AI · resolved market
Will Google have the top AI model on October 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd0f1789d6e6e7c809d7f2f5007028ca666c2c614b7d336e7e404bb49bb14ae2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,290
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,160
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,290 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07d4…8991backed No | 5c | 10,986$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.83 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e6…24a1backed Yes | 49c | 3,156$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,609.93 | 109 | 33.9%37 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81ca…3b87backed No | 67c | 2,398$1,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,613.72 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…5850backed Yes | 73c | 1,841$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.96 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe535…9f0ebacked Yes | 73c | 1,801$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 11c | 1,548$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.35 | 47 | 6.4%3 W · 44 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc95a…aee7backed Yes | 74c | 1,471$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -47%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca52…0cdfbacked Yes | 72c | 1,357$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.59 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 10c | 1,352$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.26 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…4b9fbacked Yes | 73c | 1,209$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.22 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ab…6473backed Yes | 59c | 1,016$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.78 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 22c | 948.62$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.84 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 8c | 884.16$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.87 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 79c | 865.43$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.24 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e45…3662backed Yes | 75c | 860.72$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.72 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6544…1711backed No | 12c | 834.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e8…5b74backed Yes | 78c | 827.42$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.35 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -5.3wins | -0.24per pick | 60cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7e40…73bdbacked Yes | 61c | 765.4$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.28 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x749f…9501backed No | 29c | 715.29$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.55 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed Yes | 20c | 700$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +8.4wins | +0.19per pick | 13cpaid | +143.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…5ce7backed No | 4c | 689.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f1…89f3backed Yes | 46c | 683.62$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.98 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 14c | 662.14$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.93 | 217 | 13.4%29 W · 188 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9804…6896backed No | 50c | 595.04$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd5…8809backed No | 6c | 487.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 10c | 465.42$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.86 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 51c | 399.99$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.99 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 23c | 352$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.08 | 243 | 15.2%37 W · 206 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeac7…3eaabacked Yes | 76c | 342.65$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.54 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…f218backed No | 39c | 339.41$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.39 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x245c…2486backed No | 11c | 317.48$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7478…4003backed Yes | 70c | 315.24$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.2 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07e4…5031backed Yes | 64c | 313.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9e…5f7fbacked Yes | 72c | 306.51$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.52 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 48cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd95…6d8ebacked Yes | 68c | 303.06$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73dc…8d32backed No | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf05…a49ebacked Yes | 71c | 279.76$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…a8bcbacked Yes | 73c | 273.13$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.13 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31eb…bea0backed Yes | 74c | 271.28$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.28 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d83…0bb9backed No | 13c | 262.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.07 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf7…65d9backed No | 28c | 261.34$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.79 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 72c | 260$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf390…6b3ebacked Yes | 69c | 258.77$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e7…89b4backed No | 17c | 243.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…1427backed Yes | 63c | 238.69$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.69 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e8…5ef5backed No | 5c | 215.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3b…a2b6backed No | 5c | 208.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08cb…3497backed Yes | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa4…04f2backed No | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed No | 6c | 179.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d95…158cbacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed Yes | 67c | 171.43$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.57 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd34…3baabacked No | 13c | 170.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…d7a2backed Yes | 72c | 169.32$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 30c | 163.53$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 729 | 35.5%259 W · 470 L | -57.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 31c | 160$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe860…c3d2backed No | 16c | 157.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…3836backed Yes | 66c | 152.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.15 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 72c | 150$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec76…f9f1backed No | 28c | 147.1$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8b…a53ebacked Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed Yes | 70c | 143$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.27 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6cc…f848backed Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -61%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76d2…6369backed Yes | 72c | 139.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…abfcbacked Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…015dbacked Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4e…1f10backed Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x748f…7054backed Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc3…9e7abacked No | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 11c | 128$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 407 | 12.3%50 W · 357 L | -35.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75c4…bb62backed No | 15c | 126.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcc…12a6backed Yes | 74c | 114.19$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.69 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204d…e908backed No | 19c | 112.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7934…785abacked No | 16c | 110.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f0…6c5dbacked Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7f…2d2dbacked No | 14c | 99.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce75…ab53backed Yes | 80c | 94.21$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x210c…2edabacked No | 54c | 77.12$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.41 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce15…cbb7backed Yes | 68c | 72.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a08…77e3backed Yes | 71c | 70.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b85…6ee7backed Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e5…f261backed No | 31c | 65.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1666…ba7bbacked Yes | 72c | 62.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe501…48afbacked Yes | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +71%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…f22ebacked Yes | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…658ebacked Yes | 68c | 58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d9…c24fbacked No | 44c | 46.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x750e…a3bfbacked Yes | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -41%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Yes | 69c | 45.8$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 29c | 44.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 211 | 25.6%54 W · 157 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…f334backed Yes | 79c | 44.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb4…f8dabacked Yes | 70c | 43.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed Yes | 55c | 40.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9de…1815backed Yes | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b8…cbcfbacked Yes | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b65…bec6backed Yes | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf58b…38b2backed Yes | 59c | 33.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7672…c0bebacked Yes | 77c | 31.43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef39…578fbacked Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Google have the top AI model on October 31?this page
- Will Alibaba have the top AI model on October 31?No won
- Will Anthropic have the top AI model on October 31?No won
- Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on October 31?No won
- Will Meta have the top AI model on October 31?No won
- Will Microsoft have the top AI model on October 31?No won
- Will Mistral AI have the top AI model on October 31?No won
- Will Moonshot have the top AI model on October 31?No won
- Will OpenAI have the top AI model on October 31?No won
- Will Tencent have the top AI model on October 31?No won
- Will Z.ai have the top AI model on October 31?No won
- Will xAI have the top AI model on October 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.