World Politics · resolved market
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by September 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19376c814e108ba94020c05394cd1bbdc2a22f072f9683903e46d58cfd0e1f05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $206,698
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $196,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $206,698 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 231 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 76c | 11,082$8,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,641.99 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 17c | 9,410$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,574.62 | 139 | 18%25 W · 114 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd748…2125backed No | 78c | 7,378$5,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,616.98 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5d…91d8backed No | 79c | 7,205$5,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 16c | 6,173$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.93 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 16c | 4,080$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.8 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x000d…758ebacked Yes | 24c | 4,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…776bbacked Yes | 27c | 3,900$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…e863backed No | 75c | 3,316$2,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.87 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 12c | 3,000$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.64 | 182 | 16.5%30 W · 152 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf020…e10abacked Yes | 17c | 2,913$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes | 15c | 2,891$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.5 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8662…c94fbacked Yes | 19c | 2,774$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.77 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 9cpaid | +168.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…00d7backed Yes | 21c | 2,704$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1141…55b1backed Yes | 25c | 2,667$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…5839backed Yes | 35c | 2,284$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.24 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x662c…bfe7backed No | 75c | 2,240$1,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.13 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd221…a44bbacked Yes | 15c | 2,187$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.74 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed No | 71c | 2,098$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.89 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed Yes | 28c | 2,098$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.18 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes | 24c | 2,080$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.16 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 21c | 2,035$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.19 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…39f3backed Yes | 25c | 2,016$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 21c | 2,000$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +105.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x071c…489dbacked Yes | 31c | 1,934$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8545…ada5backed Yes | 16c | 1,887$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 18c | 1,761$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.02 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +30%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae78…701cbacked Yes | 25c | 1,700$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253e…bf81backed Yes | 19c | 1,488$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbac…b9bebacked Yes | 15c | 1,373$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed Yes | 19c | 1,297$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.46 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3049…7825backed No | 76c | 1,289$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x038b…afc4backed Yes | 22c | 1,264$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.59 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc0…99f3backed Yes | 24c | 1,240$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 12c | 1,212$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.08 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb42a…b2f9backed Yes | 12c | 1,207$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x109e…0a59backed Yes | 24c | 1,195$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.71 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011d…3d2fbacked Yes | 14c | 1,083$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.65 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…a1d8backed No | 77c | 1,037$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Yes | 19c | 1,027$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8be2…8b8abacked Yes | 4c | 1,012$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x410a…e8b8backed Yes | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69d9…7c64backed Yes | 20c | 980.75$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x919e…d915backed Yes | 19c | 906.26$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.02 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 13c | 791.09$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.28 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e45…3662backed No | 80c | 778.3$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd576…ca8dbacked No | 79c | 757.71$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.71 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3944…f591backed Yes | 26c | 757.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65bf…4b91backed Yes | 14c | 751.01$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.65 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0013…3c30backed Yes | 20c | 740.48$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd061…d5e4backed Yes | 17c | 720.4$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.55 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -61%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 701.05$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…68f5backed Yes | 19c | 700$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked Yes | 9c | 697.47$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.24 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3e…d0ebbacked Yes | 15c | 671.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbacc…e985backed Yes | 17c | 630$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Yes | 26c | 610$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.84 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 15c | 600$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.02 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 16cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4a…cacabacked Yes | 24c | 587.99$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 6c | 506.37$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x698f…ae41backed Yes | 7c | 500.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 14c | 500$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 166 | 16.9%28 W · 138 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Yes | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed No | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +100.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbf…4665backed No | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 13c | 497.42$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.49 | 457 | 23.2%106 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…d849backed Yes | 19c | 483.33$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc7…4ad4backed Yes | 18c | 480$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +175.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c8…0e01backed Yes | 19c | 474.03$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.07 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31f9…428abacked Yes | 21c | 466.67$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5dd…7564backed Yes | 26c | 449.96$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…e194backed Yes | 27c | 435.25$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4584…7fedbacked Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…66a3backed Yes | 21c | 424.29$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe781…5e52backed No | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b4…07b4backed Yes | 27c | 420$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Yes | 24c | 420$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +147.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b88…86c4backed Yes | 15c | 400$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…b2e3backed No | 79c | 399.99$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 16c | 389.59$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.84 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -7.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae50…1c9dbacked Yes | 18c | 382.07$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d7…94cabacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…8d43backed No | 80c | 349.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 14c | 348.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e3d…3627backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked No | 72c | 336.99$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.99 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…0113backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…658ebacked Yes | 21c | 324.31$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.06 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 13c | 320.73$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.94 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d46…feefbacked No | 78c | 317.76$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.91 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked Yes | 16c | 309.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 8c | 307.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 149 | 4.7%7 W · 142 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02fe…d87abacked Yes | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3830…8c68backed Yes | 24c | 295.83$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed0…92debacked Yes | 14c | 294.71$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…f32abacked Yes | 22c | 258.89$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 302 | 33.8%102 W · 200 L | +19.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…8bc3backed No | 75c | 250$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…272dbacked Yes | 26c | 250$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 15c | 249.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 179 | 21.2%38 W · 141 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.