Ukraine · resolved market
More EU sanctions on Russia by October 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85277edf67bc376f5f27bac5e31bdea9977e156f4c96805a4f1667468638b5fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,016
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,059
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,016 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 5c | 10,469$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.15 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 0c | 8,742$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…81c3backed Yes | 74c | 5,182$3,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.27 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc29…7774backed No | 48c | 4,624$2,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,201.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 5c | 2,341$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.05 | 129 | 27.9%36 W · 93 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9b…156cbacked No | 1c | 2,082$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…d141backed No | 2c | 2,081$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -52%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65bf…4b91backed Yes | 41c | 1,855$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.57 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…68f5backed Yes | 67c | 1,728$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.92 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…92e0backed No | 33c | 1,544$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed No | 13c | 1,487$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.73 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x927a…7a4abacked No | 4c | 1,261$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x058d…bbabbacked No | 4c | 1,212$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e1…1302backed No | 1c | 1,169$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3830…8c68backed No | 30c | 1,082$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed No | 20c | 1,050$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.74 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 38c | 1,024$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.76 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2d…dbcbbacked No | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.74 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.31per pick | 39cpaid | -74%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked Yes | 40c | 994.66$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.27 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +10.0wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 36c | 899.96$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.99 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -38.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 78c | 850.79$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.58 | 262 | 38.5%101 W · 161 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 17c | 822$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.74 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.17per pick | 13cpaid | +134.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 42c | 790.07$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9c…2f94backed No | 68c | 736.06$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f49…7458backed No | 28c | 704.84$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4499…d102backed No | 59c | 681.41$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e53…ba80backed Yes | 76c | 558.32$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc18f…605abacked No | 2c | 555$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a2…9452backed Yes | 80c | 505.8$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.22 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 149 | 20.8%31 W · 118 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…aa40backed Yes | 66c | 499.82$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.72 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed Yes | 53c | 418.24$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.03 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked No | 25c | 413.12$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.66 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…04e4backed No | 24c | 411.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked No | 30c | 400$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.1 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb760…ccd7backed Yes | 62c | 388.28$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.95 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…0b82backed Yes | 74c | 366.48$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc158…f3cabacked No | 57c | 351.79$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x981a…9108backed No | 44c | 348.87$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73dc…8d32backed Yes | 65c | 312.31$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.21 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…b2e3backed Yes | 71c | 300$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…f218backed Yes | 76c | 275.19$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.38 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f5…934dbacked Yes | 74c | 273.01$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048a…635cbacked No | 23c | 260$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 152 | 17.8%27 W · 125 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa795…a42bbacked Yes | 40c | 249.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 72c | 245.23$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.61 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked No | 28c | 197.61$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.63 | 353 | 41.9%148 W · 205 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cc…b1ccbacked Yes | 68c | 187.43$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.46 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked No | 27c | 184.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 20.3%13 W · 51 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…24debacked No | 57c | 175$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e6…1e34backed No | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec06…9178backed Yes | 47c | 162.02$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.9 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +10.2wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…d7b8backed No | 62c | 160.07$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…f82ebacked Yes | 77c | 154$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.06 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42db…82ddbacked No | 55c | 151.79$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…ad78backed Yes | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 136 | 22.8%31 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6778…226abacked Yes | 74c | 134.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245c…2486backed No | 53c | 132.89$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.71 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fd…5b3cbacked Yes | 48c | 123.97$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.97 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked Yes | 76c | 111.84$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5e…3805backed Yes | 45c | 110.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.87 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c29…5e43backed Yes | 79c | 108.86$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 55c | 107.02$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 308 | 37.7%116 W · 192 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b75…b1a8backed No | 24c | 103.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4c…8d85backed No | 28c | 101.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x733b…0268backed No | 26c | 101.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90f7…2501backed Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15bb…9c6dbacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe36d…290ebacked No | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc1…d7acbacked Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8397…756abacked Yes | 73c | 98.25$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62d5…78d1backed No | 27c | 92.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d4…1682backed No | 57c | 90.18$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe23d…988bbacked No | 57c | 87.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcde0…267dbacked No | 75c | 82$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec76…f9f1backed Yes | 75c | 78$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 69cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6869…21e8backed No | 30c | 77.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…fbfabacked No | 50c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd66c…97e3backed No | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd827…8503backed No | 24c | 67.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x210c…2edabacked No | 52c | 66.26$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3c…5bd0backed No | 60c | 66$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…8218backed Yes | 80c | 65$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd81…3770backed Yes | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e37…ff97backed No | 25c | 61.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…5e33backed No | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd8…01f0backed No | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b27…e49dbacked Yes | 63c | 58.97$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a63…2eb3backed No | 35c | 57.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2f…8afdbacked No | 58c | 52.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc625…f8dcbacked No | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff6…7c5cbacked No | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff7…a5e5backed No | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ea…061bbacked No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +143.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…a589backed Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0408…75e3backed Yes | 52c | 28.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe964…92febacked Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e1…9897backed Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x423a…4f1dbacked Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- More EU sanctions on Russia by October 31?this page
- More EU sanctions on Russia by September 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.