Champions League · resolved market
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3fb4913fedb34860023d0b1d9a64cee3ac86be1aeb492e6fd416efa2f53e1b4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,260
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,840
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,260 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa987…141dbacked No | 28c | 2,990$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.93 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 28c | 1,898$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.37 | 174 | 26.4%46 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf78e…0956backed Yes | 72c | 1,818$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.91 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 27c | 999.96$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 72c | 999$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.72 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 30c | 893.38$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.08 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes | 70c | 766.67$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 26c | 687.4$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.61 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed No | 27c | 590.19$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.78 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Yes | 73c | 417.81$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.81 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…9b56backed Yes | 74c | 357.85$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.04 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4702…457fbacked Yes | 73c | 350$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6def…0b75backed Yes | 73c | 342.47$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +279%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 28c | 332.97$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.23 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…e44dbacked Yes | 73c | 302.41$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.65 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 67cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed No | 27c | 250$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +8.2wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x919e…d915backed Yes | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97b5…42f9backed Yes | 72c | 199.99$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed No | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Yes | 71c | 150$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes | 73c | 137.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.09 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Yes | 73c | 137.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.16 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…96edbacked Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0db…56d5backed Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd93…e4bfbacked Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aac…b7e1backed No | 47c | 127.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 52c | 101.97$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +11.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80b6…ebb8backed Yes | 71c | 98.07$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.44 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc14…1dd2backed Yes | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked No | 29c | 78.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74b4…b283backed Yes | 73c | 69.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.26per pick | 62cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Yes | 73c | 69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee1…f668backed Yes | 73c | 68.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f1…6349backed Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd510…0be5backed Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…660dbacked No | 35c | 56.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa526…34aabacked Yes | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4989…2ca4backed Yes | 73c | 52.73$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed Yes | 50c | 51.36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1feb…bdc1backed No | 27c | 43.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Yes | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e8…2299backed Yes | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 53cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf918…30d5backed Yes | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f9…e294backed Yes | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4d…3e1bbacked Yes | 72c | 36.11$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05cc…35d7backed Yes | 72c | 34.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…09e2backed Yes | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Yes | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c74…5383backed Yes | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe332…e295backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf84c…ace2backed Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d27…4f3cbacked Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc83…c908backed Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 68cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa65e…8415backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a37…f948backed Yes | 79c | 23.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8427…440dbacked Yes | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91c4…1c1cbacked Yes | 73c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb529…f3ffbacked Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd76…fdf3backed Yes | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x54e8…5e6bbacked Yes | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x423d…c621backed Yes | 73c | 16.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6efd…ccb0backed Yes | 72c | 15.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Yes | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe489…aec1backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-0.5)FC Bayern München won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.