Us Politics · resolved market
Trump cabinet member out by December 31, 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x524a318eb105f5869a591cd1eb782c277e6f7317e79821a1fb41615e4bb68a90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,973
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,492
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,973 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 26c | 7,278$1,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,905.14 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 76c | 5,756$4,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,390.46 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 60c | 5,412$3,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,138.47 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked No | 29c | 3,451$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,439.3 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd0…bc3dbacked No | 17c | 3,100$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,579.58 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed Yes | 59c | 2,106$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.59 | 219 | 35.2%77 W · 142 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…cd75backed Yes | 73c | 2,060$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.33 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…9224backed No | 20c | 1,854$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,473.84 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 67c | 1,800$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.4 | 355 | 19.7%70 W · 285 L | -16.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 8c | 1,593$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.96 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…8c3dbacked No | 78c | 1,530$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.23 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +101.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked No | 11c | 1,517$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.62 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +12.8wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed No | 44c | 1,433$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.66 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd42c…8d31backed Yes | 75c | 1,350$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.95 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0303…fcd1backed Yes | 79c | 1,332$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.15 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1e…bfe7backed Yes | 60c | 1,252$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.73 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed No | 78c | 1,138$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.12 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf23a…d3f8backed No | 31c | 1,135$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.39 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 63cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 35c | 1,116$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.91 | 395 | 22.8%90 W · 305 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 39c | 1,070$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.52 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed No | 24c | 895.44$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.25 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe15c…152cbacked No | 37c | 882$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.94 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 78c | 855.87$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.05 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dde…94c3backed Yes | 75c | 759.98$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.45 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3b…3035backed Yes | 77c | 633.41$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.1 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 57c | 587.45$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.67 | 235 | 43.8%103 W · 132 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x974a…ee7bbacked Yes | 14c | 520.1$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed No | 48c | 513.79$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.5 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 76c | 493.91$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.51 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked No | 24c | 440.47$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.74 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…adabbacked No | 48c | 427.19$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.76 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6367…e938backed No | 24c | 419.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.98 | 94 | 26.6%25 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8c…5baebacked No | 34c | 352.94$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…272dbacked Yes | 76c | 350$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.5 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 75c | 339.51$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.41 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 48c | 334.48$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.83 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 20c | 334.2$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.91 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed Yes | 14c | 332.24$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.39 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…2bd1backed No | 33c | 330$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…f59bbacked Yes | 8c | 325$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…e546backed Yes | 9c | 306.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 25c | 300$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 152 | 27.6%42 W · 110 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed No | 25c | 300$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe572…d822backed Yes | 17c | 288.23$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd94…b271backed Yes | 70c | 285.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcef4…6c83backed Yes | 53c | 280$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…d9febacked Yes | 18c | 277.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 78c | 276.09$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.15 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff00…c146backed Yes | 77c | 260.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Yes | 6c | 259$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7be3…afa3backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -65%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…b978backed Yes | 28c | 207.75$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.49 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a0…7e0abacked No | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +8.4wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 71c | 200$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.38 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…f218backed Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 14c | 184.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 71c | 176.28$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.59 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8662…c94fbacked Yes | 11c | 174.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 14cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 26c | 168.8$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.09 | 336 | 18.5%62 W · 274 L | -46.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -60%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x32c3…5dc5backed Yes | 10c | 167.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41cb…a5dfbacked Yes | 13c | 167$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8e…029abacked No | 63c | 166.85$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…e335backed Yes | 35c | 161.25$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.36 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc324…4cd6backed No | 49c | 159.1$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.31 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38cd…a557backed No | 21c | 157.44$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.81 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdccc…3ac3backed Yes | 75c | 134.67$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 9c | 132.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 5cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73dc…8d32backed Yes | 27c | 129.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x615f…e162backed No | 23c | 128.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.67 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3416…488ebacked Yes | 8c | 122.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…d366backed Yes | 79c | 120.2$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.96 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e8…874fbacked Yes | 78c | 120.19$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b04…b528backed No | 71c | 115.21$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed No | 47c | 114.07$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd0…0e01backed Yes | 38c | 110$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…7fc6backed Yes | 12c | 106$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe340…39f9backed Yes | 19c | 105.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed No | 21c | 101.23$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.97 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 71c | 101$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.71 | 146 | 24.7%36 W · 110 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf101…b28abacked Yes | 10c | 100.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb83b…ebf8backed No | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf710…edc9backed No | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.25 | 73 | 31.5%23 W · 50 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…b17ebacked Yes | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -6.3wins | -0.37per pick | 73cpaid | -53%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbf…2bdebacked No | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb167…f6e8backed No | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7088…d1e3backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf8…042fbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e17…9944backed No | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.1 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3553…6e3cbacked Yes | 10c | 99.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -71%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…d77dbacked Yes | 20c | 99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Yes | 70c | 97.89$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.52 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8db4…9c07backed Yes | 76c | 97.71$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.45 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -6.1wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…90e6backed Yes | 18c | 88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -53%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Yes | 68c | 85.42$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.09 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf49d…b6bebacked No | 32c | 84$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3de…e227backed No | 21c | 82.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.17 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…0b1ebacked No | 80c | 81$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf52…41d9backed Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed No | 44c | 80.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.27 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked No | 59c | 78.45$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 226 | 41.6%94 W · 132 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trump cabinet member out by December 31, 2025?this page
- Trump cabinet member out by December 31, 2026?Yes won
- Trump cabinet member out by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- Trump cabinet member out by March 31, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.