Ukraine · resolved market
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet by August 23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05a504fd23b9f673aa2a96d51f12520d9acbe842a706d103483f1504c06d38fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,432,015
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,692,849
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,432,015 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8ff6…72aebacked Yes | 5c | 743,198$39,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,619.48 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 12cpaid | -92.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…2a75backed Yes | 0c | 27,364$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 2c | 13,411$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.04 | 90 | 5.6%5 W · 85 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…166bbacked Yes | 6c | 9,981$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.99 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Yes | 2c | 9,246$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.26 | 94 | 13.8%13 W · 81 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 8,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 65 | 1.5%1 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 2c | 7,842$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.85 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf289…2415backed Yes | 2c | 6,175$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.58 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa810…fd25backed Yes | 6c | 4,812$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.35 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…5a15backed Yes | 5c | 4,299$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.03 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 5c | 3,969$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.4 | 64 | 20.3%13 W · 51 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 3,870$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.54 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 3c | 3,444$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 150 | 29.3%44 W · 106 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb898…1288backed Yes | 8c | 3,200$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.33 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 1c | 3,106$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 139 | 10.8%15 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0013…3c30backed Yes | 2c | 2,908$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 68 | 13.2%9 W · 59 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5caf…5470backed Yes | 1c | 2,905$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x110a…38a8backed Yes | 1c | 2,747$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.95 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…42e6backed Yes | 6c | 2,674$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.71 | 45 | 11.1%5 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -75%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 3c | 2,464$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.19 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…cbbbbacked Yes | 6c | 2,427$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.42 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 2c | 2,220$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.97 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dda…649cbacked Yes | 3c | 2,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a35…fc8ebacked Yes | 7c | 1,590$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.12 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9251…1fb8backed Yes | 7c | 1,557$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d7…94cabacked Yes | 1c | 1,443$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb0…4c27backed Yes | 2c | 1,427$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c2…9303backed Yes | 7c | 1,343$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…8ac0backed Yes | 1c | 1,192$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9482…1c55backed Yes | 8c | 1,185$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.75 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +90.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb3…2682backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a5…5f3cbacked Yes | 5c | 999.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1f…ba52backed Yes | 7c | 741.77$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.03 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc72b…3756backed Yes | 3c | 740.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 5c | 666.66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.79 | 108 | 12%13 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Yes | 5c | 630$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0a…9ad1backed Yes | 10c | 612.91$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4847…e9fcbacked Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb1…2b68backed Yes | 7c | 470.82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41cb…a5dfbacked Yes | 4c | 452.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 7c | 370$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d4…c5a7backed Yes | 8c | 365.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74cb…ae6dbacked Yes | 5c | 330.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8593…c931backed Yes | 4c | 323.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc21…9eb9backed Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf14c…4e18backed Yes | 7c | 277$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 7c | 267.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 113 | 22.1%25 W · 88 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…6e00backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2f…d8f8backed Yes | 7c | 250$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +6.8wins | +0.23per pick | 42cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8db4…9c07backed Yes | 7c | 233.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f1…d00ebacked Yes | 7c | 227.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x253e…bf81backed Yes | 5c | 215.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b3…4484backed Yes | 7c | 175$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 82 | 24.4%20 W · 62 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0059…f398backed Yes | 8c | 172.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fb…6eb5backed Yes | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aae…cb22backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.