World Politics · resolved market
Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31db82ef2ec4be8744c8b13df8aa90e6f914b467640d704a6567bf695883802f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $154,464
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $155,340
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,464 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 38c | 10,793$4,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,745.22 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 4c | 9,148$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,786.31 | 190 | 27.9%53 W · 137 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +53%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd748…2125backed No | 5c | 7,059$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.94 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…342bbacked No | 12c | 5,582$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.81 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce5…7c13backed Yes | 65c | 4,715$3,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,628.32 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 10c | 4,524$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.59 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa95f…2bdbbacked Yes | 80c | 4,453$3,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.33 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…e8cfbacked Yes | 62c | 3,159$1,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.17 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…7d08backed Yes | 22c | 2,879$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240.99 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +11.0wins | +0.18per pick | 31cpaid | +90%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x09e2…29debacked Yes | 25c | 2,851$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,151.12 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed1d…8707backed Yes | 9c | 1,931$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,761.78 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf6…559dbacked Yes | 53c | 1,889$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.63 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 1,654$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575.73 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 18c | 1,104$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.82 | 72 | 25%18 W · 54 L | +9.7wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +262.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 5c | 1,037$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.51 | 166 | 12.7%21 W · 145 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Yes | 73c | 1,000$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.71 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66c…4ab1backed No | 1c | 945.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 2c | 853.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.14 | 98 | 22.4%22 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 24c | 846$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.66 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +15.3wins | +0.21per pick | 15cpaid | +188.8%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x038b…afc4backed No | 15c | 838.93$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x963a…fc4cbacked Yes | 23c | 689.26$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.26 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…86cfbacked Yes | 75c | 653.23$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.31 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae64…aca9backed Yes | 10c | 648.05$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.05 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +43%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca44…6d4ebacked Yes | 74c | 599.99$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.85 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7b…cdbebacked Yes | 28c | 588.87$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c93…d15cbacked Yes | 9c | 555.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.22 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 5c | 524.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.66 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2021…a8d5backed Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Yes | 7c | 500$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.5 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +223.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0065…02f3backed Yes | 7c | 500$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.40per pick | 45cpaid | +272.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x53cb…f7bdbacked Yes | 22c | 477.94$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.52 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 5c | 451.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 66c | 446.02$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.48 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54db…0174backed No | 18c | 444.04$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.88 | 196 | 23%45 W · 151 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe852…3fe6backed Yes | 12c | 409.6$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +154%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked Yes | 43c | 400$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.43 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c20…9e4fbacked No | 6c | 351.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 14cpaid | +234.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0960…455dbacked Yes | 11c | 306.93$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.39 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x701c…e096backed Yes | 8c | 303.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.73 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +309.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…b6e8backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x978e…80bcbacked Yes | 80c | 299.99$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 7c | 299.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.99 | 203 | 25.6%52 W · 151 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7815…5400backed Yes | 11c | 272.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.91 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 16cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d6…dde8backed No | 16c | 259$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 54 | 0%0 W · 54 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9ff5backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 7cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.5 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 25c | 238$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.09 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40f9…2200backed Yes | 34c | 227.43$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 78c | 213.12$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.79 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa84…f25abacked Yes | 10c | 207.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.06 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…f8bbbacked Yes | 80c | 206.53$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked No | 7c | 206.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff8…2468backed Yes | 49c | 202.02$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 232 | 25%58 W · 174 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 73c | 190.86$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.98 | 140 | 27.9%39 W · 101 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3de…e227backed No | 9c | 183.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 239 | 21.3%51 W · 188 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffad…e37cbacked No | 27c | 182.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ab…402cbacked Yes | 14c | 139.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc0…6d37backed Yes | 80c | 117.18$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 14c | 113.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.77 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacc4…d451backed Yes | 12c | 111.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +105.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked No | 23c | 106.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3b…a1c1backed Yes | 13c | 105.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.58per pick | 9cpaid | +500%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25dd…1a7bbacked No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…0571backed Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee6b…8486backed No | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b06…9076backed No | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -5.4wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x157b…87dcbacked Yes | 79c | 57.95$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a109backed Yes | 73c | 54.87$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf25e…c9c6backed Yes | 77c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 31c | 46.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 347 | 26.8%93 W · 254 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed Yes | 78c | 42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7249…b515backed Yes | 80c | 42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 27c | 38.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 314 | 43.9%138 W · 176 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf301…dd70backed Yes | 77c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…4426backed Yes | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec44…d96cbacked Yes | 78c | 25.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…e5c6backed Yes | 78c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.91 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?this page
- Will Party for Freedom win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Christian Union win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Democrats 66 win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Forum for Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the JA21 win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the New Social Contract win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Reformed Political Party win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Volt Netherlands win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.