Ukraine · resolved market
Will Trump meet with Ahmed Al Shara in September?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15fe1303c40c7369d8327801ba60e4aadc2e39c40a198d3e030e86561c1589eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,382
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,068
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,382 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed No | 57c | 7,864$4,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,461.04 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 26c | 3,052$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249.46 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +67%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 11c | 2,907$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.48 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 70c | 2,682$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.45 | 54 | 22.2%12 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x867d…3f3bbacked Yes | 33c | 2,400$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,616.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 69c | 2,329$1,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.23 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2917…be8fbacked No | 30c | 2,232$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.74 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 56c | 1,818$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.7 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd221…a44bbacked Yes | 17c | 1,353$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.06 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked No | 7c | 999.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…a1dbbacked Yes | 36c | 839.88$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.88 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…e38bbacked No | 77c | 781.78$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.55 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -6.1wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d2…d685backed No | 50c | 741.73$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 45c | 692.08$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.76 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 11c | 588.73$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.57 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d0…4637backed No | 51c | 550$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 47c | 503.31$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 144 | 56.9%82 W · 62 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 74c | 500$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -38.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 22c | 492.76$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 18c | 405.86$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.33 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d6…0fdabacked Yes | 78c | 400$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 16c | 362.47$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.15 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90be…c800backed Yes | 44c | 350$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.5 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…63bebacked No | 53c | 298$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.3 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 71c | 293.02$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.6 | 262 | 38.5%101 W · 161 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 70c | 280.2$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 97 | 34%33 W · 64 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 15c | 278.61$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.96 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90f7…2501backed No | 75c | 277.91$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.82 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…b2e3backed Yes | 25c | 270$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.2 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e8…5b74backed No | 73c | 266.64$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.58 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f3…d859backed Yes | 65c | 258.13$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 9c | 229.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 308 | 37.7%116 W · 192 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…5aa0backed Yes | 38c | 217.19$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.3 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed Yes | 69c | 201.46$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.7 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f4b1backed No | 48c | 199.35$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.38 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec76…f9f1backed Yes | 71c | 197.85$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.03 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 69cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x919e…d915backed Yes | 54c | 187.5$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.6 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 71c | 185.03$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.2 | 255 | 28.2%72 W · 183 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…5468backed Yes | 25c | 176.8$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.41 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf7…65d9backed Yes | 69c | 176.36$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.81 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…67c9backed Yes | 35c | 172$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.39 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…c328backed Yes | 65c | 165$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.88 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +194.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f49…7458backed Yes | 66c | 150.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.39 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x46e2…f8bbbacked Yes | 24c | 150$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e2…25f7backed Yes | 44c | 150$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x404e…a0d3backed No | 58c | 145.11$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51aa…10dabacked Yes | 32c | 140.3$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +211.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad1…68fabacked No | 75c | 132.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked No | 50c | 129.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.5 | 353 | 41.9%148 W · 205 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90d5…af62backed No | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 28c | 124.36$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.17 | 171 | 22.2%38 W · 133 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x038b…afc4backed No | 46c | 120.2$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.83 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f50…1fb6backed No | 78c | 110$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.6 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 11c | 109.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8420…6183backed No | 62c | 105$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.45 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 38c | 101.62$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.06 | 417 | 36.2%151 W · 266 L | -25.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…cb10backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95c9…96afbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77b6…f279backed Yes | 57c | 96.5$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.18 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd0…f582backed Yes | 27c | 95.71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.72 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b1…7dc3backed No | 41c | 90$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed Yes | 28c | 83.89$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0026…aef7backed Yes | 42c | 83.53$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2063…1eedbacked No | 30c | 83.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee4…481fbacked No | 42c | 82.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.63 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd49e…4808backed No | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3086…fb7ebacked No | 43c | 74.51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc935…61acbacked No | 42c | 70.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeec5…b6febacked Yes | 78c | 58.45$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c4…86a9backed Yes | 44c | 56.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.84 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62d5…78d1backed Yes | 73c | 50.74$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…68f5backed No | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2516…58b3backed Yes | 30c | 49.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa810…fd25backed No | 26c | 48.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ba…68fabacked Yes | 34c | 45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…62efbacked No | 28c | 44.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 32c | 44.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.17 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c2…1bbebacked No | 70c | 42.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…4525backed No | 75c | 42.61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ee…cf68backed No | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec06…9178backed No | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +10.2wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb21e…99bbbacked No | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 40c | 33.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 49c | 32.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 172 | 32%55 W · 117 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x471a…e242backed Yes | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce69…3e08backed Yes | 40c | 26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7e…f37ebacked No | 42c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 49c | 25.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5065…fdbbbacked No | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc30c…6509backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed Yes | 55c | 23.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0013…7684backed Yes | 47c | 21.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…d308backed Yes | 72c | 18.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b37…4e2dbacked No | 76c | 17.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…70efbacked No | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump meet with Ahmed Al Shara in September?this page
- Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in September?No won
- Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in September?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in September?No won
- Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in September?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in September?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in September?No won
- Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in September?No won
- Will Trump meet with Jerome Powell in September?No won
- Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in September?No won
- Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in September?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Pope Leo in September?No won
- Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in September?No won
- Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in September?No won
- Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in September?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.