Fifa International · resolved market
Will Kosovo win on 2025-09-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x558dca5c24305e70ac2d38633bef32abee9613f204d45482f17547ad9f8999a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,902
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,046
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,902 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5a79…6296backed Yes | 71c | 17,756$12,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,141.27 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 39c | 11,132$4,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,816.32 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 28c | 9,585$2,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,696.21 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…6e7abacked Yes | 61c | 6,558$3,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,584.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d9…4ce3backed Yes | 22c | 5,643$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,407.6 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 30c | 4,447$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.21 | 319 | 45.1%144 W · 175 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 78c | 4,023$3,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,137.73 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 19c | 4,004$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.06 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 19c | 4,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,249.96 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed No | 24c | 3,659$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.24 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0026…aef7backed Yes | 78c | 3,630$2,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.66 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -41%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Yes | 16c | 3,272$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,755.2 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 18c | 3,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,459.95 | 123 | 10.6%13 W · 110 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 20c | 2,996$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,396.37 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 28c | 2,788$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.27 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 19c | 2,715$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,210.98 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed No | 80c | 2,000$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,598.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 30c | 2,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.99 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…65a7backed Yes | 71c | 1,805$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.82 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a9…7b8cbacked No | 80c | 1,560$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Yes | 17c | 1,200$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…7becbacked No | 9c | 1,119$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.73 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 43cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 29c | 1,029$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.45 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 21c | 989.04$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.08 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 27c | 883.2$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.27 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 20c | 779$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.59 | 140 | 40.7%57 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 15c | 769.47$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.05 | 211 | 40.3%85 W · 126 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 19c | 599.91$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.63 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed No | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0c…1a42backed Yes | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb2…76f2backed Yes | 75c | 291.75$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…1a5ebacked Yes | 71c | 289.46$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.38 | 124 | 32.3%40 W · 84 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…3964backed Yes | 71c | 268.49$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.27 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 19c | 226.34$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.56 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70d2…f395backed No | 78c | 200$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 77cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1734…ddd4backed Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 69c | 172.68$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.68 | 363 | 49.3%179 W · 184 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57f2…d036backed Yes | 72c | 166.67$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 78c | 130.59$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.83 | 423 | 52%220 W · 203 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked No | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Yes | 18c | 122$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.74 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…4633backed No | 30c | 112.37$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 64c | 109.83$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.17 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 76c | 104.47$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…4895backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6891…949fbacked Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 14c | 99.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 326 | 29.1%95 W · 231 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dba…353fbacked Yes | 17c | 97.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 51c | 90$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.35 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…d054backed Yes | 78c | 75.14$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 20c | 71.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.44 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 22c | 67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.26 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Yes | 20c | 64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…cc33backed No | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 31cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Yes | 20c | 55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 124 | 17.7%22 W · 102 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 19c | 53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked No | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa52c…ef80backed Yes | 72c | 49.74$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…770fbacked Yes | 72c | 48.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe20…67debacked Yes | 70c | 43.74$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Yes | 74c | 43.58$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed No | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Yes | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 78c | 33.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…7842backed No | 79c | 31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…6579backed No | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a07…ea68backed No | 80c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x844a…ba1abacked Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…2f18backed Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe99c…aff1backed Yes | 68c | 21.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8678…f099backed No | 80c | 20.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf4…32d6backed No | 80c | 20.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…e9f1backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…d004backed Yes | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf57f…73dcbacked Yes | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kosovo win on 2025-09-08?this page
- Will Kosovo vs. Sweden end in a draw?No won
- Will Sweden win on 2025-09-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.