Middle East · resolved market
EU sanctions on Israel by December 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc16cf145731cea7010e311de31a9fd0e5bd6103f40cd146187749f9673f6f4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,703
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,836
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,703 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x312b…cafebacked No | 65c | 2,309$1,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.5 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed No | 74c | 1,769$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.87 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5049…6092backed Yes | 32c | 1,238$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.79 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed Yes | 33c | 1,142$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.27 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc7…cc0cbacked Yes | 48c | 1,052$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 947.65$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.92 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa9…d1bdbacked No | 67c | 897.14$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.48 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 39c | 866.92$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.25 | 222 | 62.2%138 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48d6…f2ffbacked Yes | 37c | 810.97$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45a8…d8f9backed Yes | 38c | 786.64$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31e8…8931backed Yes | 26c | 702.3$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 2c | 689.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74c4…46d0backed No | 73c | 641.25$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 24c | 623.92$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.18 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 70c | 601.91$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.93 | 486 | 30.5%148 W · 338 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 55c | 594.06$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.61 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 3c | 546.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 221 | 7.2%16 W · 205 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…0eb0backed No | 60c | 477$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.05 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 11c | 472.06$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.17 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 31c | 469.67$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 234 | 20.9%49 W · 185 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…30f1backed Yes | 13c | 458.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.56 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf87…31f1backed Yes | 38c | 450.96$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 4c | 419.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 133 | 2.3%3 W · 130 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 37c | 408.5$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.31 | 194 | 28.9%56 W · 138 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8797…bbbebacked Yes | 37c | 403.6$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.7 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f49…7458backed No | 74c | 391.74$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.4 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6074…f9f7backed Yes | 6c | 333.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 26c | 321.56$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.55 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec76…f9f1backed No | 62c | 309.57$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.36 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…5536backed Yes | 39c | 301.03$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.59 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b93…9ec4backed Yes | 10c | 298.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4e…5bf4backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf7…65d9backed Yes | 32c | 291.37$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.1 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbdfb…c05cbacked No | 77c | 284.86$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab1c…f1fbbacked Yes | 38c | 269.68$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x245c…2486backed Yes | 8c | 268.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…f32abacked Yes | 53c | 262.9$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.48 | 80 | 17.5%14 W · 66 L | -9.1wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd02e…4cf2backed No | 70c | 238.41$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.65 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf661…d170backed No | 64c | 229.41$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f4b1backed No | 59c | 223.73$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.09 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde0e…746abacked Yes | 25c | 206.77$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.42 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 28c | 205.04$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.34 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97a6…522dbacked Yes | 36c | 200.73$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8456…e61abacked Yes | 5c | 200.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…72dabacked No | 66c | 182.24$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.24 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd66c…97e3backed Yes | 34c | 171.1$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.11 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed No | 77c | 168.09$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.19 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 40c | 166.85$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.11 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5a…f7a4backed Yes | 23c | 158.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.24 | 61 | 18%11 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked No | 52c | 148.1$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c5…8732backed Yes | 38c | 146.53$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.27 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 26cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…f218backed Yes | 25c | 143.52$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -60%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee1…7fb8backed No | 71c | 141$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 39c | 133.11$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.91 | 68 | 13.2%9 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd0…f582backed Yes | 14c | 131.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e10…e039backed Yes | 38c | 129.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x343d…cd2ebacked No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | -8.7wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 18c | 127.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…0d5cbacked Yes | 32c | 119.62$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.67 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…5468backed Yes | 40c | 118.93$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.15 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37a4…a487backed No | 70c | 115.2$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0960…455dbacked Yes | 13c | 113.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe86e…8642backed Yes | 19c | 110.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73dc…8d32backed Yes | 10c | 108.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6736…058cbacked Yes | 10c | 104.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed Yes | 22c | 100.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 136 | 45.6%62 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00a…c77cbacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b59…83b2backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0881…b590backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0b…29e9backed Yes | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…7a45backed No | 68c | 96.43$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.86 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4985…fd44backed Yes | 33c | 91.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa5…3c24backed No | 75c | 90$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x853b…eff5backed Yes | 35c | 86.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5322…b1c6backed Yes | 18c | 82.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 16c | 74.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed No | 68c | 73.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28a6…86a7backed Yes | 49c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x023c…bdafbacked No | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe30e…8edfbacked Yes | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +80%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b8e…df64backed No | 66c | 52$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 62c | 51.38$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 317 | 19.2%61 W · 256 L | -23.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed No | 56c | 50.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0690…e540backed Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c03…12b2backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b85…6ee7backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda68…0e6abacked Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a25…81d1backed Yes | 33c | 46.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…8dfebacked No | 70c | 42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cc…b1ccbacked No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…4525backed No | 51c | 38.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +11.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x601d…1778backed Yes | 38c | 36.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 77c | 35.7$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3e…cefdbacked No | 74c | 33.93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac4…53c9backed No | 77c | 32.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…0b30backed No | 64c | 31.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba73…e7c5backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fb…57e5backed No | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.