Fifa International · resolved market
Will Sweden win on 2025-09-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a7e8db41ab754c34142c80298cbfec8ac1762ecfc0ee94d9c7c710fc3440a7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $381,025
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $398,342
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $381,025 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 225 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x11fc…dc48backed Yes | 56c | 116,167$65,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,031.84 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked No | 40c | 68,088$27,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,777.27 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Yes | 60c | 42,110$25,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,265.96 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 44c | 41,861$18,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,331.96 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 43c | 41,813$17,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,863.13 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbb…05a8backed Yes | 58c | 34,210$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc04d…69e7backed Yes | 60c | 16,665$9,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,998.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 44c | 13,054$5,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,279.99 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 45c | 13,000$5,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,150 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 42c | 11,058$4,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,428.49 | 125 | 25.6%32 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…3eeabacked Yes | 60c | 8,624$5,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,134.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 41c | 8,422$3,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,974.51 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 58c | 6,606$3,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,831.14 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 45c | 5,142$2,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,851.87 | 211 | 40.3%85 W · 126 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…819fbacked Yes | 61c | 4,421$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 40c | 4,305$1,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,583.72 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 60c | 4,196$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 56c | 4,037$2,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,260.98 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Yes | 55c | 3,072$1,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.24 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 123 | 10.6%13 W · 110 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,829.99 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…e617backed No | 41c | 2,775$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,637.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed No | 40c | 2,683$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,607.42 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 48c | 2,337$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.28 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 58c | 2,165$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 41c | 1,812$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.42 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Yes | 59c | 1,725$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.87 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9636…1f74backed Yes | 59c | 1,680$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d88…ba3dbacked Yes | 61c | 1,673$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Yes | 57c | 1,600$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1470…7cbebacked Yes | 56c | 1,469$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed No | 45c | 1,426$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.24 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed No | 47c | 1,417$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.02 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 43c | 1,404$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.02 | 215 | 42.8%92 W · 123 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 44c | 1,345$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.61 | 423 | 52%220 W · 203 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Yes | 59c | 1,220$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked No | 40c | 1,200$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 40c | 883.63$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.18 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b25…b5ccbacked Yes | 60c | 833.84$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…6877backed Yes | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…05afbacked Yes | 62c | 725.81$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 49c | 700.71$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.51 | 318 | 51.9%165 W · 153 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…77c9backed Yes | 60c | 666.67$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 42c | 654.06$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.2 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 40c | 599.98$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.99 | 96 | 18.8%18 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Yes | 19c | 591.6$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.13 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb288…abbbbacked Yes | 57c | 564.91$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +74%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe847…35cdbacked Yes | 46c | 535$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…65a7backed Yes | 57c | 524.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes | 60c | 508.33$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9810…f117backed Yes | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…93c2backed No | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…342bbacked Yes | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 41c | 499.98$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.99 | 274 | 34.3%94 W · 180 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…ee5cbacked Yes | 57c | 482.07$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.78 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 44c | 453.99$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.7 | 140 | 40.7%57 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 43c | 447.83$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.12 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f6…c600backed Yes | 54c | 422.3$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed Yes | 60c | 416$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 45c | 399.98$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.99 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…ceabbacked Yes | 10c | 396.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.61 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -53%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 59c | 385$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.34 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 40c | 350.58$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.64 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c17…de2bbacked Yes | 60c | 350$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.82 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7499…2d7ebacked Yes | 59c | 339.68$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0f…ec43backed Yes | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked No | 43c | 306.08$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.74 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 50c | 300$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.5 | 229 | 59.4%136 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…ff53backed Yes | 58c | 300$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Yes | 56c | 300$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked No | 44c | 300$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.38 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 43c | 300$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.41 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…2e60backed Yes | 62c | 299.31$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 54c | 282.9$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 296 | 45.6%135 W · 161 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…3464backed Yes | 59c | 269.49$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Yes | 59c | 259.03$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.83 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6034…2848backed Yes | 59c | 252.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…7becbacked Yes | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 43cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb782…c353backed Yes | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa614…da1abacked Yes | 63c | 250$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 30c | 250$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.5 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…7842backed No | 37c | 250$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Yes | 57c | 226.02$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.83 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a30…fca1backed Yes | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…425ebacked Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1734…ddd4backed Yes | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04e3…69d1backed No | 61c | 186.29$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.79 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3241…0297backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 56c | 181.16$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.11 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 101 | 30.7%31 W · 70 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa12c…15c5backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0843…97f5backed Yes | 58c | 177.29$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…bca3backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x78a8…faa8backed Yes | 59c | 174.59$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76dd…59e8backed Yes | 62c | 174.19$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…f0c8backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…9433backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sweden win on 2025-09-08?this page
- Will Kosovo vs. Sweden end in a draw?No won
- Will Kosovo win on 2025-09-08?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.