Fifa International · resolved market
Will Kosovo vs. Sweden end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a1fbee2e321c9847c43fb4ef457c541a7ca16fac22bb9f3ca985090ec723e05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,730
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,952
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,730 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1188…f4adbacked Yes | 25c | 10,004$2,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,501 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 23c | 7,033$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.92 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde46…eba5backed No | 75c | 3,335$2,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…69bbbacked No | 75c | 3,334$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa889…4ca6backed No | 75c | 3,332$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 23c | 3,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 123 | 10.6%13 W · 110 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 23c | 1,700$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.01 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 23c | 999.87$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.97 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 23c | 600$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 274 | 34.3%94 W · 180 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 17c | 543.87$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.42 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…1a5ebacked Yes | 9c | 289.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.05 | 124 | 32.3%40 W · 84 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…5bd1backed Yes | 20c | 273$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1734…ddd4backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3f…e333backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 15c | 199.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…7842backed No | 75c | 150$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfd…ca1bbacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…c5f2backed No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 78c | 129$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.48 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dba…353fbacked Yes | 25c | 93.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 23c | 89.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 23c | 67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 211 | 40.3%85 W · 126 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1f…6823backed Yes | 22c | 63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 23c | 49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Yes | 24c | 45.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 124 | 17.7%22 W · 102 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…7f7bbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55da…839abacked No | 77c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed No | 76c | 26.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kosovo vs. Sweden end in a draw?this page
- Will Kosovo win on 2025-09-08?Yes won
- Will Sweden win on 2025-09-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.