AI · resolved market
OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7ae128967f894b9eef9aec572fede03e801ebc185cdb618b05f0d7162efe781
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $249,364
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $243,227
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $249,364 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe352…f259backed No | 0c | 83,647$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ce…beecbacked Yes | 73c | 9,748$7,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,651.3 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…d4a6backed Yes | 51c | 4,702$2,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,311.02 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -38%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc2…e3f4backed Yes | 71c | 4,389$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.02 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc851…cd2abacked Yes | 54c | 4,185$2,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,942.81 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 73c | 3,871$2,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.03 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -81%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 20c | 3,784$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.55 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | +13.1wins | +0.14per pick | 21cpaid | +167%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked No | 36c | 3,328$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.45 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 3,077$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe004…dbd7backed No | 2c | 2,710$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 52c | 2,426$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.23 | 76 | 11.8%9 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x497b…aba5backed No | 64c | 2,117$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.71 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f23…27cbbacked No | 4c | 2,070$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -72%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…9c62backed No | 2c | 2,033$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48d3…30babacked No | 48c | 2,028$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.48 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 52c | 1,916$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.58 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d83…0bb9backed Yes | 80c | 1,861$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.25 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2402…9376backed Yes | 63c | 1,600$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1b…a11dbacked No | 76c | 1,577$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197.96 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 69c | 1,472$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.15 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe03f…ffd6backed No | 30c | 1,375$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 40c | 1,347$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.56 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…6387backed No | 47c | 1,267$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45ae…30a5backed No | 4c | 1,260$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf208…5eefbacked Yes | 79c | 1,246$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.51 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 62c | 1,200$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 457 | 38.9%178 W · 279 L | -31.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e95…a0e4backed No | 29c | 1,095$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked No | 51c | 1,082$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.93 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 44c | 1,046$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.33 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 217 | 13.4%29 W · 188 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd70…d270backed No | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d29…5268backed Yes | 70c | 983.3$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc490…0050backed No | 2c | 968$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…58c7backed Yes | 47c | 956.55$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 21c | 952$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +8.4wins | +0.19per pick | 13cpaid | +143.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6e…23a5backed Yes | 59c | 950$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +101%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x113e…3febbacked No | 41c | 950$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked No | 37c | 916.19$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.1 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…bc8fbacked No | 72c | 874.62$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6917…7279backed Yes | 67c | 850$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa066…515abacked No | 33c | 850$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…5204backed No | 42c | 838$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.05 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f77…a9a9backed Yes | 21c | 820.09$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 13c | 768$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 13cpaid | +104%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b24…2e06backed Yes | 64c | 768$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf4…ce9dbacked No | 29c | 743.96$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.24 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x388e…2078backed No | 9c | 722$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.62 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…f722backed No | 1c | 721.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cce…5c11backed No | 74c | 679.96$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6136…5dcdbacked Yes | 74c | 677.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.39 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 69cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…cd75backed Yes | 28c | 669$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.75 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3000…0d25backed No | 77c | 666.62$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 72c | 657.7$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.94 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc77…c035backed Yes | 52c | 612.26$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.32 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes | 59c | 542.08$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.2 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0433…8b4fbacked No | 6c | 531.77$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…73acbacked No | 75c | 525.83$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.2 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed No | 33c | 514.24$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.7 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 49c | 501$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.06 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x554c…7156backed No | 5c | 499.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed No | 44c | 484$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.84 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf812…494bbacked Yes | 36c | 477$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ea…dd4ebacked Yes | 23c | 449.48$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.48 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 50cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 67c | 443.55$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.89 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9dc…528fbacked Yes | 72c | 429.28$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 7c | 428.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 211 | 25.6%54 W · 157 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 40c | 421.6$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.86 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 51c | 419.19$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.26 | 257 | 31.5%81 W · 176 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…cd6dbacked Yes | 29c | 417.61$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +74%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…ae77backed No | 34c | 409.83$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.78 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09e2…29debacked No | 35c | 400$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.83 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…1863backed No | 35c | 395.89$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 65c | 371.78$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.19 | 72 | 22.2%16 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Yes | 39c | 365.12$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 48c | 359.88$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.74 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65fe…4953backed Yes | 59c | 353.53$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f4b1backed Yes | 30c | 337.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.34 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb328…00debacked No | 31c | 327.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 62c | 325.08$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.41 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…5215backed No | 71c | 320.61$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab5…1d6ebacked Yes | 45c | 310$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.3 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 60c | 310$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.82 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 50c | 306.12$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.63 | 729 | 35.5%259 W · 470 L | -57.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…a23ebacked No | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4263…edb3backed Yes | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588c…1bf4backed No | 78c | 297.91$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e9…6094backed No | 35c | 289.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5377…e6dabacked No | 35c | 288.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f3…c2c2backed Yes | 47c | 279.97$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.46 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Yes | 25c | 276$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.09 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed No | 73c | 264.83$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 77c | 261$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.27 | 156 | 15.4%24 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 56c | 248.47$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.1 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb65b…6c84backed No | 61c | 246.03$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebb6…f162backed No | 50c | 241.85$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.35 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b93…9ec4backed Yes | 35c | 237.37$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.08 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +8.1wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x24c0…4a9cbacked No | 32c | 218.75$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe8…b7e4backed No | 46c | 217.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4a…73d2backed No | 74c | 203.59$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb2…e5d5backed No | 71c | 200.96$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.