TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,334
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,960

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,334 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c14,966$7,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,068.641,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed Over48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8004228.6%12 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Over48c6,255$2,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,994.764461.4%27 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Over47c2,964$1,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,393.0812644.4%56 W · 70 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Under52c2,954$1,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,417.748258.5%48 W · 34 L+10.0wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+36.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under53c2,500$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1753661.1%22 W · 14 L+4.7wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+52.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under53c2,176$1,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.583951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5993…33a2backed Over48c2,100$1,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0181758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+45.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over46c1,500$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69010232.4%33 W · 69 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Under55c1,499$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.555038%19 W · 31 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cf0…251cbacked Under52c1,268$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.85742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Over45c1,205$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.366339.7%25 W · 38 L+0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd14a…e912backed Under51c999.94$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.975048%24 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over45c815.04$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.1417658.5%103 W · 73 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x54e8…5e6bbacked Over44c779.98$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.192766.7%18 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa93b…440cbacked Under55c629.45$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.91250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Over49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68d6…cfb9backed Over49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001540%6 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x775e…6541backed Over48c520.83$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503844.7%17 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ad…6ed7backed Over46c499.97$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.492133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-28.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d80…a151backed Under42c476$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.08450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc89…4ca1backed Under53c447.26$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.21666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x341e…9b67backed Under56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.14580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+26.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec73…303fbacked Under52c339.89$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.371540%6 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over48c333.33$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1606248.4%30 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Over48c263.98$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.5510647.2%50 W · 56 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Over49c238$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.623930.8%12 W · 27 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-25.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2791…2791backed Under52c222.14$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.622665.4%17 W · 9 L+5.0wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+42.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over47c222$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.349843.9%43 W · 55 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+28.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa2d7…3a06backed Over47c213.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.43728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick57cpaid-55.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x52a4…7fe3backed Over48c208.81$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.233158.1%18 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33e0…7d46backed Over47c208.7$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.091338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3a5…3249backed Under54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7456…5148backed Under54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed Under55c195.78$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.13339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0740…df2fbacked Under53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.68475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+35.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd0b…5df6backed Over46c186$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ed…6d3cbacked Under54c185.07$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.13944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.18per pick63cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd45…3dd4backed Under54c183.88$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.881127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked Under55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.827742.9%33 W · 44 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over47c169$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.4320667.5%139 W · 67 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under52c150.28$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.1437544%165 W · 210 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over46c141.47$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.0830657.5%176 W · 130 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad4f…b0bcbacked Under56c141.07$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.07862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+19.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f1…2d5fbacked Under53c132.08$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.082751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2f9…eb15backed Under55c123.64$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.64540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-27.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd32f…ae42backed Over49c109.04$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+32.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88a2…68a0backed Over48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6544…4b74backed Over48c103.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.28per pick46cpaid-62.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Over47c102.13$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484242.9%18 W · 24 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+28.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf4…00fbbacked Under53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36ea…be40backed Under53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6868…08d7backed Over46c99.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick42cpaid-79.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Under51c99.98$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.997454.1%40 W · 34 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dff…bc36backed Over45c99.98$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.993063.3%19 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8821…3914backed Under54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.591241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1973…9fb5backed Over49c92.4$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-34.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe7fa…44e5backed Under55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.912240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefe7…0cdfbacked Under56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.292646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fe…e803backed Over48c83.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c0e…8177backed Under54c75.56$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.761376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick61cpaid+25.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x406c…bdc6backed Under42c71.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.43475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+49.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfde8…c52fbacked Over48c66.67$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323327.3%9 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-39.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe1ab…2798backed Over49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under51c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.211645.7%53 W · 63 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked Over55c56.55$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2114044.3%62 W · 78 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8be…2ef8backed Over57c54.02$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.79540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-49.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5061…1b03backed Under52c53.34$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.62050%10 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7541…09d1backed Over49c53.06$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264639.1%18 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-27.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c60…2227backed Over56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-39.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac25…147abacked Over48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242035%7 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-38.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa856…3964backed Under55c48.2$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.692050%10 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed Over31c46.74$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.494353.5%23 W · 20 L+4.8wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xacd8…b9f6backed Under69c46.74$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.493345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x60e3…08a6backed Over48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe333…cf5fbacked Over48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202650%13 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe391…b6eabacked Over48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-51.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Under54c41.17$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8422054.1%119 W · 101 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked Over49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202821.4%6 W · 22 L-5.3wins-0.19per pick40cpaid-52.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Under54c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.45747.4%27 W · 30 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c94…1f7dbacked Over49c38.24$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.741258.3%7 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over52c38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.769653.1%51 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf672…c3c4backed Under54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.045855.2%32 W · 26 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe18c…dfa5backed Under54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.041050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abe…b676backed Under54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.04757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25b6…4fcfbacked Under55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.36812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.3wins-0.42per pick54cpaid-77.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcda3…e313backed Under55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.361154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbe6…c7a1backed Under55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.361050%5 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4f5…6df5backed Over45c35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.751050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb46…5d1bbacked Over49c32.65$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7836…33d4backed Over47c31.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f03…dc32backed Over47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.12642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3991…b6c7backed Over46c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.85547.3%26 W · 29 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fed…3b22backed Under53c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.31per pick56cpaid+62.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9c3d…25acbacked Under55c27.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.27475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+34%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Over48c25.65$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3116447.6%78 W · 86 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeecc…6930backed Under60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104226.2%11 W · 31 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-12.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xab90…5793backed Over48c23.04$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick69cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ece…50f0backed Over49c22.86$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.230%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0cb6…3009backed Under50c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+49%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.