2,688$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.73 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb0…4c27backed Yes | 10c | 2,657$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.3 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 8c | 2,651$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.7 | 129 | 27.9%36 W · 93 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed Yes | 7c | 2,601$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.47 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Yes | 15c | 2,598$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.54 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…cbbbbacked Yes | 7c | 2,569$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.38 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 10c | 2,545$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.16 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 8c | 2,500$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.27 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 9c | 2,500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa810…fd25backed Yes | 15c | 2,327$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.44 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…c8cfbacked Yes | 5c | 2,232$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 2c | 2,127$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.31 | 139 | 10.8%15 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7c…8356backed Yes | 7c | 2,027$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.73 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.47 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 94 | 13.8%13 W · 81 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e02…bfcebacked Yes | 8c | 2,000$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf0…637cbacked Yes | 11c | 1,832$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,827$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.3 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bca…df4bbacked Yes | 9c | 1,813$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.98 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 4c | 1,780$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.42 | 97 | 34%33 W · 64 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd632…8afbbacked Yes | 5c | 1,700$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.6 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x038b…afc4backed Yes | 6c | 1,688$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 13c | 1,668$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.42 | 263 | 18.3%48 W · 215 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…1e94backed Yes | 9c | 1,637$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 9c | 1,600$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.6 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a26…0a3abacked Yes | 6c | 1,568$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…a5e3backed Yes | 7c | 1,564$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 11c | 1,256$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.27 | 115 | 30.4%35 W · 80 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c7…82cebacked Yes | 6c | 1,210$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 63 | 17.5%11 W · 52 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c19…17febacked Yes | 10c | 1,145$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed Yes | 13c | 1,143$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.2 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 19c | 1,078$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6308…36a9backed Yes | 6c | 1,028$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca4…3e81backed Yes | 8c | 1,019$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…d9c7backed Yes | 9c | 1,000$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a4…9ba4backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x465f…485cbacked Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 150 | 29.3%44 W · 106 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…afe7backed Yes | 5c | 999.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc331…1d71backed Yes | 8c | 982.95$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -60%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 7c | 982$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…21c8backed Yes | 11c | 975.86$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3e…03c7backed Yes | 10c | 974.82$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.75 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa289…d95cbacked Yes | 21c | 974.1$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf18f…294cbacked Yes | 7c | 967.59$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.44 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | +148.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 4c | 950$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23d1…ebe9backed Yes | 6c | 905$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc21…9eb9backed Yes | 5c | 900$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904f…50c6backed Yes | 6c | 839.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f7…fa11backed Yes | 8c | 837.7$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.48 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02df…22e1backed Yes | 2c | 800.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed95…b1e6backed Yes | 12c | 776.9$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41cb…a5dfbacked Yes | 9c | 776.26$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.71 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee83…f6d7backed Yes | 8c | 759$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.95 | 69 | 13%9 W · 60 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0013…3c30backed Yes | 7c | 715$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 13.2%9 W · 59 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 20.3%13 W · 51 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed5f…152dbacked Yes | 20c | 709.43$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60eb…a6d8backed Yes | 4c | 699.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5c…0674backed Yes | 2c | 658.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf00…6767backed Yes | 9c | 650$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.55 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…f68bbacked Yes | 8c | 649.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.65 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x662c…bfe7backed Yes | 8c | 640$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8049…b09dbacked Yes | 18c | 606.97$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.9 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43ec…4612backed Yes | 8c | 605.48$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1c…0c17backed Yes | 17c | 600.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ad…92abbacked Yes | 13c | 600$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes | 10c | 599.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x820c…7a8cbacked Yes | 8c | 575.78$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…6866backed Yes | 4c | 539.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.