Macro Indicators · resolved market
Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% in September?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a8808061765dafbc64c84872298121659a7835b4ba720dd8517d8b8eaceccd5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Macro Indicatorsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $231,572
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $246,352
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $231,572 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Macro Indicators is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa84d…5d71backed Yes | 35c | 41,578$14,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,114.54 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b03…e8afbacked Yes | 32c | 18,319$5,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,501.46 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b4…d5e5backed No | 67c | 17,082$11,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,399.69 | 128 | 20.3%26 W · 102 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…c149backed Yes | 37c | 14,252$5,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,908.21 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +208.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked No | 1c | 13,998$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.98 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 9cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffc…8236backed Yes | 35c | 13,174$4,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,566.47 | 224 | 33.9%76 W · 148 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +69%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc6…aad8backed Yes | 35c | 9,825$3,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,370.78 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ea…d556backed Yes | 37c | 9,718$3,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,167.67 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98fa…d698backed Yes | 35c | 9,509$3,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,206.73 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…0fe9backed Yes | 37c | 7,906$2,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,957.02 | 104 | 33.7%35 W · 69 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…a403backed Yes | 39c | 6,182$2,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,791.36 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3161…daf5backed Yes | 34c | 6,084$2,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,020.57 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb4…b811backed Yes | 39c | 5,654$2,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,476.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 65c | 5,181$3,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,378.85 | 233 | 30.5%71 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc24a…fdbcbacked Yes | 35c | 4,372$1,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,830.1 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…705bbacked Yes | 37c | 4,300$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,725 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb118…8d34backed Yes | 37c | 3,690$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,341.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x404f…561dbacked Yes | 39c | 3,041$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840.6 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -54%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed8…93d4backed Yes | 36c | 2,126$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.05 | 143 | 25.2%36 W · 107 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497b…aba5backed Yes | 43c | 1,850$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.12 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…d3dcbacked No | 60c | 1,675$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf650…1c51backed Yes | 33c | 1,452$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.83 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b91…2709backed Yes | 79c | 1,153$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.28 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 17c | 822$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.74 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a7…b556backed No | 60c | 817.68$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 63c | 792.69$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.47 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes | 32c | 775$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.25 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 31c | 671$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.99 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…0cf5backed Yes | 41c | 616.45$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.45 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb86e…8cfdbacked Yes | 40c | 600$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5be9…9106backed Yes | 37c | 600$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d3…5b5ebacked No | 65c | 586.44$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.62 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe92…d51abacked Yes | 33c | 514$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.94 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 30cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 43c | 500$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6147…d34ebacked Yes | 35c | 500$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a8…84f5backed Yes | 39c | 496$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 39c | 453.34$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.03 | 175 | 28%49 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed Yes | 45c | 450$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.8 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 65c | 439.66$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.37 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…4651backed Yes | 32c | 417.45$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.32 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56f0…1c37backed Yes | 38c | 399.99$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.99 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 79c | 365$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.44 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb7…5b4bbacked Yes | 44c | 350$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.8 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 61c | 334.47$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.45 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf57f…e5fcbacked No | 57c | 310$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 70c | 274.76$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.86 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef5…9e19backed Yes | 40c | 262.5$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x386d…9bb6backed Yes | 43c | 260$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.2 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…bf83backed Yes | 42c | 250$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d8…38f7backed Yes | 37c | 250$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.05 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4e…0e0bbacked Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 32c | 232$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.75 | 140 | 24.3%34 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…75e3backed Yes | 36c | 219.49$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.47 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 61c | 205.23$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.19 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…f218backed No | 63c | 200$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +43%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aba…c083backed Yes | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 133 | 38.3%51 W · 82 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…95adbacked No | 69c | 200$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6547…8043backed Yes | 31c | 170$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.3 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed No | 67c | 150$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d0…4032backed Yes | 43c | 141.52$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed Yes | 41c | 135$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.65 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…20c5backed Yes | 42c | 134.86$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.22 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee5…0836backed Yes | 32c | 125$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f50…1fb6backed No | 70c | 120$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…84d2backed Yes | 40c | 117.07$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97df…3088backed Yes | 38c | 107.35$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.56 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…93f4backed Yes | 19c | 104.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.76 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…ea70backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0330…eb8fbacked Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a28…0972backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26ea…67adbacked Yes | 40c | 89.57$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.52 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x692f…7c55backed Yes | 41c | 75.44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked Yes | 39c | 75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…d95cbacked No | 37c | 74.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x210c…2edabacked No | 62c | 70.66$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.09 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 64c | 68$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.52 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9e…5f7fbacked No | 67c | 63.05$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…ab3dbacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1a…6bccbacked Yes | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34c2…67f3backed No | 62c | 58.06$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb61…329dbacked Yes | 39c | 48.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9619…ed6abacked Yes | 35c | 48.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f0…e696backed Yes | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a53…52adbacked Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef85…f2b9backed No | 63c | 43.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed Yes | 41c | 42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb29e…fd62backed Yes | 44c | 42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…4c16backed No | 62c | 41.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f13…72b5backed Yes | 36c | 40.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa3…b116backed No | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x688f…c123backed Yes | 38c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc639…c5a2backed Yes | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40b7…8a8dbacked Yes | 39c | 37.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…cd2dbacked No | 62c | 37.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7512…1986backed Yes | 37c | 36.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe191…6067backed No | 66c | 35.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9be9…c030backed No | 58c | 35.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…cbcdbacked No | 62c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x245c…2486backed No | 60c | 30.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% in September?this page
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% or less in September?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by 3.1% in September?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by 3.2% in September?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by 3.3% or more in September?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.