Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf385d37f6880a1171469d42d0f5e45aec63a54144f27ddbd6b90076379cf6ee

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Nov 2, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $272,056
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $193,845

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $272,056 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in World Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9db7…7e1fbacked Yes	1c	57,027$627 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$627.3	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x807c…f1e3backed Yes	0c	25,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes	0c	10,980$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.98	444	0.7%3 W · 441 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-87.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Yes	5c	9,388$457 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$456.86	114	28.9%33 W · 81 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+70.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc781…59d7backed Yes	40c	4,290$1,712 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,712.08	28	14.3%4 W · 24 L	-7.2wins	-0.26per pick	40cpaid	-69.8%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes	26c	4,252$1,123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,122.86	190	27.9%53 W · 137 L	+14.5wins	+0.08per pick	20cpaid	+53%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xacc8…7d08backed Yes	34c	4,003$1,361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,361.29	61	49.2%30 W · 31 L	+11.0wins	+0.18per pick	31cpaid	+90%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x5b6f…8afbbacked Yes	42c	3,000$1,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,250	59	25.4%15 W · 44 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09bb…f8b1backed Yes	55c	2,537$1,383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,382.95	85	55.3%47 W · 38 L	+6.6wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f2a…58afbacked Yes	1c	2,500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	96	13.5%13 W · 83 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x06dc…af59backed No	62c	2,374$1,481 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$892.58	93	45.2%42 W · 51 L	+9.9wins	+0.11per pick	35cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa95f…2bdbbacked Yes	31c	2,340$733 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$733.25	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-49.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf797…0bf2backed Yes	27c	2,311$627 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$627.43	96	27.1%26 W · 70 L	-7.0wins	-0.07per pick	34cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe645…345abacked Yes	34c	2,043$701 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$701.35	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb782…955cbacked Yes	34c	1,913$641 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$640.91	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	27cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	1,799$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.52	1,431	10.1%145 W · 1,286 L	-4.9wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3df1…72e7backed Yes	31c	1,763$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$549.92	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	+31.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc958…1356backed Yes	33c	1,711$565 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$564.53	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	28cpaid	-14%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x551e…b0e0backed Yes	32c	1,673$535 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$535.31	64	39.1%25 W · 39 L	+3.9wins	+0.06per pick	33cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x57cd…82acbacked Yes	44c	1,509$657 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$657.36	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-40.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda95…e997backed Yes	27c	1,458$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.82	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.13per pick	27cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d4a…621bbacked Yes	38c	1,256$477 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$476.72	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	-1.8wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc77…c035backed No	63c	1,204$759 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$444.99	45	55.6%25 W · 20 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdbf…1926backed Yes	33c	1,120$366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$366.08	380	23.9%91 W · 289 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafb8…d9c1backed Yes	31c	1,107$341 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340.59	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No	62c	1,097$680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$417.69	322	55%177 W · 145 L	+14.3wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	-5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes	3c	1,089$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.09	371	17.8%66 W · 305 L	-18.9wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f9…35febacked Yes	38c	1,059$401 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$401	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes	35c	1,010$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350.48	549	34.6%190 W · 359 L	-37.0wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x33e0…7d46backed Yes	41c	1,000$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+24%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf6…559dbacked Yes	26c	951$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.8	315	34%107 W · 208 L	+7.7wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xddf7…6663backed No	48c	933.93$444 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$490.11	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.16per pick	34cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46a1…809bbacked Yes	36c	859.2$311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$311.28	8	25%2 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6dee…9580backed Yes	30c	850$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255.76	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	+47.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	26c	849.99$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.04	1,022	28%286 W · 736 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	60c	822.64$493 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$329.15	884	48.5%429 W · 455 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9963…0cfdbacked Yes	30c	774.08$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0489…ddf7backed No	78c	773.15$604 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$169.27	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x73dc…8d32backed No	67c	738.04$492 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$246.42	41	61%25 W · 16 L	+3.3wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+30.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a45…9d4abacked No	42c	732.95$309 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$423.73	49	57.1%28 W · 21 L	+7.8wins	+0.16per pick	41cpaid	+59.4%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0x1d40…e9d5backed Yes	47c	732.54$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$342	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7678…e5f0backed Yes	36c	700$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255	46	23.9%11 W · 35 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes	32c	684.28$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.97	160	29.4%47 W · 113 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb1f…7d0fbacked Yes	48c	624.62$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+64.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x39b5…cf5fbacked Yes	33c	611.89$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe85d…b128backed Yes	31c	548.79$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.91	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.7wins	-0.24per pick	39cpaid	-79.