TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$133,036
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$131,252

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,036 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x832b…5c91backed Yes76c5,085$3,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,201.982520%5 W · 20 L-4.8wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-50.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x88e2…9d96backed No30c3,387$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked No10c2,135$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.485712.3%7 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick10cpaid-39.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x30ee…a587backed Yes79c1,866$1,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.671050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a1c…73f1backed No1c1,864$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed No12c1,782$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.611414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-57.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac9a…7ccebacked No27c1,497$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56dc…f02bbacked No9c1,496$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.5170%0 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes70c1,482$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.671747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No20c1,313$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.2813832.6%45 W · 93 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked No18c1,220$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.7216232.1%52 W · 110 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+19.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf3f5…863cbacked No17c1,126$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Yes71c1,111$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.8842862.4%267 W · 161 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No13c967.54$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.162037.4%15 W · 188 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-57.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd45…c05ebacked No12c834.47$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.48812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick27cpaid-83.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82ea…e6edbacked No14c727.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-58%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2271…b8f1backed Yes79c698.21$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.212100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+50.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc2e…2358backed No33c597.11$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.417447.3%35 W · 39 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes68c596$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.373066.7%20 W · 10 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed No12c579.75$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.774712.8%6 W · 41 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-46.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Yes77c555.1$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.57847.4%37 W · 41 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed No51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.746540%26 W · 39 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xffd2…d7aebacked No13c500$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654330.2%13 W · 30 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-6.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb671…8349backed Yes67c485.07$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.07728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-44.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No3c476.89$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1857833%191 W · 387 L-29.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb8a…2562backed No21c476.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-60.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No4c441.62$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4358.6%3 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick8cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5016…58e4backed No13c435.19$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.421435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick22cpaid+31.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3fe…4a24backed No35c406.03$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.1111241.1%46 W · 66 L-10.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-17.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes60c393.58$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.1125532.9%84 W · 171 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-5.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes52c390.97$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.793844.7%17 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aca…5627backed No6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4eee…5841backed No12c321.63$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.03812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick30cpaid-79.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed Yes68c315.93$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.762744.4%12 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-18.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4eb5…7588backed No13c303.24$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.930%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03bd…b422backed No8c266$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0754…4955backed No19c265.08$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503417.6%6 W · 28 L-5.3wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-63.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No12c260.86$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.289152.9%471 W · 420 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb90c…9a6abacked Yes78c235.8$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.85246.2%24 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71e1…6bdcbacked No13c231.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x95a6…b568backed No31c227.23$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadec…3c7bbacked No8c219.92$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2874…9fd7backed No38c219.32$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-42.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbdf7…65d9backed No33c200$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.0950%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5567…aeedbacked No10c199.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfda…bedebacked No45c197.88$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.335349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No11c195.08$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.21926.3%5 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick17cpaid-17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed No49c190.2$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.210751.4%55 W · 52 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaef…e564backed No27c190$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe860…cdaabacked No31c188.99$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.596147.5%29 W · 32 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No10c187.61$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2215461%94 W · 60 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6753…515fbacked Yes54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.19250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ee1…e2bbbacked No14c183.96$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2523741.8%99 W · 138 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7250…5468backed No38c174.12$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed Yes49c174$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.749861.2%60 W · 38 L+12.3wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+28.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked No15c163.28$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.08728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-53.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x235e…5673backed No21c161.46$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.912429.2%7 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec76…f9f1backed No36c158.7$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.13425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-54.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb708…ef3dbacked No23c157.89$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.72944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-27.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f29…0760backed Yes76c143.34$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x258a…46bdbacked No14c142.24$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5f7…9ab2backed Yes76c131.34$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.34333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-56.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7842…4d91backed Yes74c131$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.062343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-21.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b4…1634backed Yes77c130.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.42520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-73.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7b3…ab43backed No27c125$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.02333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed No15c120.64$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.13129%9 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6bde…b181backed No12c120$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.43426.5%9 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x66e6…a54bbacked No27c118.9$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb68…a1f1backed Yes74c118$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.68333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-55%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fd4…d402backed No13c115.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6987…fd9ebacked Yes79c105.95$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0df…a1dbbacked No14c105$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.15837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed No20c104.54$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.913948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc6b…f4cebacked Yes79c100.9$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.34650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-34.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3297…ac74backed Yes80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0687…c6cebacked Yes80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…d9a3backed Yes80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4916…f56fbacked No15c91.19$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.531216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-57.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcdc3…a71fbacked Yes59c85.59$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.98837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-38%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6a2…4b66backed No17c78.12$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.452119%4 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick15cpaid-28.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x356f…639fbacked Yes77c69$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.681637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe430…b09fbacked Yes74c67.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.571154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed No20c63.23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.562015%3 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick21cpaid+19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52db…1394backed Yes80c63.08$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.62250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63da…5b90backed Yes79c60$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1408…b4f8backed Yes77c51.81$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.021936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-40.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5903…f218backed No22c49.48$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.87425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-62.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes45c49$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9520040.5%81 W · 119 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xece7…3353backed No23c47$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.811421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick39cpaid-59.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9b8…ba65backed No24c40.89$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe097…d399backed Yes48c40.54$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.081258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e28…2942backed Yes69c39.06$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6147…cbb8backed Yes78c39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.58875%6 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x119f…ba30backed Yes79c37.97$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2603…0781backed Yes78c32.05$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.052100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa041…412dbacked Yes79c28.23$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.93250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-36.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Yes78c27.23$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.994240.5%17 W · 25 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4864…c077backed Yes78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.64540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-41%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa314…5ba7backed Yes79c25.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.42366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0429…4c98backed Yes79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.32250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.