Fed Rates · resolved market
Bank of England rate cut in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde8a3b6f2c4e23a53cfd0b3bbf80bb385fb7297977969b6b372b405076946851
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fed Ratesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,871
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,929
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,871 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fed Rates is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 3c | 2,712$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.58 | 36 | 5.6%2 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf710…edc9backed No | 13c | 1,680$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.12 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked No | 17c | 1,593$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.72 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3291…e502backed No | 1c | 1,396$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e0…bd10backed Yes | 25c | 1,350$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.48 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…8f27backed No | 7c | 1,250$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed8…93d4backed Yes | 56c | 1,059$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.37 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe638…47abbacked No | 2c | 992.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d59…c77bbacked No | 2c | 952.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73bb…9473backed No | 43c | 856$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x086d…fe29backed Yes | 46c | 765.67$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.29 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0dc…3944backed No | 47c | 707$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.3 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8930…9ac8backed Yes | 37c | 653.22$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23a…10ecbacked Yes | 64c | 580.55$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…0b82backed No | 76c | 541.04$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2478…2e62backed Yes | 47c | 523.36$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.01 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 8c | 461.81$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.33 | 318 | 7.2%23 W · 295 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -75%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c8…e4f7backed Yes | 55c | 407.11$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.11 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb760…ccd7backed No | 54c | 397.49$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 15c | 346.64$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 31c | 339.83$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.67 | 200 | 21.5%43 W · 157 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…aee5backed No | 42c | 332.36$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.04 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x374b…ebeebacked No | 71c | 325.08$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 9c | 314.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe215…a3d9backed Yes | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…a2b2backed Yes | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeec5…b6febacked No | 37c | 287$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a3…67e3backed Yes | 65c | 281.65$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.89 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 53c | 273$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.83 | 240 | 46.3%111 W · 129 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe6…9567backed Yes | 30c | 267.88$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…5790backed No | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes | 34c | 250$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1328…b506backed No | 42c | 239.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c2…1b0dbacked Yes | 45c | 222.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed Yes | 71c | 221.71$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.93 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe367…abd9backed Yes | 46c | 218.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49e6…cd39backed Yes | 32c | 211.95$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 31c | 208.28$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.16 | 103 | 24.3%25 W · 78 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 46c | 204.37$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.85 | 181 | 35.4%64 W · 117 L | -16.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe929…89d9backed Yes | 55c | 200.82$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…cb00backed Yes | 45c | 172.44$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.49 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.45per pick | 35cpaid | +110.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5b…e666backed No | 28c | 165.61$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46e2…f8bbbacked No | 36c | 152$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…875cbacked Yes | 71c | 141.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…96b4backed Yes | 37c | 135$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +107.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 57c | 130$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 123 | 22.8%28 W · 95 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…9f0ebacked Yes | 61c | 128.57$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed No | 37c | 122.85$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.55 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e54…5f61backed Yes | 45c | 120$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…efd6backed No | 10c | 112.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6556…a546backed Yes | 50c | 100.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x472a…9033backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x701a…3fc2backed No | 27c | 99.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…f218backed No | 71c | 97.2$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f14…7c4cbacked Yes | 61c | 93.31$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72cd…021fbacked No | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec76…f9f1backed No | 79c | 86.49$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.33 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d0…07acbacked No | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked Yes | 65c | 83.5$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.83 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 55c | 83.44$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.64 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc77…c035backed No | 39c | 81.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…498abacked Yes | 46c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.3 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Yes | 67c | 78.34$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.72 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae91…0f69backed Yes | 63c | 71.49$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c23…0266backed Yes | 57c | 69.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53a8…4b54backed Yes | 64c | 62.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5e…64ddbacked No | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1a…6bccbacked No | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 65c | 59.91$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 138 | 29.7%41 W · 97 L | -13.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb973…4491backed No | 53c | 55.74$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdce7…f553backed Yes | 45c | 52.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 41c | 51.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 72c | 51.48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bca…7316backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…49d8backed Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89d5…591bbacked Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38d6…d10abacked Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x210c…2edabacked Yes | 27c | 49.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.27 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b11…ea8abacked Yes | 67c | 49.25$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…d95cbacked No | 41c | 45.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…b978backed Yes | 53c | 45.16$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffc…8236backed Yes | 62c | 41.61$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9998…e858backed No | 66c | 41.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5e…b5ecbacked Yes | 64c | 40.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f50…1fb6backed No | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…b7d6backed No | 77c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 56c | 39.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85a5…7baebacked Yes | 42c | 36.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +140.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc37b…7808backed Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd5…9b5fbacked Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…a4a0backed No | 68c | 29.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505e…affcbacked Yes | 79c | 29.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x858f…e89abacked No | 73c | 25.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa8…2071backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2f…febcbacked Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c0…c7a3backed Yes | 66c | 24.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a16…518bbacked Yes | 62c | 22.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.