Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in October?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9e2530a614f466f969911a5995748ea8786b45d8cdb58be6a926b55d29d4f16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,422
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,142
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,422 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc432…cb9dbacked No | 21c | 3,974$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…23a2backed No | 16c | 3,683$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 76c | 3,236$2,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.47 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5188…c804backed No | 28c | 3,232$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.81 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…fa3fbacked Yes | 57c | 2,999$1,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,297.98 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 51c | 2,697$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.36 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 9c | 2,008$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.19 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73dc…8d32backed Yes | 70c | 1,534$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.03 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 20c | 1,500$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.24 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe559…f88cbacked Yes | 80c | 1,254$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33ad…e148backed Yes | 55c | 999.4$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.71 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +5.0wins | +0.29per pick | 53cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed No | 4c | 917.37$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.69 | 283 | 20.5%58 W · 225 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 62c | 857.1$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.35 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4221…7364backed No | 41c | 821.19$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.57 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98d9…2c8cbacked Yes | 78c | 641.04$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.2 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…0b82backed No | 51c | 593.25$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -60%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c4…86a9backed Yes | 54c | 547.07$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.58 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed No | 40c | 527.93$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.6 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6752…fafbbacked Yes | 52c | 508.44$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.82 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c1…0cd6backed No | 24c | 454.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked No | 20c | 402.89$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.51 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 18c | 393.31$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.48 | 336 | 27.4%92 W · 244 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 68c | 366.25$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.8 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6990…3f6abacked No | 60c | 364$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec2…05f9backed No | 6c | 360.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…67c9backed Yes | 80c | 350$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked Yes | 48c | 322.91$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.26 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed No | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +157.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 65c | 281.68$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.59 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…f32abacked No | 58c | 280$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.5 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 66c | 262.43$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.43 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 57c | 260.93$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.62 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa794…e7d8backed No | 23c | 257.27$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fab…01e9backed No | 18c | 244.03$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc7…8f89backed No | 68c | 219.88$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.75 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 58c | 214.59$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.15 | 142 | 30.3%43 W · 99 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x245c…2486backed Yes | 61c | 203.93$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.31 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30b2…9e25backed No | 17c | 186.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…9d70backed No | 28c | 180.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58a3…3490backed No | 57c | 176.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…cbdcbacked No | 14c | 172$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1e…bfe7backed Yes | 41c | 164.88$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.28 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed No | 30c | 164.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…78a0backed Yes | 55c | 157.02$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.12 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5372…4b1fbacked Yes | 69c | 153.14$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.47 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -11%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 32c | 150.49$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.42 | 235 | 43.8%103 W · 132 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95d1…210ebacked No | 15c | 135.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 55c | 135$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.75 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2853…3482backed Yes | 54c | 134.27$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.23 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +7.0wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…b2e3backed Yes | 69c | 121.06$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked No | 13c | 112.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 49 | 14.3%7 W · 42 L | -6.7wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f25…4d4bbacked No | 37c | 110.37$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e88…bd30backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +39%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 141 | 25.5%36 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffdd…c06fbacked Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 132 | 16.7%22 W · 110 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 184 | 45.1%83 W · 101 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 57c | 99.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Yes | 62c | 81.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68f3…776cbacked No | 29c | 73.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…f4f1backed Yes | 75c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f7…f858backed Yes | 59c | 68.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…0e07backed Yes | 61c | 68$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 16c | 66.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 365 | 27.1%99 W · 266 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…5215backed No | 33c | 65.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed No | 44c | 63.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…6643backed No | 39c | 63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c69…9e30backed No | 35c | 60.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…7ba1backed Yes | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb882…e13ebacked No | 26c | 58.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 71c | 58$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -11.1wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…f218backed No | 41c | 53.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4653…bcc6backed No | 25c | 51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…c856backed Yes | 59c | 50.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae69…65c9backed Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ac…cd93backed No | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1e…75edbacked No | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eda…d453backed Yes | 48c | 49.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6551…9afcbacked No | 24c | 48.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…0d5cbacked Yes | 59c | 47.01$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +8.3wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 441 | 11.3%50 W · 391 L | -44.5wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 73c | 36.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 22cpaid | -92.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…f07ebacked Yes | 55c | 35.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…e5c6backed Yes | 63c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…ea78backed Yes | 40c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x210c…2edabacked Yes | 60c | 32.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 54 | 74.1%40 W · 14 L | +8.4wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x05ec…7158backed Yes | 62c | 31.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bba…3e07backed Yes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd16c…9100backed Yes | 50c | 30.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89bc…dddcbacked Yes | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcff1…ad9cbacked Yes | 58c | 29.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef6…6c60backed No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Yes | 65c | 25.49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe13b…84afbacked Yes | 64c | 23.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…7a3fbacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…9ef8backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -66%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x756d…75e6backed Yes | 63c | 19.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9119…d179backed Yes | 63c | 19.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b91…eec9backed No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in October?this page
- Will Trump meet with Ahmed Al Shara in October?No won
- Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu by October 31?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Chuck Schumer in October?No won
- Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in October?No won
- Will Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in October?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in October?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Hakeem Jeffries in October?No won
- Will Trump meet with Jerome Powell in October?No won
- Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in October?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in October?No won
- Will Trump meet with Mark Carney in October?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in October?No won
- Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in October?No won
- Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in October?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.