Middle East · resolved market
Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x996df5bfa70f2f7deaae459c83fb7ef432777289028b366d7c944718dcafe626
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $649,030
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $617,636
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $649,030 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 485 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd748…2125backed No | 32c | 25,734$8,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,320.4 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 5c | 22,253$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.65 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 36c | 20,657$7,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,345.52 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…f2a8backed No | 25c | 18,469$4,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,528.45 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 46c | 16,572$7,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,555.3 | 212 | 59.9%127 W · 85 L | +21.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d73…bae7backed Yes | 73c | 15,051$10,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,052.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 23c | 14,582$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,399.62 | 264 | 23.9%63 W · 201 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35c0…81d6backed No | 0c | 11,023$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb41…1fffbacked Yes | 62c | 10,791$6,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…21bbbacked No | 39c | 10,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,899.97 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 56c | 9,999$5,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,405.14 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 26c | 8,668$2,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,266.6 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac56…6dadbacked No | 1c | 7,855$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01a9…33f6backed No | 3c | 7,662$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed No | 1c | 7,212$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.37 | 197 | 6.6%13 W · 184 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x169a…c46abacked Yes | 64c | 6,719$4,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,432.09 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed No | 19c | 6,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…dfb6backed No | 37c | 5,847$2,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,156.91 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c96…3eefbacked Yes | 71c | 5,474$3,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,596.99 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +105.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fed…981cbacked No | 1c | 5,444$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…e5f0backed No | 40c | 5,250$2,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,122.47 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ce…f74dbacked Yes | 55c | 5,221$2,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,333.97 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 37cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b3…24e2backed No | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…ddafbacked No | 2c | 4,943$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.48 | 156 | 26.9%42 W · 114 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d57…9569backed No | 2c | 4,259$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe333…e05cbacked No | 11c | 4,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…106abacked No | 35c | 4,000$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked Yes | 73c | 4,000$2,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.99 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed No | 1c | 3,800$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 96 | 4.2%4 W · 92 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…59fdbacked No | 40c | 3,728$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.61 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe88…90f5backed Yes | 72c | 3,334$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.17 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ac…2287backed Yes | 71c | 3,295$2,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed No | 32c | 3,250$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.29 | 115 | 37.4%43 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42df…e54abacked No | 2c | 3,157$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 51c | 3,076$1,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,493.33 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ad…be8cbacked Yes | 59c | 3,057$1,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.53 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbc74…216cbacked No | 67c | 2,834$1,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,904.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed No | 38c | 2,766$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.59 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 78c | 2,757$2,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.19 | 261 | 38.7%101 W · 160 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 34c | 2,716$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.12 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed No | 13c | 2,700$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.38 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09bb…f8b1backed Yes | 69c | 2,692$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.81 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63d4…a2f1backed No | 22c | 2,683$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.55 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x711c…8495backed Yes | 44c | 2,633$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480.77 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c4…86a9backed Yes | 45c | 2,621$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.02 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…9f1bbacked No | 2c | 2,578$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.67 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc20…981cbacked Yes | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…0821backed No | 2c | 2,498$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a4…6b6bbacked No | 40c | 2,453$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…1630backed Yes | 68c | 2,270$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.84 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d82…7d33backed Yes | 59c | 2,245$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.81 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 54c | 2,244$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.42 | 344 | 32.3%111 W · 233 L | -31.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbe94…7bb6backed Yes | 66c | 2,213$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.99 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 71c | 2,087$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.6 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71ce…1825backed Yes | 67c | 2,079$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.15 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 61cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed No | 65c | 2,050$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.42 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed No | 33c | 2,041$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.53 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…d632backed No | 2c | 2,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.29 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5a…1d35backed Yes | 62c | 1,780$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.03 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4324…a086backed No | 28c | 1,764$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd35…2bb6backed Yes | 63c | 1,740$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.51 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ab…29c7backed Yes | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 61cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed Yes | 62c | 1,713$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.99 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | -9.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9622…01efbacked Yes | 66c | 1,653$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.77 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9426…0b66backed Yes | 63c | 1,614$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…fd20backed Yes | 65c | 1,597$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.62 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 4c | 1,569$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.51 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Yes | 48c | 1,565$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.16 | 94 | 34%32 W · 62 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…7d2dbacked Yes | 49c | 1,440$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.29 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7498…60adbacked Yes | 68c | 1,421$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.34 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…0d5cbacked Yes | 30c | 1,400$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.26 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 32c | 1,400$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 203 | 36.9%75 W · 128 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c4…f7b4backed No | 3c | 1,374$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +307.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b58…4adfbacked No | 36c | 1,364$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d1…a4fbbacked Yes | 37c | 1,364$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.95 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc298…a912backed No | 34c | 1,332$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 45c | 1,316$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.46 | 458 | 43.7%200 W · 258 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…4b9fbacked Yes | 70c | 1,288$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.41 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 44c | 1,273$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.61 | 312 | 41.7%130 W · 182 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked No | 28c | 1,273$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.33 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked No | 2c | 1,253$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked No | 2c | 1,210$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 133 | 2.3%3 W · 130 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2917…be8fbacked Yes | 43c | 1,199$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.66 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc32d…02c2backed No | 1c | 1,191$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…658ebacked Yes | 79c | 1,136$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.34 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0672…19c3backed No | 2c | 1,133$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe13b…e29dbacked No | 2c | 1,130$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09a7…7ad9backed No | 39c | 1,118$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8545…d84bbacked Yes | 65c | 1,094$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4775…c57dbacked Yes | 57c | 1,078$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.09 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed No | 48c | 1,043$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503 | 382 | 37.7%144 W · 238 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…4120backed No | 2c | 1,031$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fe…ce76backed Yes | 62c | 1,001$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.91 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x372b…cbf5backed No | 2c | 1,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed No | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 432 | 12.5%54 W · 378 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a98…5950backed Yes | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…7b80backed No | 48c | 999.73$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.85 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d8c…18aabacked No | 1c | 949.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…f830backed Yes | 69c | 942.55$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed No | 66c | 917.84$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.77 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.