World Politics · resolved market
Will SER win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1321095e16f2904ccae2520e22e635b69bd4f25fc54afd3d0d838a3bf54550ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,854,866
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $562,507
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,854,866 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed Yes | 0c | 120,564$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.57 | 68 | 4.4%3 W · 65 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +417.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 75,408$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.41 | 361 | 4.4%16 W · 345 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef42…bf29backed Yes | 0c | 59,572$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e2f0backed Yes | 0c | 58,692$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…fd7ebacked Yes | 0c | 58,552$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd114…882cbacked Yes | 0c | 58,442$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b03…a54abacked Yes | 0c | 58,027$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd296…f490backed Yes | 0c | 57,978$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…1964backed Yes | 0c | 56,819$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b52…047fbacked Yes | 0c | 56,554$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x922a…d79ebacked Yes | 0c | 56,455$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a75…bca5backed Yes | 0c | 56,015$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee90…fa55backed Yes | 0c | 55,584$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe13…73bbbacked Yes | 0c | 55,350$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3de9…39c0backed Yes | 0c | 55,316$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cda…1ba3backed Yes | 0c | 54,955$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb11…9c46backed Yes | 0c | 54,631$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe05…f5f1backed Yes | 0c | 54,368$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5920…c080backed Yes | 0c | 54,307$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2aa…6cf6backed Yes | 0c | 54,229$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a6…92f2backed Yes | 0c | 54,205$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cae…4ce3backed Yes | 0c | 54,183$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…9a23backed Yes | 0c | 54,069$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b78…da60backed Yes | 0c | 54,064$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…09f6backed Yes | 0c | 54,055$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x959c…ed36backed Yes | 0c | 53,987$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4264…7870backed Yes | 0c | 53,973$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc02b…bc15backed Yes | 0c | 53,877$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92e7…b2cfbacked Yes | 0c | 53,818$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf393…907bbacked Yes | 0c | 53,731$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e5…ccc5backed Yes | 0c | 53,627$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a74…6b02backed Yes | 0c | 53,500$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…4e29backed Yes | 0c | 53,453$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02e6…4e9bbacked Yes | 0c | 53,383$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2125…d48fbacked Yes | 0c | 53,344$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4e…895dbacked Yes | 0c | 53,178$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83f3…a5afbacked Yes | 0c | 53,100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6044…76c5backed Yes | 0c | 52,782$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf31b…f4c6backed Yes | 0c | 52,774$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f22…29d5backed Yes | 0c | 52,615$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa507…e872backed Yes | 0c | 52,344$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe420…7e81backed Yes | 0c | 52,326$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6125…1dbabacked Yes | 0c | 51,749$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe92…7358backed Yes | 0c | 51,211$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3a…cbbdbacked Yes | 0c | 51,124$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a03…9a86backed Yes | 0c | 50,871$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf863…daf1backed Yes | 0c | 50,831$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd006…b0a0backed Yes | 0c | 50,586$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…7407backed Yes | 0c | 50,535$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e16…a13cbacked Yes | 0c | 50,323$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x063a…d441backed Yes | 0c | 49,566$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc303…a476backed Yes | 0c | 48,212$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd36a…ecf5backed Yes | 0c | 31,000$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 30,999$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef02…4f7ebacked Yes | 0c | 22,911$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7159…ff2abacked Yes | 0c | 20,920$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8225…162fbacked Yes | 0c | 11,062$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 1c | 4,311$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 452 | 1.1%5 W · 447 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e3…9afebacked Yes | 0c | 3,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe5…ed49backed Yes | 1c | 2,288$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 1c | 2,195$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 380 | 23.9%91 W · 289 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ff…374fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,172$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d27…a79ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,642$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Yes | 2c | 999.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -60%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SER win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?this page
- Will FIT-U win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No won
- Will HNP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No won
- Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes won
- Will PRO win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No won
- Will UCR win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No won
- Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.