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Yes	32c	510.81$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.63	68	36.8%25 W · 43 L	-3.8wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf57f…e5fcbacked Yes	25c	500$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a88…f866backed Yes	29c	500$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145	78	28.2%22 W · 56 L	-5.1wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe3a2…3dcfbacked Yes	35c	496.73$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629b…995abacked Yes	29c	437.02$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.79	432	43.1%186 W · 246 L	+29.2wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d77…fdbebacked Yes	43c	430$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183	67	55.2%37 W · 30 L	+3.8wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3a6…8297backed Yes	44c	404$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.8	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-2.6wins	-0.12per pick	41cpaid	-51.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc37…fa31backed Yes	48c	402.03$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.35	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.08per pick	59cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x78ca…967dbacked Yes	39c	380.43$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef60…d6c2backed Yes	32c	378.44$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.42	41	12.2%5 W · 36 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	18cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4ca…1383backed Yes	30c	365.47$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.24	449	21.2%95 W · 354 L	-21.7wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d93…8cbebacked Yes	36c	360$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.1	169	40.2%68 W · 101 L	+7.6wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd602…0105backed Yes	35c	345.64$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.62	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	31cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b91…ae77backed Yes	36c	344.89$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	56	30.4%17 W · 39 L	+2.9wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33f7…7a46backed Yes	43c	337.37$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.91	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	29cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a86…dea8backed Yes	33c	335.02$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.84	482	24.7%119 W · 363 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes	13c	323$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.56	94	18.1%17 W · 77 L	+4.4wins	+0.05per pick	13cpaid	+40.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeac4…1f20backed Yes	36c	310.74$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.20per pick	37cpaid	-77.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf07b…60a3backed Yes	42c	306.91$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.98	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.21per pick	41cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4dca…2dc8backed Yes	33c	303.03$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa557…d95cbacked No	59c	290.95$173 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.85	41	68.3%28 W · 13 L	+5.2wins	+0.13per pick	56cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x524c…64c8backed Yes	38c	275.28$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.59	42	9.5%4 W · 38 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-69.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes	34c	272.8$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.66	175	24.6%43 W · 132 L	-10.7wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6428…bc3cbacked Yes	57c	265.39$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a49…7447backed No	62c	254.93$159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.97	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Yes	26c	250$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	148	34.5%51 W · 97 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc774…b6e8backed Yes	25c	250$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.5	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8e72…8215backed Yes	41c	246.48$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb44…db74backed Yes	44c	242.16$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.55	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9238…b73ebacked Yes	32c	230.79$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.77	39	33.3%13 W · 26 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-42%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x245c…2486backed No	57c	217.8$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.63	23	65.2%15 W · 8 L	+4.8wins	+0.21per pick	44cpaid	+26.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf79b…c37cbacked Yes	30c	217.1$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.13	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac0c…739cbacked Yes	35c	214.13$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.12	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90a…06b7backed Yes	36c	210$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.1	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b1e…cc93backed Yes	47c	210$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.3	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-2.6wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x91ab…402cbacked Yes	48c	208.4$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed No	49c	200$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102	50	44%22 W · 28 L	+5.6wins	+0.11per pick	33cpaid	+223.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3474…0571backed No	48c	200$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104	200	34%68 W · 132 L	+9.0wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaab9…33cebacked Yes	35c	200$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.13per pick	42cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92c7…c136backed No	65c	200$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71	129	20.9%27 W · 102 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x210c…2edabacked No	69c	193.21$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.7	50	72%36 W · 14 L	+6.9wins	+0.14per pick	58cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes	31c	183.68$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.62	367	42.5%156 W · 211 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9010…32a0backed Yes	42c	180$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.15	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80f6…e522backed Yes	35c	178.57$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.5	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.12per pick	54cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94ed…7dcdbacked Yes	29c	178$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.4	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a93…32a0backed Yes	33c	162.12$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.14	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.9wins	-0.27per pick	41cpaid	-79.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb02…c246backed Yes	32c	155$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.6	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedad…1af7backed Yes	36c	145.75$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06b7…c135backed Yes	35c	142.86$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xad11…a223backed Yes	39c	141.03$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-1.9wins	-0.11per pick	55cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes	34c	138.08$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.27	457	23.2%106 W · 351 L	-15.8wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-35%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xab1c…f1fbbacked Yes	31c	129.03$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+1.5wins	+0.21per pick	21cpaid	+180.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8607…2ccdbacked Yes	31c	129.03$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6537…b1d5backed Yes	39c	128.21$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-40%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event