AI · resolved market
Will Alibaba have the second best AI model on October 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa23edf96bde0515d00a6343232379e2a354aa5403c50bd4f99850ccc42c8ecbd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,359
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,564
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,359 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07d4…8991backed No | 4c | 7,648$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.02 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78fb…89d2backed No | 7c | 4,444$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60f7…050bbacked Yes | 67c | 2,448$1,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.71 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ab…6473backed Yes | 77c | 1,989$1,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.01 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a4…f363backed No | 72c | 1,945$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…190cbacked Yes | 39c | 1,729$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.51 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81ca…3b87backed Yes | 40c | 1,639$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.23 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa5…6292backed Yes | 26c | 1,363$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.57 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeac7…3eaabacked Yes | 30c | 1,211$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.03 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 54c | 1,203$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.57 | 257 | 31.5%81 W · 176 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 17c | 917.03$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.78 | 243 | 15.2%37 W · 206 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 3c | 878.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…19d9backed No | 6c | 779.68$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 32c | 613.9$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.94 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3042…020bbacked No | 5c | 609.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddd…cf3dbacked No | 4c | 592.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 36c | 572.48$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.2 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…f218backed No | 72c | 570.91$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.89 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10a8…d5d5backed No | 31c | 516$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e8…5b74backed Yes | 64c | 514$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.82 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -5.3wins | -0.24per pick | 60cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x73dc…8d32backed No | 35c | 499.99$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x468f…c2a7backed Yes | 61c | 491.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.61 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1210…cf24backed Yes | 30c | 462.97$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.26 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed Yes | 16c | 462.37$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.39 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +8.4wins | +0.19per pick | 13cpaid | +143.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8e74…54e7backed Yes | 29c | 460$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.1 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5c…a435backed Yes | 22c | 451.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.92 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…78d0backed Yes | 75c | 447.88$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.63 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x245c…2486backed No | 49c | 447.47$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.27 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42d8…ff9bbacked Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd6…2ad2backed No | 5c | 398.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb543…410fbacked No | 4c | 398.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x210c…2edabacked No | 44c | 383.4$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.92 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22df…ed56backed Yes | 43c | 381.5$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.23 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8048…b882backed Yes | 40c | 372.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf05…a49ebacked Yes | 31c | 326.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…23f7backed Yes | 21c | 310$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.97 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 29c | 299.97$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.99 | 126 | 36.5%46 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…64dabacked Yes | 63c | 265$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.09 | 275 | 36.4%100 W · 175 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09e6…24a1backed Yes | 12c | 261.19$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.74 | 109 | 33.9%37 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 39c | 243.83$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.98 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73ec…f5bbbacked Yes | 55c | 227.24$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.66 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +9.0wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9a08…77e3backed Yes | 44c | 226.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.26 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d83…0bb9backed Yes | 70c | 220.36$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.11 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc77…c035backed No | 16c | 205.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5e…64ddbacked Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0b…956abacked Yes | 34c | 199.75$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.39 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +61%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95ff…2db2backed No | 8c | 197.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d4…08fcbacked Yes | 42c | 194.08$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.88 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca52…0cdfbacked No | 66c | 193.64$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.44 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba3…269ebacked Yes | 52c | 190.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.61 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc158…f3cabacked Yes | 54c | 184$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…a4a3backed Yes | 28c | 181.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec76…f9f1backed No | 64c | 167.17$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.68 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 76c | 155.39$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.25 | 156 | 15.4%24 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7de1…e0debacked No | 29c | 154.04$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d9…5653backed Yes | 24c | 145$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.5 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57b…73ecbacked No | 70c | 142.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbab8…f7c5backed No | 15c | 141.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58a3…3490backed No | 71c | 140.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 45c | 140.27$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.84 | 729 | 35.5%259 W · 470 L | -57.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1adb…4d3bbacked Yes | 29c | 125.92$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d82…7d33backed No | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a0…3762backed Yes | 24c | 104.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7478…4003backed Yes | 25c | 104.04$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.66 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4e…f4fbbacked No | 53c | 102.67$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 217 | 13.4%29 W · 188 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe633…c0febacked No | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…d5f9backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd826…9c61backed No | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9e…5f7fbacked Yes | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.72 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 48cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…addebacked No | 31c | 96.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2203…a693backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 22c | 92.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.72 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed Yes | 42c | 88.79$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.49 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…d95cbacked No | 15c | 84.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 75c | 80$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 301 | 27.2%82 W · 219 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29e3…1213backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3091…5894backed Yes | 39c | 80$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e80…0063backed No | 79c | 75.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.65 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4d…66c9backed Yes | 35c | 74.94$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7583…1c22backed Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68d1…3c4dbacked Yes | 60c | 68.94$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.57 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2d…1f60backed No | 23c | 65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…a589backed No | 62c | 64.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6487…a6cebacked Yes | 33c | 61.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +206.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d0…88f6backed Yes | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 14cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb120…f2ffbacked Yes | 71c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf660…0ae5backed Yes | 39c | 59.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efc…5477backed Yes | 38c | 55.95$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb579…7b68backed Yes | 38c | 53.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +166.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab9…fd27backed Yes | 79c | 50.53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x756d…4b84backed Yes | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2c…7aadbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…0c7ebacked Yes | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 68cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x285c…3583backed Yes | 80c | 49.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0236…0869backed Yes | 50c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed No | 61c | 40.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed Yes | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…cbdcbacked No | 79c | 40$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc75…b64dbacked Yes | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alibaba have the second best AI model on October 31?this page
- Will Anthropic have the second best AI model on October 31?No won
- Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model on October 31?No won
- Will Google have the second best AI model on October 31?No won
- Will Meta have the second best AI model on October 31?No won
- Will Microsoft have the second best AI model on October 31?No won
- Will Mistral AI have the second best AI model on October 31?No won
- Will Moonshot have the second best AI model on October 31?No won
- Will OpenAI have the second best AI model on October 31?No won
- Will Tencent have the second best AI model on October 31?No won
- Will Z.ai have the second best AI model on October 31?No won
- Will xAI have the second best AI model on October 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.