Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in October?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5cc387a272c1e7b13b4693de26c2c3ee07f35ea5ede7cf8f325f68257e7b7a92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $350,865
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $282,562
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $350,865 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x357e…2a0cbacked Yes | 8c | 57,767$4,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,492.33 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…1d0abacked Yes | 0c | 39,049$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce68…f6b8backed Yes | 10c | 14,659$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.82 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.22per pick | 31cpaid | -88.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 4c | 10,000$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 6c | 9,371$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 9,168$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.8 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8af2…c705backed Yes | 2c | 7,684$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…4bd3backed Yes | 15c | 6,889$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.53 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…e5f0backed Yes | 10c | 3,727$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.98 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 4c | 3,453$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.74 | 141 | 25.5%36 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Yes | 7c | 3,107$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.82 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 15c | 3,018$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.89 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…fa3fbacked Yes | 17c | 2,999$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.07 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc28c…9c8bbacked Yes | 24c | 2,822$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed Yes | 14c | 2,500$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +157.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2853…3482backed Yes | 16c | 1,630$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.65 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +7.0wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1199…d5f9backed Yes | 14c | 1,625$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.49 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 14c | 1,507$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.59 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed Yes | 13c | 1,450$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.5 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffe…e125backed Yes | 6c | 1,400$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46ee…eb1ebacked Yes | 11c | 1,400$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.9 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4221…7364backed Yes | 12c | 1,362$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.78 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3c…5eeabacked Yes | 10c | 1,328$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.97 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…4350backed Yes | 23c | 1,278$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c4…86a9backed Yes | 4c | 1,239$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac1…0389backed Yes | 12c | 1,232$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30b2…9e25backed Yes | 4c | 1,218$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.93 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed Yes | 8c | 1,192$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e7f5backed Yes | 18c | 1,114$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x422d…5cedbacked Yes | 3c | 1,003$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c2…f1d3backed Yes | 14c | 1,000$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…ad78backed Yes | 9c | 895.36$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.16 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 1c | 891.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed Yes | 20c | 835.83$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe685…6633backed Yes | 2c | 790.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1029…61ffbacked Yes | 7c | 767.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…66b0backed Yes | 13c | 731$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.03 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e53…ba80backed Yes | 15c | 729.27$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.48 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…9c77backed Yes | 14c | 710.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 10c | 675$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 283 | 20.5%58 W · 225 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7849…3254backed Yes | 20c | 627.18$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc3…b21fbacked Yes | 15c | 612.91$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.36 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b1…7ef5backed Yes | 14c | 599.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ab…23cbbacked Yes | 17c | 572.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47b7…c5babacked Yes | 5c | 558.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00f5…1cc7backed Yes | 18c | 552.63$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc894…b9f6backed Yes | 10c | 534.5$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 8c | 510$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x074c…452ebacked Yes | 5c | 501.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ec…7b2ebacked Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 5c | 499.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 187 | 25.1%47 W · 140 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd595…b30bbacked Yes | 15c | 495.56$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…876cbacked Yes | 13c | 490$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b78…2637backed Yes | 4c | 440.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2748backed Yes | 25c | 432.73$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff77…4b76backed Yes | 17c | 428.76$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.15 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefb4…da56backed Yes | 19c | 422.4$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b8…225dbacked Yes | 19c | 419.77$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d76…be6abacked Yes | 10c | 416.73$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc4…53d4backed Yes | 10c | 416.18$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdacf…8d11backed Yes | 21c | 406.98$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +149.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf91f…57f5backed Yes | 7c | 401.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d5…9925backed Yes | 7c | 399.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x70a7…d389backed Yes | 18c | 377.53$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 16c | 373.9$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.99 | 142 | 30.3%43 W · 99 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…67c9backed Yes | 14c | 334.52$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.88 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 7c | 334.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 365 | 27.1%99 W · 266 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Yes | 23c | 330$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11eb…0fb0backed Yes | 5c | 315.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Yes | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4c…ea0cbacked Yes | 10c | 299.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed Yes | 11c | 298.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 16c | 292.23$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.76 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…35d5backed Yes | 6c | 283.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Yes | 11c | 267.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.41 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 14c | 253.34$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.43 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73dc…8d32backed Yes | 13c | 253.23$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed Yes | 14c | 240$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34a…6007backed Yes | 16c | 240$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e2c2backed Yes | 21c | 239.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc6…c936backed Yes | 13c | 223.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 16c | 220.05$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.36 | 235 | 43.8%103 W · 132 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe136…6918backed Yes | 15c | 218.36$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 8c | 215.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 336 | 27.4%92 W · 244 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabec…f322backed Yes | 17c | 215.09$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7f…2d2dbacked Yes | 13c | 212.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -89%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fec…c965backed Yes | 20c | 208.95$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.79 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea1d…aa25backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e78…e415backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…865ebacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e62…7c33backed No | 79c | 193.99$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd031…0ab9backed Yes | 13c | 181.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd2…2b28backed Yes | 17c | 177.23$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ce…5704backed Yes | 13c | 156.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…9a45backed Yes | 9c | 150.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 8c | 147.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 110 | 10%11 W · 99 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8c…e39fbacked Yes | 14c | 144.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2819…34fcbacked Yes | 15c | 130.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 16c | 126$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 133 | 41.4%55 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in October?this page
- Will Trump meet with Ahmed Al Shara in October?No won
- Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu by October 31?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Chuck Schumer in October?No won
- Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in October?No won
- Will Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in October?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in October?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Hakeem Jeffries in October?No won
- Will Trump meet with Jerome Powell in October?No won
- Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in October?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in October?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Mark Carney in October?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in October?No won
- Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in October?No won
- Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in October?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.