Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in October?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59eb371f8827a430ffa7dc0ab800fc50e2ec9ed1e08ad6c3e0c6ce2eee9fe202
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $354,028
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $316,354
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $354,028 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 7c | 31,943$2,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,172.98 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed No | 0c | 19,118$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…af47backed No | 21c | 13,741$2,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,858.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 9,761$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.56 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa758…0c98backed No | 15c | 8,307$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 26c | 8,055$2,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,114.38 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 16c | 7,604$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.58 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed No | 3c | 7,110$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.7 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…3f73backed Yes | 79c | 6,712$5,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.05 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…003fbacked No | 7c | 6,496$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed No | 3c | 5,210$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.86 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0c…6ac4backed No | 0c | 5,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d9…2c8cbacked Yes | 76c | 4,762$3,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.91 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce68…f6b8backed Yes | 70c | 4,659$3,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.49 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.22per pick | 31cpaid | -88.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…91acbacked No | 6c | 4,314$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5372…4b1fbacked Yes | 74c | 4,199$3,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.76 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -11%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…fa3fbacked Yes | 63c | 3,999$2,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.98 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 24c | 3,803$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.12 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed No | 17c | 3,175$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.04 | 141 | 35.5%50 W · 91 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37ef…a37abacked No | 3c | 3,138$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.84 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x387a…8eaebacked No | 14c | 3,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2f…1d1ebacked No | 7c | 2,988$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b8…b68cbacked No | 8c | 2,934$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.65 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe795…6068backed No | 3c | 2,719$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed No | 21c | 2,517$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.31 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -55%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…f2a8backed No | 5c | 2,323$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.86 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5188…c804backed Yes | 78c | 2,212$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.66 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 17c | 2,132$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.73 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb57…b165backed No | 5c | 2,054$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0c…6b3cbacked No | 4c | 1,948$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.27 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a51…3e59backed No | 5c | 1,840$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf30…2c10backed No | 11c | 1,802$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x990b…1fd7backed No | 6c | 1,795$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…c2f4backed No | 4c | 1,757$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 23c | 1,570$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.98 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 22cpaid | -92.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe587…9d4dbacked No | 20c | 1,502$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 34c | 1,500$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.45 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83a2…9452backed No | 8c | 1,400$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.38 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecf…fc09backed No | 9c | 1,273$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc331…1d71backed No | 5c | 1,253$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…f008backed No | 24c | 1,229$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 77c | 1,171$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.32 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56db…171cbacked No | 9c | 1,125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…23a2backed No | 6c | 1,040$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…154bbacked No | 6c | 998.81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.93 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked No | 5c | 935.3$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6003…e0f8backed No | 32c | 845.87$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 24c | 783.9$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.06 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x245c…2486backed No | 41c | 759.08$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.93 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffe…e125backed Yes | 77c | 737.01$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.99 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 76c | 732.05$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.25 | 184 | 45.1%83 W · 101 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Yes | 79c | 712.14$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.55 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1a…5abfbacked No | 5c | 689.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x173d…dc87backed No | 8c | 681$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec2…05f9backed No | 6c | 670.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ac…ee4bbacked Yes | 73c | 665.99$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.93 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…eeb2backed Yes | 71c | 656.03$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.94 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d1…ff0abacked No | 3c | 653.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…b2e3backed Yes | 79c | 632.61$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.37 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…b13abacked No | 26c | 607.28$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes | 77c | 600$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 73c | 574.94$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.97 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…a086backed Yes | 77c | 572.46$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.46 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6865…9e80backed No | 28c | 559.88$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b80…81e2backed No | 25c | 558.53$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0e…a433backed No | 4c | 549.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe792…ffe4backed No | 21c | 536.03$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 9c | 510.77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.57 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52c2…65a0backed No | 5c | 504.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5207…686bbacked Yes | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33ad…e148backed Yes | 54c | 499.35$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.88 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +5.0wins | +0.29per pick | 53cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…8f66backed No | 19c | 426.54$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5015…68e0backed No | 8c | 424.59$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 5c | 420.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd2…982dbacked No | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f93…6197backed No | 24c | 416.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 70c | 410.69$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.88 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked No | 25c | 408$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 33cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x210c…2edabacked Yes | 73c | 400.49$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.75 | 54 | 74.1%40 W · 14 L | +8.4wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8b50…4638backed No | 15c | 399.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf203…f630backed No | 18c | 393$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c97…d4d6backed No | 6c | 387.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66b…0b8bbacked No | 15c | 373.45$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.55 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18f9…f4d5backed No | 20c | 353.48$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd0…35abbacked No | 6c | 346.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x681b…bf35backed No | 42c | 344.68$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a3…c8debacked No | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 60c | 328.44$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.44 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…d95cbacked Yes | 80c | 326.12$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.43 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8572…6331backed No | 4c | 321.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38b…93b0backed No | 6c | 319.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ba…1c3cbacked No | 7c | 314.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…65a7backed No | 23c | 313.08$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.88 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e78…e415backed No | 26c | 313.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f13…d602backed No | 19c | 307.76$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd19b…8fd9backed Yes | 58c | 303.62$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeefe…6c44backed Yes | 49c | 300.24$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 78c | 292.95$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.58 | 398 | 9.5%38 W · 360 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…c382backed Yes | 63c | 289.88$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4542…8477backed No | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in October?this page
- Will Trump meet with Ahmed Al Shara in October?No won
- Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu by October 31?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Chuck Schumer in October?No won
- Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in October?No won
- Will Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in October?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in October?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Hakeem Jeffries in October?No won
- Will Trump meet with Jerome Powell in October?No won
- Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in October?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in October?No won
- Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in October?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Mark Carney in October?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in October?No won
- Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in October?No won
- Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.