World Politics · resolved market
Will the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e74dd2439a9b97a8c62e54e8ba07671e1238b7addc8971949b1b70b50e33de7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,008,419
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $782,282
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,008,419 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 349 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6427…0d0dbacked Yes | 1c | 70,963$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.71 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 66,573$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.91 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ba…e7ebbacked Yes | 36c | 28,368$10,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,100.22 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 22cpaid | -86%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc821…3df4backed Yes | 0c | 23,355$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.71 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 3c | 18,366$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.45 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 10c | 16,626$1,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,723.33 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…342bbacked Yes | 43c | 16,191$6,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,985.54 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 25c | 15,523$3,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,817.61 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07a6…ebe8backed Yes | 4c | 15,082$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf6…559dbacked Yes | 29c | 13,841$4,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,067.41 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 8c | 11,967$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.74 | 1,437 | 10.2%147 W · 1,290 L | -4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95e5…0920backed Yes | 16c | 11,347$1,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,845.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +272.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 10,659$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 452 | 1.1%5 W · 447 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x690c…2af9backed Yes | 42c | 10,627$4,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,423.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 6c | 9,649$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.73 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x998d…b62cbacked Yes | 16c | 9,392$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +165.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…86cfbacked Yes | 7c | 8,980$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.64 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 36c | 8,921$3,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,204.73 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 13c | 8,523$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.84 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…06e3backed Yes | 1c | 8,382$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.79 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8733…a6f0backed Yes | 5c | 7,264$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.52 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf750…4abbbacked Yes | 12c | 6,281$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9db7…7e1fbacked Yes | 37c | 6,153$2,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,275.88 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Yes | 49c | 6,119$3,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,023.24 | 180 | 36.7%66 W · 114 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x241a…28d6backed Yes | 2c | 6,039$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 71c | 5,999$4,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.71 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57f3…2459backed Yes | 0c | 5,996$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ce…beecbacked Yes | 31c | 5,486$1,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,712.98 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 2c | 5,420$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.36 | 190 | 27.9%53 W · 137 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +53%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6587…35d9backed Yes | 22c | 5,103$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 4c | 4,788$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.74 | 166 | 12.7%21 W · 145 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…9f2fbacked Yes | 1c | 4,682$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.52 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed No | 32c | 4,680$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,201.24 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3003…c504backed Yes | 0c | 4,500$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…7028backed Yes | 5c | 4,410$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 3cpaid | +1,179.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed No | 63c | 4,396$2,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,642.27 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…b723backed Yes | 5c | 4,305$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…9043backed Yes | 10c | 4,235$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee4…fa88backed No | 77c | 4,146$3,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.56 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…7d08backed Yes | 6c | 4,121$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.54 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +11.0wins | +0.18per pick | 31cpaid | +90%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Yes | 5c | 4,020$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.06 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x357f…efffbacked Yes | 30c | 3,877$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.75 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfab4…daf9backed Yes | 17c | 3,749$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a2…9452backed No | 67c | 3,666$2,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.1 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed Yes | 8c | 3,489$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.95 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +309.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 19c | 3,283$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.54 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f23fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,212$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 182 | 14.8%27 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +218.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7c…69a7backed Yes | 28c | 3,130$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e3…39cfbacked No | 74c | 3,078$2,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 6c | 3,000$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…790cbacked Yes | 7c | 2,928$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.60per pick | 7cpaid | +1,540.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b49…95e9backed Yes | 27c | 2,903$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x838b…a603backed Yes | 9c | 2,861$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.33 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62cf…0806backed Yes | 7c | 2,741$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8731…1181backed Yes | 1c | 2,652$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 45c | 2,587$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.76 | 148 | 34.5%51 W · 97 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…c427backed Yes | 62c | 2,485$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 71cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe9…8308backed Yes | 68c | 2,461$1,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,664.66 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x963a…fc4cbacked Yes | 10c | 2,449$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.35 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Yes | 1c | 2,329$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +285.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd829…95f9backed Yes | 9c | 2,305$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed Yes | 28c | 2,282$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.41 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +640.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x295b…2e44backed Yes | 1c | 2,273$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +56%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed Yes | 63c | 2,249$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.46 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb901…c8b5backed Yes | 1c | 2,157$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f30…c216backed Yes | 54c | 2,065$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x978e…80bcbacked Yes | 5c | 2,047$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked Yes | 6c | 2,026$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.04 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f5f…c128backed Yes | 30c | 1,942$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 26c | 1,910$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.02 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb08…aa4dbacked Yes | 22c | 1,797$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b4…4910backed No | 75c | 1,765$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes | 48c | 1,661$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.72 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 59c | 1,649$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.34 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c69…9e30backed Yes | 38c | 1,578$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.97 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes | 28c | 1,543$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.17 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.21per pick | 21cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…82acbacked Yes | 32c | 1,525$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.7 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 1c | 1,477$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8597…daeebacked Yes | 19c | 1,448$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba76…616bbacked Yes | 28c | 1,437$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.72 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ab…47f1backed Yes | 31c | 1,413$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb782…955cbacked Yes | 10c | 1,397$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.91 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa79…8a47backed Yes | 14c | 1,360$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x042f…f951backed Yes | 21c | 1,328$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb528…54cbbacked No | 70c | 1,324$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c3…9d95backed Yes | 33c | 1,305$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…2aefbacked Yes | 30c | 1,269$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.23 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5b…0d92backed No | 69c | 1,264$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf571…c67ebacked No | 71c | 1,264$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb18a…47dfbacked Yes | 30c | 1,264$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…b5ebbacked No | 71c | 1,264$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc030…79e2backed No | 73c | 1,259$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb265…b999backed Yes | 28c | 1,248$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e48…6fd3backed Yes | 24c | 1,239$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.56 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +40%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…6721backed Yes | 28c | 1,235$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x084d…5bf6backed Yes | 41c | 1,232$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.38 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 72c | 1,224$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.94 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1804…bd47backed No | 79c | 1,190$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.97 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 69cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e9…f3cdbacked Yes | 23c | 1,178$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe66a…adb0backed Yes | 13c | 1,178$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.03 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?this page
- Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Christian Union win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Denk win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Forum for Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the JA21 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the New Social Contract win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes won
- Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Reformed Political Party win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Socialist Party win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Volt Netherlands win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.