Us Politics · resolved market
Will Mike Bloomberg endorse Cuomo?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7baa6823bf92bbd3ad034b6ee43cd58fbee98e5971ac7410c21a4acaa171583b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,058
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,402
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,058 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 30c | 2,103$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.92 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 35c | 1,553$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.7 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 111 | 21.6%24 W · 87 L | +11.4wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +179.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 111 | 20.7%23 W · 88 L | +10.9wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +212.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 36c | 636$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.39 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff2b…b73abacked Yes | 28c | 402.32$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.64 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -41%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71dd…d61cbacked Yes | 45c | 360$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 46c | 333.91$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.43 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…6958backed No | 68c | 324.04$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.45per pick | 65cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 25c | 316.63$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.83 | 132 | 16.7%22 W · 110 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 43c | 258$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.89 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +10.8wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x022e…2a77backed Yes | 58c | 254.01$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.68 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…b88cbacked Yes | 30c | 221.27$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.27 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 32c | 210.96$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.41 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 55c | 173.56$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.1 | 184 | 45.1%83 W · 101 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 39c | 164$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.05 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed No | 64c | 155.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +198.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 51c | 155$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.51 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64c8…73cebacked No | 77c | 150$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 31c | 130$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.7 | 149 | 35.6%53 W · 96 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d57…bfc5backed Yes | 52c | 130$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.6 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 137 | 14.6%20 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…30f1backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 25c | 95$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.25 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9e…5f7fbacked Yes | 46c | 85.74$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.3 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9532…8ee1backed No | 69c | 69.87$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…fffbbacked No | 65c | 61.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc402…8d5fbacked Yes | 60c | 58.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 39c | 51.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.13 | 336 | 27.4%92 W · 244 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e2…25f7backed No | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39f…cd6ebacked Yes | 54c | 39.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce2…5f90backed Yes | 59c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +4.3wins | +0.31per pick | 40cpaid | +122.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…c055backed No | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…f218backed Yes | 47c | 30.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2439…d220backed No | 66c | 30.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x995c…8770backed Yes | 67c | 29.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x210c…2edabacked Yes | 41c | 29.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 54 | 74.1%40 W · 14 L | +8.4wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7fec…c965backed Yes | 36c | 28.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…658ebacked Yes | 46c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc19a…3289backed No | 65c | 19.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…d4debacked Yes | 64c | 17.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.