Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in October?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8906ef02619ac44492cfdb44781bcc2848c32895d2c3c39ceef00a960fc4d87b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,297
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,839
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,297 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e7f…2d2dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -89%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4221…7364backed Yes | 6c | 1,313$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.64 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 3c | 865.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98d9…2c8cbacked No | 80c | 674.07$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.62 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x340d…0f96backed Yes | 7c | 666.66$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1199…d5f9backed Yes | 2c | 638.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6865…9e80backed Yes | 5c | 609.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90be…c800backed Yes | 19c | 361.18$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.8 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…009dbacked Yes | 4c | 351.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc0…ef21backed Yes | 11c | 316.67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…e5f0backed Yes | 17c | 311.77$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.77 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes | 18c | 299.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe299…34cdbacked No | 79c | 280$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce68…f6b8backed Yes | 13c | 261.92$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.05 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.22per pick | 31cpaid | -88.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 10c | 255$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb398…d1cdbacked Yes | 9c | 249.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…9c45backed Yes | 50c | 242.06$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…68f5backed Yes | 16c | 234.06$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.63 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x173c…2236backed No | 74c | 230.91$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecf…fc09backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed Yes | 11c | 198.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dda…649cbacked Yes | 21c | 180$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…86cfbacked No | 50c | 170.06$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x048a…635cbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 14c | 85.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 336 | 27.4%92 W · 244 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd53a…8dc7backed Yes | 27c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86d1…84cbbacked No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa910…12c3backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03be…f6d9backed No | 79c | 49.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 49c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -11.1wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked No | 51c | 40.77$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2f…d8f8backed No | 73c | 34.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11eb…3f13backed Yes | 30c | 34.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc405…8b56backed Yes | 44c | 25.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f1b…00bebacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed No | 80c | 16.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.39 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in October?this page
- Will Trump meet with Ahmed Al Shara in October?No won
- Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu by October 31?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Chuck Schumer in October?No won
- Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in October?No won
- Will Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in October?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in October?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Hakeem Jeffries in October?No won
- Will Trump meet with Jerome Powell in October?No won
- Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in October?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in October?No won
- Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in October?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Mark Carney in October?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in October?No won
- Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in October?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.