Middle East · resolved market
Israel x Syria security agreement by December 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73ff55c4c2da731dde5706777b69d21a08f8f9b682e8a11e864be6fc6cf4a87c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $108,206
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $113,088
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,206 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked No | 74c | 5,607$4,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456.51 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 27c | 4,948$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.69 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 17c | 4,401$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.8 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 72c | 4,129$2,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.28 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4e…c06fbacked Yes | 55c | 2,475$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1128…cfa5backed Yes | 15c | 2,373$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.81 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed No | 37c | 2,001$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.71 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.98 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7b…160dbacked No | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe933…500bbacked Yes | 66c | 1,500$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.37 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 41c | 1,416$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.18 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff1…72ebbacked Yes | 65c | 1,411$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…ccb0backed No | 34c | 1,346$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.26 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8196…ab69backed Yes | 13c | 1,309$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.18 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4e…9ddcbacked Yes | 59c | 1,269$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 51c | 1,183$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.34 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f9…2697backed Yes | 10c | 1,106$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 63c | 1,047$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.27 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3039…8a62backed Yes | 4c | 1,001$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf59f…3be9backed No | 43c | 979.75$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.64 | 157 | 43.9%69 W · 88 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 55c | 808.21$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.01 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 52c | 803.1$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.26 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed Yes | 40c | 750.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 344 | 40.4%139 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8304…f086backed No | 43c | 700.6$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.07 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6030…5e0fbacked No | 32c | 700$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34a…6007backed No | 77c | 675.3$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.21 | 211 | 60.7%128 W · 83 L | +14.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…59fdbacked No | 45c | 582.6$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.98 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc781…59d7backed No | 42c | 575.47$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.04 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 79c | 573.42$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.82 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed Yes | 12c | 545.49$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.46 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +8.6wins | +0.16per pick | 14cpaid | +154.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8597…daeebacked No | 36c | 477.24$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.43 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 12c | 462.33$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.22 | 358 | 8.7%31 W · 327 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f93…5f54backed Yes | 66c | 451.69$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 71c | 450$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.5 | 423 | 29.1%123 W · 300 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4919…067ebacked No | 78c | 434.18$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.58 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 26c | 433.85$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.7 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe98a…08f4backed Yes | 7c | 429.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…2261backed Yes | 9c | 426$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +148.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 21c | 410.16$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.52 | 421 | 20.9%88 W · 333 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…4c60backed No | 50c | 401.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.41 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x942b…e25ebacked Yes | 46c | 400$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.47 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -37%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed Yes | 77c | 390.37$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.59 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 72c | 380.9$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.99 | 68 | 13.2%9 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…e7b6backed Yes | 42c | 378.8$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.76 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.20per pick | 33cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc3…b21fbacked No | 41c | 346$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.14 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 50c | 343.63$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.22 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a4…0064backed No | 33c | 339.69$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.06 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…76c1backed Yes | 11c | 304$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aca…cad6backed Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…78a0backed No | 24c | 300$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312b…cafebacked No | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd39b…9343backed Yes | 72c | 300$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed7…b0a5backed Yes | 11c | 299$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.89 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…4a71backed No | 64c | 297.31$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4346…2241backed Yes | 11c | 293$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.23 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc7…1a35backed Yes | 11c | 292$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.12 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee9e…efb7backed Yes | 11c | 278$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 69c | 274.93$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.49 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x997f…b3c2backed Yes | 11c | 271$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2819…34fcbacked Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d17…1e5ebacked Yes | 8c | 263$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 8c | 260$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 133 | 2.3%3 W · 130 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed No | 42c | 250.1$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.15 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…09adbacked Yes | 11c | 250$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +92.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…ad78backed Yes | 56c | 250$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 85 | 29.4%25 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d24…a2e9backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x919e…d915backed Yes | 54c | 250$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58a3…3490backed No | 41c | 243.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.53 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a6…0b89backed Yes | 29c | 231.61$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d7…9b78backed Yes | 22c | 223.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x388e…2078backed No | 41c | 222$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.98 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5aa…7472backed No | 45c | 221.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.04 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafa3…c3ddbacked Yes | 8c | 221$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd90d…97e5backed Yes | 61c | 219$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.06 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…d37cbacked Yes | 19c | 217.12$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…693fbacked Yes | 26c | 210$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba9…8920backed No | 50c | 210$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ba…68fabacked No | 21c | 207$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.53 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x404e…a0d3backed No | 25c | 203.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.05 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f91…d531backed Yes | 11c | 203$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0138…8451backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +7.5wins | +0.44per pick | 38cpaid | +130.5%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd0…0e01backed No | 20c | 199.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.99 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed No | 25c | 198.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.15 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a1…bdadbacked Yes | 38c | 195.46$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a03…5ea4backed Yes | 78c | 191.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 23c | 191.04$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.12 | 344 | 32.3%111 W · 233 L | -31.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x28d6…f54ebacked Yes | 11c | 190$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f9…f200backed No | 20c | 188.01$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6a…53e0backed Yes | 10c | 188$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 42cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa493…612ebacked Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d82…7d33backed No | 56c | 180.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.17 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…061fbacked No | 21c | 180$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +222.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf7…65d9backed Yes | 77c | 164.68$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.69 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…9090backed Yes | 11c | 164$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f2…7027backed Yes | 17c | 163.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…f285backed Yes | 11c | 160$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfd…946bbacked Yes | 11c | 156$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a7a9backed Yes | 11c | 156$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…ad1bbacked Yes | 26c | 155$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 248 | 39.5%98 W · 150 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d1…8f6ebacked Yes | 22c | 154.72$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Israel x Syria security agreement by December 31?this page
- Israel x Syria security agreement by January 31?No won
- Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?No won
- Israel x Syria security agreement by March 31?No won
- Israel x Syria security agreement by November 30?No won
- Israel x Syria security agreement by October 31?No won
- Israel x Syria security agreement by September 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.