Macro Indicators · resolved market
Will annual inflation increase by 3.1% in September?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01d8550b6b04086caca37375875c52c586417a95d334f70cb9755d06935b7235
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Macro Indicatorsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $132,193
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $123,498
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,193 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Macro Indicators is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa84d…5d71backed Yes | 42c | 20,414$8,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,519.82 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffc…8236backed Yes | 38c | 15,849$6,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,039.44 | 224 | 33.9%76 W · 148 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +69%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b03…e8afbacked Yes | 42c | 13,200$5,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,483.42 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…c149backed Yes | 41c | 8,458$3,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,501.07 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +208.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc6…aad8backed Yes | 44c | 8,340$3,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,681.09 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ea…d556backed Yes | 40c | 7,832$3,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,164.24 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3161…daf5backed Yes | 38c | 5,312$2,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,038.96 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98fa…d698backed Yes | 38c | 4,600$1,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,745.38 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc24a…fdbcbacked Yes | 39c | 2,868$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.45 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb118…8d34backed Yes | 42c | 2,800$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 39c | 2,671$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.93 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed8…93d4backed Yes | 34c | 2,350$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.7 | 143 | 25.2%36 W · 107 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…705bbacked Yes | 42c | 2,300$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.5 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed Yes | 8c | 1,750$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d3…5b5ebacked Yes | 39c | 1,711$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.38 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb23…6c30backed Yes | 35c | 1,450$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f0…1c37backed Yes | 34c | 1,400$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.74 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 60c | 1,143$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.3 | 233 | 30.5%71 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e2…b98cbacked Yes | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497b…aba5backed Yes | 40c | 909.39$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.38 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…20c5backed No | 60c | 700$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d6…fdd3backed Yes | 33c | 665.56$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.72 | 67 | 7.5%5 W · 62 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b63…4b44backed Yes | 39c | 653.47$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.46 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a8…84f5backed Yes | 32c | 612.33$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…4651backed Yes | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6147…d34ebacked Yes | 39c | 599.98$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.91 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8e…46d6backed No | 58c | 596.22$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f1…1617backed Yes | 45c | 549.99$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes | 30c | 500$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 39c | 499.82$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd1…0034backed Yes | 42c | 479.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fe…2d2dbacked Yes | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d8…38f7backed Yes | 39c | 450$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…04e4backed Yes | 30c | 435.5$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 39c | 412.88$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.44 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf650…1c51backed Yes | 42c | 411.76$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.18 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b91…2709backed No | 61c | 360$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.4 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1aba…c083backed Yes | 34c | 316.84$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.31 | 133 | 38.3%51 W · 82 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdcee…bda5backed Yes | 42c | 307.58$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.18 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1a…6bccbacked Yes | 35c | 260$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.8 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf7…0426backed Yes | 43c | 256.28$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 62c | 250.66$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.21 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 61c | 250$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x264d…6f2bbacked Yes | 39c | 241.72$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.15 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…f218backed No | 72c | 211.78$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.29 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +43%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…7cccbacked No | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x541c…c462backed Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…aee5backed Yes | 40c | 189.5$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.8 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 34c | 186.47$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.89 | 175 | 28%49 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed No | 58c | 180$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…84d2backed Yes | 40c | 173.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4e…0e0bbacked Yes | 36c | 170$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…75e3backed Yes | 42c | 166.66$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x245c…2486backed No | 70c | 152.16$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9007…70d7backed Yes | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 41c | 140$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.9 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed Yes | 41c | 135$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.35 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 38c | 127.73$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.85 | 140 | 24.3%34 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x210c…2edabacked No | 69c | 118.55$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 35c | 115.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.36 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97df…3088backed Yes | 28c | 107.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…67c9backed Yes | 40c | 104.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e5…f261backed No | 61c | 102$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +102.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…14b3backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8b…a211backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba0…97bfbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked No | 57c | 90$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f50…1fb6backed No | 60c | 90$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 35c | 88.83$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26ea…67adbacked Yes | 38c | 86.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34cf…50d7backed Yes | 39c | 81.18$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked Yes | 34c | 75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed No | 60c | 74.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…0571backed Yes | 42c | 71.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.19 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9d…e979backed Yes | 40c | 62.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0f…33dcbacked No | 59c | 61.05$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b4…d5e5backed Yes | 20c | 59.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 128 | 20.3%26 W · 102 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9e…5f7fbacked No | 72c | 57$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa68…e52dbacked Yes | 42c | 52.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…bf19backed No | 63c | 50.79$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8def…196fbacked No | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89d5…591bbacked No | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a53…52adbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb29e…fd62backed Yes | 39c | 48.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…ab3dbacked Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9488…8a29backed Yes | 29c | 48.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 65c | 47.3$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a94…ed73backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 68c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 202 | 42.1%85 W · 117 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed Yes | 32c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…e6a1backed Yes | 42c | 40.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc639…c5a2backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9be9…c030backed No | 66c | 35.31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will annual inflation increase by 3.1% in September?this page
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% or less in September?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% in September?Yes won
- Will annual inflation increase by 3.2% in September?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by 3.3% or more in September?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.