Middle East · resolved market
Israel x Turkey military clash in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3bfe92e518e3cc7f569b70cbafcf40449bd9498c7159129275c33822500457b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $283,833
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $220,085
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $283,833 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked Yes | 12c | 13,471$1,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,671.18 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd221…a44bbacked Yes | 14c | 11,403$1,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591.93 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 3c | 8,684$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.97 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…8f90backed Yes | 7c | 7,722$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.93 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85f1…34ecbacked Yes | 1c | 5,247$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.73 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 28cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 13c | 4,098$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.1 | 421 | 20.9%88 W · 333 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd66c…aa61backed Yes | 12c | 3,434$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf23d…b77abacked Yes | 10c | 3,300$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…d67bbacked Yes | 13c | 3,193$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed Yes | 2c | 3,064$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf587…1419backed Yes | 14c | 2,857$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a3…9e5cbacked Yes | 13c | 2,351$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf488…5c8fbacked Yes | 5c | 2,169$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5049…6092backed Yes | 6c | 2,126$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.9 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4d…25b5backed Yes | 2c | 1,980$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…67c9backed Yes | 1c | 1,818$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed Yes | 12c | 1,734$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.12 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad6…8845backed Yes | 14c | 1,431$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 10c | 1,411$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.11 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd76a…79acbacked Yes | 3c | 1,379$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,203$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.29 | 133 | 2.3%3 W · 130 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…6b50backed Yes | 6c | 1,200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,114$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b3…87b8backed Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 242 | 34.3%83 W · 159 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x919e…d915backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…c677backed Yes | 2c | 900$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 10c | 856.72$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.75 | 284 | 27.8%79 W · 205 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9076…8805backed Yes | 3c | 829.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed Yes | 12c | 812.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 333 | 37.5%125 W · 208 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcedd…10d6backed Yes | 10c | 771.4$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.04 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed Yes | 12c | 745.62$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.32 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b6…41a7backed Yes | 15c | 740$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…4472backed Yes | 14c | 728.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed Yes | 15c | 672.7$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.83 | 344 | 40.4%139 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2330…cb2cbacked Yes | 2c | 630$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4d…ca54backed Yes | 12c | 620$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.7 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…58c7backed Yes | 12c | 602.31$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.91 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f87…07b9backed Yes | 13c | 545.89$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.28 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -85.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2964…ea1ebacked Yes | 11c | 544.57$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.45 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea73…d1d8backed Yes | 10c | 544$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 47cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa020…d807backed Yes | 19c | 529.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 13c | 515.66$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.04 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…a0d7backed Yes | 11c | 500$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.29 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6734…fd07backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed Yes | 11c | 500$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 18c | 485.61$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.41 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4657…00d6backed Yes | 4c | 454$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07b3…b4a8backed Yes | 2c | 450$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747e…690dbacked Yes | 12c | 433$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81b4…a888backed Yes | 12c | 428.61$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…ab48backed Yes | 17c | 420$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…b260backed Yes | 5c | 416.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5226…b4f5backed Yes | 10c | 400$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b69…0cdebacked Yes | 14c | 400$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…02a5backed Yes | 5c | 399.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c9…a9ccbacked Yes | 14c | 396.85$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b78…a88abacked Yes | 13c | 388$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked Yes | 9c | 352.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8545…ada5backed Yes | 7c | 339.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 20cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0895…e550backed Yes | 13c | 314.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 41cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 3c | 312.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 221 | 7.2%16 W · 205 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | +10.2wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 9c | 300$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 153 | 24.8%38 W · 115 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2034…16dfbacked Yes | 5c | 287.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5189…32ecbacked Yes | 14c | 286.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…65d2backed Yes | 10c | 285.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe202…8174backed Yes | 14c | 285.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 6c | 272.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 125 | 24.8%31 W · 94 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b54…cb72backed Yes | 11c | 271.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…d45bbacked Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 244.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ad…7c42backed Yes | 13c | 232.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 10c | 230$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe378…4cecbacked Yes | 11c | 225$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d85…c1b8backed Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc781…59d7backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbf…be73backed Yes | 15c | 183.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdd…2916backed Yes | 12c | 170$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90d2…a6b3backed Yes | 11c | 160.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5446…fe65backed Yes | 11c | 151$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…e8a4backed Yes | 13c | 144$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f92…745fbacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x895e…d18dbacked Yes | 11c | 127.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x874e…03b1backed Yes | 14c | 110.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17fc…2b02backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00fd…a154backed Yes | 15c | 105.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x770e…7640backed Yes | 15c | 90$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 206 | 17%35 W · 171 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 74c | 63.37$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa71a…bb28backed Yes | 19c | 57.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…7309backed Yes | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 70c | 32.96$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 266 | 16.5%44 W · 222 L | -24.7wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 55c | 18.45$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 317 | 19.2%61 W · 256 L | -23.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.