Us Politics · resolved market
US congress stock trading ban in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x287a159d54507edbac43d57f8222fc6b74063e8ed4614c986db89ddb5dabe7a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,011
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $127,020
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,011 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x022e…2a77backed Yes | 10c | 9,002$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.97 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd053…f7c0backed Yes | 4c | 8,126$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.24 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 4,850$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.33 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 11c | 2,743$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.52 | 556 | 18.5%103 W · 453 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 11c | 2,500$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.04 | 187 | 25.1%47 W · 140 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb1…3b2dbacked Yes | 11c | 2,129$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.81 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +7.8wins | +0.22per pick | 15cpaid | +177.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 6c | 1,973$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.75 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed Yes | 14c | 1,429$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.99 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd68…746abacked Yes | 8c | 1,404$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 13c | 1,365$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.97 | 395 | 22.8%90 W · 305 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 15c | 1,200$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.2 | 283 | 20.5%58 W · 225 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a5…9de7backed Yes | 9c | 1,170$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.75 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +9.5wins | +0.24per pick | 12cpaid | +185%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 8c | 1,070$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.96 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ac…c2aabacked Yes | 12c | 999.46$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.94 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0214…c813backed Yes | 13c | 934.64$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae89…9fb7backed Yes | 11c | 796.75$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.64 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 10c | 766.42$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.12 | 133 | 41.4%55 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27af…6ec8backed Yes | 12c | 705$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 13c | 683.84$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.93 | 142 | 30.3%43 W · 99 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c03…12b2backed Yes | 10c | 505$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.3 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x101a…161bbacked Yes | 8c | 425$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 7c | 419.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 139 | 43.2%60 W · 79 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Yes | 13c | 403.3$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.43 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e0…6c39backed Yes | 7c | 399.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…60e7backed Yes | 7c | 376.94$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +184.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x386d…9bb6backed Yes | 8c | 350$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 16c | 315$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 12c | 264.41$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea5…a58ebacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x919e…d915backed Yes | 14c | 250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 11c | 242$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +10.8wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa852…e6cdbacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 11c | 206.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 12c | 206.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5279…a9bcbacked Yes | 8c | 195.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed Yes | 13c | 187.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 148 | 19.6%29 W · 119 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e8…c471backed Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb02e…25e5backed Yes | 7c | 187.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 48 | 10.4%5 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…190cbacked Yes | 10c | 176$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45a1…2581backed Yes | 13c | 159.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…3ad2backed Yes | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71dd…d61cbacked Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2610…4b04backed Yes | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…e8cfbacked Yes | 7c | 149.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf1…3c6bbacked Yes | 13c | 140.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…cbbbbacked Yes | 13c | 140.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50bc…3087backed Yes | 15c | 131.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c0…4827backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x909c…a565backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…d06cbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…4938backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 16c | 123.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 11c | 105$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe914…1707backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…f68bbacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32c3…5dc5backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x501d…8fe8backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7272…a67dbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d4…ac0dbacked Yes | 12c | 89.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9afd…3028backed Yes | 13c | 89.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.