Middle East · resolved market
U.S. agrees to give Saudi Arabia security guarantee by November 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3869dadeb1266e2963899ac06bc48733cb1686f695f1368cfa5a92414d17238
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $274,478
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $277,206
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $274,478 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 246 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 29c | 13,942$4,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,009.66 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed No | 77c | 12,948$9,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,974.01 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 11c | 12,200$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.93 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 17c | 11,382$1,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,983.01 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22aa…0caebacked No | 72c | 5,721$4,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,596.3 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked No | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…ccb0backed Yes | 27c | 4,668$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.41 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…1f97backed Yes | 12c | 4,256$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47f5…934dbacked Yes | 26c | 4,245$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.85 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3208…6bedbacked No | 62c | 3,938$2,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed Yes | 29c | 3,208$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.99 | 382 | 37.7%144 W · 238 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 3,146$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.4 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5d…cc80backed Yes | 22c | 2,881$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…5226backed Yes | 38c | 2,657$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac49…67c4backed No | 76c | 2,648$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b44…264ebacked Yes | 9c | 2,508$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.38 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +9.7wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +156.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7086…38e5backed Yes | 4c | 2,475$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba0…97bfbacked No | 61c | 2,094$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.24 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd7f…4500backed No | 72c | 1,782$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8662…0731backed No | 67c | 1,710$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…8601backed No | 69c | 1,660$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.36 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 26c | 1,635$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.01 | 178 | 39.9%71 W · 107 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…9099backed Yes | 3c | 1,579$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.03 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed Yes | 27c | 1,500$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.01 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Yes | 22c | 1,497$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.38 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1128…cfa5backed Yes | 21c | 1,402$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.58 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9c…0e0fbacked No | 62c | 1,368$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked Yes | 27c | 1,362$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.5 | 409 | 39.6%162 W · 247 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4d…25b5backed Yes | 2c | 1,300$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed Yes | 38c | 1,275$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.2 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90f7…2501backed Yes | 24c | 1,129$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.77 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7b…2a87backed Yes | 28c | 1,122$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.63 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…61fdbacked Yes | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…14f3backed No | 75c | 1,089$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.48 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -41%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2dfd…6a46backed No | 60c | 1,061$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 15c | 1,035$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.52 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 33c | 1,022$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.59 | 78 | 17.9%14 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…74c8backed No | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e4…eff6backed Yes | 27c | 1,000$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.59 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e82…17c7backed No | 64c | 984.94$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x378a…258dbacked No | 80c | 977.66$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…bdb2backed No | 76c | 880$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.2 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +261.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x90be…c800backed Yes | 32c | 879.99$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 153 | 31.4%48 W · 105 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0f…601abacked Yes | 2c | 850.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x646b…5c3dbacked No | 80c | 838.43$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa96a…1405backed No | 71c | 800$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +89.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…fbdcbacked Yes | 3c | 759.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes | 2c | 731.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bee…aa9ebacked Yes | 41c | 698.89$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 13c | 694.76$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.67 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed Yes | 30c | 691.81$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.15 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9038…b34fbacked Yes | 35c | 636.05$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…4da1backed No | 65c | 619.45$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 35c | 600$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 223 | 33.6%75 W · 148 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1b…75d8backed Yes | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | +7.4wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 65c | 596.52$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.01 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab7e…2a96backed No | 61c | 584.1$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed Yes | 17c | 574$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.02 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…d37cbacked Yes | 11c | 567.35$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa16f…5f84backed No | 60c | 557.06$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.23 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4a…9589backed No | 74c | 546.06$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +118.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…80aebacked Yes | 16c | 517.31$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.46 | 128 | 30.5%39 W · 89 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…66b0backed No | 70c | 510$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.5 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 40c | 507.56$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.42 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +12.3wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked No | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 21c | 499.98$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 203 | 36.9%75 W · 128 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…5246backed No | 66c | 458.59$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.59 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 38cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd748…2125backed Yes | 33c | 454.61$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.99 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 73c | 449.1$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.56 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a08…7ff5backed Yes | 33c | 445.19$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b50…e262backed Yes | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf4…00fbbacked Yes | 5c | 430.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fd…4373backed No | 72c | 418.64$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.64 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed No | 75c | 404.98$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.15 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 19c | 403.52$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.77 | 317 | 19.2%61 W · 256 L | -23.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed No | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +10.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…a248backed Yes | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6115…97ddbacked No | 77c | 400$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3eb…376cbacked No | 72c | 367.99$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.06 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc534…b734backed No | 70c | 359.01$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -7.4wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -46%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…7fccbacked Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x173a…eb85backed Yes | 32c | 340$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.17 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9836…7101backed No | 64c | 335.64$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x007f…e3adbacked No | 72c | 318$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked Yes | 37c | 300.01$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.33 | 174 | 14.4%25 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…710cbacked No | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 486 | 30.5%148 W · 338 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aea…ee37backed No | 73c | 300$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c04…7031backed Yes | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…c00cbacked No | 62c | 283.57$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.85 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7968…d714backed Yes | 37c | 266.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 20c | 265.2$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.54 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 24c | 254.75$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.08 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4c…8d85backed Yes | 14c | 250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 202 | 39.1%79 W · 123 L | +20.4wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 13c | 250$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 196 | 39.8%78 W · 118 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9b…b444backed No | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…e564backed No | 78c | 242.12$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x933f…d300backed Yes | 25c | 230.05$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0518…5da2backed No | 59c | 200.5$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.