Venezuela · resolved market
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x167d8e6e3df14f1f5cc45cfd21b663f6ad664541792ea3752b520458bdd79c66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,713
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,008
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,713 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f6e…c8a0backed No | 0c | 10,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…24a9backed No | 27c | 3,891$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b0…ba0bbacked Yes | 74c | 3,255$2,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.37 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked No | 3c | 2,888$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe9…8308backed Yes | 75c | 2,000$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e6…51babacked No | 6c | 1,951$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 1,804$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 164 | 4.9%8 W · 156 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed No | 24c | 982.06$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.1 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…ae74backed Yes | 76c | 861.38$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.04 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +63%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 78c | 621.07$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.16 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x658c…1812backed No | 18c | 610.71$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd8…9b58backed No | 17c | 589.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3069…f8efbacked Yes | 70c | 523.94$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.94 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 69c | 503.42$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.4 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab8e…3d89backed No | 14c | 478.23$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 27cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca2…134fbacked No | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f81…5394backed No | 29c | 323.85$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 77c | 322$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed Yes | 68c | 321.21$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.6 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x919e…d915backed Yes | 74c | 312.5$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.88 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e1…ab0fbacked No | 16c | 310.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 74c | 306.34$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.59 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cc…f72abacked No | 16c | 280.93$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8e…b1c7backed No | 25c | 280$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x413d…d704backed No | 28c | 266.2$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.63 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed No | 28c | 250.1$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.03 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb94a…a623backed No | 15c | 217.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…09f4backed No | 25c | 211.45$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.82 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f49…7458backed No | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…3bd0backed Yes | 76c | 173.65$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0faf…d0d9backed No | 21c | 167.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cb…6943backed No | 16c | 159.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…19f4backed No | 19c | 131.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e5…cb25backed No | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a6…995cbacked No | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c86…c4f6backed No | 15c | 106.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9d…69fbbacked No | 33c | 106.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 15c | 103.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…0c4dbacked No | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf720…4599backed No | 15c | 93.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…f7f9backed No | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked No | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked No | 14c | 83.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a3…5a2fbacked Yes | 77c | 77.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd2…ea70backed No | 24c | 65.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…9ee4backed Yes | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb186…310cbacked Yes | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21a0…75eebacked No | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…c40dbacked Yes | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8110…0b45backed Yes | 78c | 32.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1a…73e1backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Yes | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x870a…bd43backed Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfaaa…335bbacked Yes | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +89.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 14?this page
- Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 9?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.