World Politics · resolved market
Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7dbe57b47c2454444ea5877a84c04897687ac423f6c90c261baf9d9de35fc08b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $137,840
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,448
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,840 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd34b…3acbbacked Yes | 54c | 15,028$8,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,061.87 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc708…70abbacked Yes | 18c | 7,982$1,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451.23 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -68%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd748…2125backed Yes | 4c | 6,281$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.49 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8733…a6f0backed Yes | 5c | 5,653$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…342bbacked Yes | 13c | 4,037$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.43 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 3,586$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.06 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa95f…2bdbbacked Yes | 34c | 1,972$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.14 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 39c | 1,683$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.11 | 190 | 27.9%53 W · 137 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +53%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e63…d208backed Yes | 18c | 1,594$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 11c | 1,520$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.91 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 65c | 1,285$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.22 | 98 | 22.4%22 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b97…5a5ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,176$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 11cpaid | +81%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x038b…afc4backed Yes | 17c | 1,126$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.53 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe66a…adb0backed Yes | 11c | 1,112$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.91 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked No | 51c | 1,111$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.39 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x963a…fc4cbacked Yes | 38c | 1,078$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.35 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda95…e997backed Yes | 9c | 1,075$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95df…8a52backed Yes | 2c | 1,026$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2021…a8d5backed Yes | 31c | 1,000$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.83 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x357e…2a0cbacked Yes | 32c | 999.95$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.98 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 50c | 934$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.88 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4f…5e76backed Yes | 11c | 895.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf72e…68e2backed Yes | 24c | 878.6$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…b936backed Yes | 2c | 875.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…9580backed Yes | 35c | 850$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.35 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7d…7acdbacked Yes | 14c | 600$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.75 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 8cpaid | +149.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb84…e3d1backed Yes | 26c | 593.58$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.4 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 9c | 560.27$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c20…9e4fbacked Yes | 3c | 550$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 14cpaid | +234.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 39c | 546.88$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.85 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 68c | 509.15$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.24 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…2aefbacked Yes | 3c | 502.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f866backed Yes | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc781…59d7backed Yes | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -7.2wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7b…3f03backed Yes | 40c | 494.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d93…8cbebacked Yes | 24c | 490$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.84 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 37c | 489$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.02 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73dc…8d32backed No | 65c | 457.92$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.48 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec22…6ea0backed Yes | 13c | 425.79$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a6…8297backed Yes | 26c | 404$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.29 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 29c | 388.71$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.53 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0804…35a2backed Yes | 7c | 387.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f7…ba70backed Yes | 25c | 371.41$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…0571backed No | 56c | 370.83$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.26 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 19c | 366.87$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.17 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +15.3wins | +0.21per pick | 15cpaid | +188.8%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 20c | 305.38$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.07 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 5c | 304.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 166 | 12.7%21 W · 145 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.2 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c4…86a9backed Yes | 34c | 297.83$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.26 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Yes | 31c | 296.21$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.13 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c69…9e30backed Yes | 19c | 277.8$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.01 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x364e…f7fabacked Yes | 37c | 260$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x074b…e2ecbacked Yes | 19c | 257.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…d95cbacked No | 66c | 251.2$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.47 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 46c | 249.95$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.97 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d77…fdbebacked Yes | 27c | 247.53$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.36 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd256…b945backed Yes | 8c | 245$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed1d…8707backed Yes | 10c | 241.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3176…8d71backed Yes | 20c | 235.91$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x210c…2edabacked No | 64c | 233$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.74 | 50 | 72%36 W · 14 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5895…cd87backed Yes | 34c | 230.72$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc77…c035backed No | 67c | 229.38$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.16 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…2925backed Yes | 12c | 227.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -55%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae89…12dcbacked Yes | 27c | 221.59$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df1…72e7backed Yes | 28c | 214.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed Yes | 23c | 213.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +309.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90a…06b7backed Yes | 33c | 211.02$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.7 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed No | 61c | 203.6$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb782…955cbacked Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…f0adbacked Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…5468backed No | 75c | 200$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.58 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 74c | 199.99$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 457 | 23.2%106 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93f…72d1backed No | 62c | 186.16$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf6…559dbacked Yes | 34c | 177.44$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.33 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d6…dde8backed Yes | 23c | 176.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.11 | 54 | 0%0 W · 54 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…e5ecbacked Yes | 25c | 171.74$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0960…455dbacked Yes | 41c | 170.73$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7815…5400backed Yes | 12c | 170$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 16cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…f218backed No | 59c | 169$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.98 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c34…bcb3backed Yes | 40c | 141.01$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x709f…635abacked Yes | 8c | 139.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 23c | 134.7$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.95 | 347 | 26.8%93 W · 254 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6030…5d87backed Yes | 38c | 134.26$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa84…f25abacked Yes | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…05f5backed Yes | 38c | 130$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…c424backed Yes | 31c | 129.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…20ccbacked Yes | 20c | 125.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 113 | 31%35 W · 78 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0b…8299backed Yes | 27c | 120$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebf…84cabacked Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 21c | 117.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 449 | 21.2%95 W · 354 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x355d…ace2backed Yes | 18c | 113.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…7d08backed No | 78c | 108.83$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.17 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +11.0wins | +0.18per pick | 31cpaid | +90%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…d019backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…9266backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c61…ac8bbacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 74c | 92.69$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33f7…7a46backed Yes | 35c | 90$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 31c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed Yes | 20c | 79.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?this page
- Will Party for Freedom win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Christian Union win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Democrats 66 win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Forum for Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the JA21 win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the New Social Contract win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes won
- Will the Reformed Political Party win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Volt Netherlands win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.