World Politics · resolved market
Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb54dfd7b69391e65fcdeb291e09606e2f3c44ef3a3e7b6dbd1d411a4ed4c2b54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,257,274
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,115,264
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,257,274 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 394 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd039…2532backed Yes | 0c | 75,000$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 121 | 29.8%36 W · 85 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8147…4fbfbacked Yes | 25c | 43,506$11,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,048.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…3587backed Yes | 0c | 31,385$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…afe7backed Yes | 23c | 26,087$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6739…5d36backed Yes | 0c | 25,019$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 10c | 22,118$2,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,236.17 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 21,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Yes | 29c | 17,423$5,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,067.05 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa09c…f710backed Yes | 0c | 16,194$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a21…d26abacked Yes | 0c | 12,500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 0c | 12,001$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | -7.3wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaf…4d94backed Yes | 38c | 11,194$4,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,238.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd0…0f6abacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d69…2820backed No | 75c | 9,304$6,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,326.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe61…847abacked Yes | 33c | 9,149$2,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,980.37 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ac…d4bcbacked No | 46c | 8,876$4,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,811.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0408…061dbacked Yes | 21c | 7,741$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +319.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…ad9fbacked Yes | 54c | 6,500$3,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,509 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9f…91dbbacked Yes | 37c | 6,444$2,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,390.38 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Yes | 30c | 6,284$1,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,885.1 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28bb…b0b2backed Yes | 0c | 6,277$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa239…b9f2backed Yes | 0c | 6,264$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1473…8033backed Yes | 1c | 6,261$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x903f…fc9abacked Yes | 0c | 6,260$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x214b…102bbacked Yes | 0c | 6,209$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0c…6b3cbacked Yes | 17c | 6,176$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.96 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2036…b82bbacked Yes | 0c | 6,172$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f77…e471backed Yes | 0c | 6,064$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 35c | 5,720$2,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025.78 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd20…8dfdbacked Yes | 27c | 5,653$1,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,516.66 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb2…6b94backed Yes | 2c | 5,481$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +150.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9f…d1bcbacked Yes | 23c | 5,397$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…5e92backed Yes | 0c | 5,307$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6d…bbe2backed Yes | 45c | 5,205$2,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,343.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…9c58backed Yes | 0c | 5,030$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 1c | 4,964$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c4…86a9backed Yes | 35c | 4,358$1,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,541.59 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8d…0c92backed Yes | 24c | 4,154$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd036…ff2ebacked Yes | 0c | 3,929$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Yes | 45c | 3,857$1,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,732.29 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b85…1d0ebacked Yes | 26c | 3,844$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 41c | 3,649$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.02 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6f…8afbbacked Yes | 31c | 3,500$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…ff6bbacked No | 68c | 3,441$2,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf6…559dbacked Yes | 22c | 3,364$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.08 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Yes | 39c | 3,299$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.1 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0048…ab1cbacked Yes | 26c | 3,179$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.45 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0d…ff14backed No | 67c | 3,137$2,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.04 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…9916backed Yes | 27c | 3,117$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…4da1backed Yes | 20c | 3,101$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa1e…75cabacked Yes | 47c | 3,068$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Yes | 37c | 3,046$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.26 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 77c | 2,822$2,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.35 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 70c | 2,766$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.34 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…20ccbacked Yes | 26c | 2,758$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.08 | 113 | 31%35 W · 78 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b7…0468backed Yes | 0c | 2,741$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Yes | 33c | 2,713$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.12 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x766c…5829backed Yes | 50c | 2,634$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,327.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf88e…624ebacked Yes | 27c | 2,620$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 17c | 2,506$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.24 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee6f…d4dabacked Yes | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +989.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x390c…fd0bbacked Yes | 42c | 2,451$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x883c…688fbacked Yes | 29c | 2,299$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 33c | 2,291$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.99 | 166 | 12.7%21 W · 145 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…b103backed Yes | 35c | 2,289$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.03 | 205 | 38%78 W · 127 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…1fcabacked Yes | 31c | 2,260$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x536d…4b67backed No | 78c | 2,185$1,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.72 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ff…9d75backed Yes | 46c | 2,183$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9862…c3c4backed Yes | 22c | 2,158$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 72c | 2,117$1,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.46 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b19…36b6backed Yes | 34c | 2,078$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked Yes | 36c | 1,939$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.61 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 33c | 1,939$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.66 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb15a…a1c5backed Yes | 40c | 1,897$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.56 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc77…c035backed No | 78c | 1,838$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.65 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked Yes | 23c | 1,660$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a8…8466backed Yes | 32c | 1,634$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.9 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aba…c083backed Yes | 28c | 1,621$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.68 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…81b3backed Yes | 32c | 1,617$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed No | 69c | 1,529$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.85 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a9…bb2fbacked Yes | 48c | 1,525$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Yes | 31c | 1,520$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.27 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Yes | 3c | 1,500$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 180 | 36.7%66 W · 114 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e02…0f24backed No | 68c | 1,475$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a45…9d4abacked No | 48c | 1,426$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.31 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +7.8wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7f12backed Yes | 6c | 1,334$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7847…3714backed Yes | 26c | 1,329$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa4…a1bfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,199$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…34f7backed Yes | 2c | 1,145$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdc…e34fbacked Yes | 18c | 1,138$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b4…efd8backed Yes | 26c | 1,054$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4f…b74cbacked Yes | 27c | 1,020$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f7…92f7backed Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…b41ebacked No | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f4b…f9bfbacked Yes | 22c | 975.4$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.97 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 22c | 962.71$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.59 | 347 | 26.8%93 W · 254 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 38c | 962.02$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.29 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x101e…eaf4backed Yes | 30c | 940$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 32c | 904.87$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.56 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?this page
- Will FIT-U win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No won
- Will HNP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No won
- Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes won
- Will PRO win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No won
- Will SER win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No won
- Will UCR win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.