Venezuela · resolved market
Venezuela Parlay
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2741b18bed2a3d524ea5a18e7385c5e4840f25ed443a6f228e5d9f18a24dd199
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,343
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,500
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,343 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b2e…36fdbacked Yes | 2c | 6,301$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +175.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8045…5b8fbacked Yes | 6c | 2,847$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.68 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 5c | 2,770$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.67 | 31 | 3.2%1 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 5c | 2,750$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 44 | 4.5%2 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 7c | 1,317$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.71 | 52 | 19.2%10 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x674b…f1afbacked Yes | 5c | 1,099$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 19cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x919e…d915backed Yes | 14c | 1,000$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0e…1411backed Yes | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Yes | 7c | 988.68$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…b3f6backed Yes | 14c | 939.97$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.26 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 37cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…0f53backed Yes | 12c | 710$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.1 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90be…c800backed Yes | 14c | 599.98$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 14c | 595.01$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.94 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 577$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 164 | 4.9%8 W · 156 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18f…294cbacked Yes | 11c | 574.08$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +125%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed Yes | 12c | 483.19$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.98 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17a5…e00abacked Yes | 9c | 423.31$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.22 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 3c | 402.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 5cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 13c | 300$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.17 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 4c | 300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 4cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked Yes | 14c | 160$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbab9…9d74backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…43dcbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8d…1425backed Yes | 15c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.