Us Politics · resolved market
Trump strikes another drug boat by Oct 15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb8af554e2ed7fda1ca66818ac769c2c01d3f1f84e99f3ac254160ebe7cd62c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,367
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,611
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,367 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked No | 11c | 2,476$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.79 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +12.8wins | +0.26per pick | 17cpaid | +218.5%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…f365backed Yes | 13c | 1,798$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,569.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 28c | 1,638$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.38 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…59fdbacked No | 28c | 1,546$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.55 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62cf…5826backed No | 54c | 1,263$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.58 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 69c | 1,259$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.67 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 11c | 1,250$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 111 | 21.6%24 W · 87 L | +11.4wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +179.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed Yes | 41c | 1,235$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.88 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +6.5wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad2…54bdbacked Yes | 9c | 1,117$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.74 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +402.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd99f…4400backed Yes | 45c | 1,040$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed No | 73c | 972.67$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.02 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0db…56d5backed No | 75c | 711.05$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc7…8f89backed Yes | 31c | 673.53$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.49 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 56c | 566.88$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.95 | 355 | 19.7%70 W · 285 L | -16.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 28c | 533.54$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.54 | 216 | 34.3%74 W · 142 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 79c | 499.99$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.57 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x588c…1bf4backed No | 74c | 475.72$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.74 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -6.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 30c | 425.24$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.18 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 25c | 396.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.39 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c8…bc64backed No | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x919e…d915backed Yes | 23c | 374.99$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.31 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed No | 70c | 343.05$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.3 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e2…988ebacked Yes | 37c | 328.42$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.48 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 33cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb902…0899backed Yes | 31c | 318.9$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +227.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9e…716ebacked No | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -52%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x410a…e8b8backed Yes | 50c | 282$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked No | 50c | 257.8$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.17 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b7…cc32backed No | 71c | 237$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 53c | 235$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.55 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9c…00f6backed No | 72c | 230$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 42c | 226.96$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.22 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff4a…ffaebacked Yes | 42c | 209.99$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc561…fa80backed No | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf928…6b7ebacked No | 71c | 200$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd687…c066backed No | 50c | 190$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked No | 71c | 175.28$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.8 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x740e…fff3backed Yes | 7c | 172$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.41per pick | 26cpaid | +313%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b30…84ccbacked Yes | 16c | 170$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +131.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b48…fdcabacked Yes | 24c | 164.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb885…4b0dbacked No | 68c | 160$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 31c | 139.97$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.98 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 14c | 137.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.59 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fec…c965backed Yes | 30c | 133.38$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.15 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18f…294cbacked Yes | 31c | 125$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.25 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff7…87a4backed No | 67c | 119.66$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…42e6backed Yes | 49c | 117.31$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.02 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec73…6af3backed Yes | 67c | 116.42$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.42 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc75…b64dbacked No | 70c | 114.69$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.71 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x019a…7df0backed No | 70c | 111.51$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.95 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fc…a861backed Yes | 37c | 110$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +202.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 33c | 105.48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.34 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…4f06backed No | 56c | 100.53$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed No | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 65cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaee1…3ceabacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +83.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…340cbacked No | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…276cbacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffb0…fa37backed Yes | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.99 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8147…5039backed Yes | 12c | 91.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +143.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 46c | 89.88$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.94 | 318 | 40.3%128 W · 190 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dea…9e90backed Yes | 43c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe860…c3d2backed No | 71c | 79.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 33cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…f218backed Yes | 27c | 79.7$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.85 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…c328backed No | 76c | 78.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eda…d453backed No | 67c | 78.82$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x210c…2edabacked No | 74c | 63.48$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 54 | 74.1%40 W · 14 L | +8.4wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xba9d…9e71backed Yes | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32db…fcdcbacked Yes | 37c | 56.49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.87 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 28cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76d7…d604backed No | 67c | 55.3$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8151…0792backed Yes | 58c | 51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd2…0bd8backed Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 184 | 45.1%83 W · 101 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…2473backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…658ebacked Yes | 46c | 49.55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.54 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…6f89backed No | 64c | 46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b93…9fbebacked No | 76c | 43.42$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 240 | 35.4%85 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe94…6fa5backed Yes | 56c | 35.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe51e…1a85backed No | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x570d…7222backed Yes | 31c | 35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +221.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0f…c8aebacked Yes | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec8…47d7backed No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf710…edc9backed No | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 73 | 31.5%23 W · 50 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x245c…2486backed No | 73c | 23.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c5…bf7abacked Yes | 51c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce15…cbb7backed No | 69c | 23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.5wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x296e…e0e1backed No | 53c | 20.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…0760backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe386…3d99backed No | 74c | 14.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…2922backed No | 75c | 14.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.