Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Obama endorse Mamdani?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x502da74d30044b6cc5fc50110b6a369d2e75bc2f431bbf0c2289e1e123c4e507
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $135,032
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $113,951
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,032 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd519…932cbacked Yes | 0c | 26,423$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 2c | 13,249$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.96 | 75 | 21.3%16 W · 59 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked Yes | 17c | 5,810$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.66 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a06…fb08backed Yes | 11c | 4,149$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee3b…e73bbacked Yes | 43c | 2,550$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…4656backed Yes | 40c | 2,500$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.68 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 37cpaid | -82.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7d…79cebacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 6c | 1,980$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.5 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Yes | 14c | 1,974$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.49 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 1,588$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.82 | 494 | 11.5%57 W · 437 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked No | 73c | 1,536$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.24 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab5…1d6ebacked Yes | 15c | 1,450$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x645c…9325backed No | 62c | 1,258$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b1…cde7backed Yes | 18c | 1,196$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 19c | 1,150$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.92 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f4…c3c5backed No | 61c | 1,146$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 1c | 1,133$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.18per pick | 14cpaid | +183.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8979…f003backed Yes | 3c | 1,101$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.73 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed Yes | 13c | 1,093$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 71c | 1,074$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.06 | 272 | 22.1%60 W · 212 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1742…38e9backed No | 72c | 1,073$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 3c | 936.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.27 | 58 | 5.2%3 W · 55 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 1c | 922.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 61 | 1.6%1 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -71%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 22c | 839.18$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.45 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes | 18c | 788.3$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.7 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 13c | 785.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.91 | 341 | 29.3%100 W · 241 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 27c | 778.64$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.68 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…8b95backed Yes | 17c | 770.58$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5d…5244backed Yes | 67c | 749.95$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d27…7cf5backed No | 58c | 729.41$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…5536backed Yes | 6c | 652$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.78 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef0…4cdcbacked No | 60c | 600$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 22c | 587.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.28 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 22c | 579.73$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.61 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 18c | 562$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.16 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 22cpaid | -65%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…62abbacked Yes | 29c | 500.09$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.13 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -25%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7e…f37ebacked Yes | 19c | 499.86$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.14 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 7c | 497$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd74…6425backed Yes | 6c | 487.71$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x195b…f993backed Yes | 43c | 469.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +104%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 23c | 436.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 7c | 433.32$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 314 | 34.1%107 W · 207 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a25…099dbacked No | 68c | 421.76$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb8…37b6backed No | 73c | 413.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 9c | 413.11$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.18 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 15c | 399.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 35cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 61c | 398.33$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.22 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9c…7a3bbacked Yes | 52c | 383$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2279…d2f8backed Yes | 19c | 368.42$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 14c | 359.51$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.03 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 13c | 357.17$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.05 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked No | 61c | 334.99$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.45 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5838…367cbacked Yes | 24c | 297.78$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.81 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 28c | 288.78$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 449 | 35.2%158 W · 291 L | -37.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e45…3662backed No | 78c | 287.51$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefc5…247cbacked Yes | 29c | 287.45$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63b4…7e30backed Yes | 27c | 248$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.96 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd540…b2febacked No | 54c | 240.44$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x038b…afc4backed Yes | 52c | 238.26$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.33 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26df…f747backed No | 69c | 218.41$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 15c | 208$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf7…65d9backed Yes | 26c | 204.7$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3b…3035backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed No | 61c | 199.72$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 57c | 196.4$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.45 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb4…21c1backed Yes | 29c | 194$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.26 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71dd…d61cbacked Yes | 24c | 186.48$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 10c | 185$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e78…e415backed No | 58c | 172.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.18 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…9a43backed Yes | 29c | 170.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 78c | 166.06$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…f218backed No | 71c | 164.21$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…f0afbacked No | 62c | 164.02$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76b0…338abacked No | 51c | 161.06$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.63 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f0…0446backed No | 66c | 151.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed Yes | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 11c | 139.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4b…5724backed Yes | 41c | 134.15$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17bd…7afcbacked Yes | 15c | 130.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 14.8%12 W · 69 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed Yes | 29c | 117.03$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…7a45backed No | 56c | 114.5$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.38 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…6accbacked Yes | 10c | 113.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ca…b890backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa791…bf23backed No | 59c | 109.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.3 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc77…c035backed Yes | 13c | 104.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdacb…72f8backed Yes | 11c | 104.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…c6c4backed No | 78c | 102.14$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d9a…eefdbacked Yes | 11c | 101.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…190cbacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f88…bd2bbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceef…ec6dbacked No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7656…194bbacked No | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe870…6bf8backed No | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d5…a0e1backed Yes | 21c | 95.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0a…c642backed No | 69c | 95.09$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed Yes | 18c | 93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b9…db98backed Yes | 47c | 93$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.62 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90be…c800backed No | 58c | 89.4$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…c9dbbacked Yes | 44c | 89.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.34 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.