MLB · resolved market
Orioles vs. Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f2a8d003eb38a113c1c3b314eee58ae79daca0ccac276932df6cad7bfb05ed8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oriolesof Orioles, Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $229,321
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $214,590
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $229,321 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 503 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Padres | 62c | 23,855$14,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,790.3 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Orioles | 38c | 20,473$7,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,693.26 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Orioles | 38c | 20,124$7,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,493.92 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Padres | 59c | 16,444$9,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,758.97 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -16.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Padres | 62c | 13,166$8,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,162.76 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Padres | 5c | 10,249$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.52 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Orioles | 37c | 9,689$3,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,103.85 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Padres | 46c | 8,681$3,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,981.55 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Padres | 61c | 7,960$4,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,855.65 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Orioles | 37c | 6,510$2,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,093.57 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Orioles | 68c | 6,286$4,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,992.34 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Orioles | 50c | 6,241$3,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,126.23 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Orioles | 38c | 5,173$1,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,198.93 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc9…56d0backed Orioles | 40c | 5,030$2,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,018 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Padres | 62c | 4,923$3,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,034.13 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Padres | 63c | 4,761$2,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.39 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Padres | 8c | 4,115$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.16 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…f405backed Padres | 63c | 3,832$2,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,414.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01a…2485backed Padres | 60c | 3,505$2,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,103 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Orioles | 53c | 3,397$1,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.78 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Orioles | 38c | 3,382$1,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,097.04 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea34…0a92backed Padres | 61c | 3,085$1,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,881.85 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Padres | 41c | 2,978$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.43 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Padres | 1c | 2,613$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.83 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Padres | 25c | 2,511$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.86 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db7…d372backed Padres | 51c | 2,262$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.73 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Orioles | 38c | 2,129$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.98 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Orioles | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10e…beedbacked Padres | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.6 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…4106backed Orioles | 39c | 1,882$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Padres | 64c | 1,875$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Orioles | 38c | 1,850$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f8…3a79backed Padres | 49c | 1,778$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.8 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…20d6backed Padres | 63c | 1,775$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.94 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Orioles | 40c | 1,650$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Padres | 61c | 1,479$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.37 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c4…6ea5backed Padres | 63c | 1,200$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Padres | 4c | 1,184$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Orioles | 41c | 1,142$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.38 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfd…9227backed Orioles | 39c | 1,082$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…d4f3backed Orioles | 39c | 1,039$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.64 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Orioles | 38c | 1,019$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.78 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Orioles | 71c | 1,018$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.22 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6b…c3dabacked Orioles | 40c | 1,012$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Padres | 60c | 1,011$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.6 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x918e…3203backed Padres | 60c | 1,005$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Orioles | 36c | 999.97$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.98 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Padres | 60c | 998.11$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.87 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ac…cf0dbacked Padres | 60c | 995$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e89…e67abacked Orioles | 40c | 988$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.8 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.38per pick | 47cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Orioles | 41c | 975.61$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.61 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92ed…82c6backed Padres | 43c | 957.51$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.73 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…9f35backed Orioles | 52c | 876$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.17 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Padres | 62c | 873$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.26 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed Padres | 27c | 822.98$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.82 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Orioles | 37c | 800$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344d…1278backed Padres | 30c | 774.44$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Orioles | 40c | 749.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.99 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Orioles | 38c | 700$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Orioles | 62c | 685.66$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.06 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Padres | 64c | 598$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.73 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed Padres | 60c | 585.99$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.59 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Orioles | 38c | 561.78$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.3 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Padres | 51c | 557.41$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.52 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90e…107abacked Orioles | 48c | 531.44$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.83 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Orioles | 40c | 500.2$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.12 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Padres | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Orioles | 40c | 499.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Orioles | 39c | 499.92$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Padres | 3c | 462.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Padres | 60c | 416$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Padres | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…c149backed Padres | 64c | 390.63$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 59cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Padres | 23c | 360.15$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Padres | 18c | 355.36$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.96 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Orioles | 39c | 349.96$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.47 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Padres | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.89 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed1d…8707backed Padres | 15c | 296$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.9 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Orioles | 66c | 285.29$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.23 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x516a…84f6backed Padres | 64c | 282.58$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.15 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -11.6wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Orioles | 56c | 264$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.49 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Orioles | 39c | 256$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.16 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Orioles | 39c | 255$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.95 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Orioles | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1888…e1cbbacked Orioles | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc48…7294backed Padres | 63c | 249.99$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Orioles | 40c | 237.5$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Padres | 61c | 224$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.64 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Padres | 55c | 218.18$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Padres | 12c | 210.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd0…7efcbacked Padres | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x245f…b6d7backed Padres | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e40…4efabacked Padres | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…e142backed Padres | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8381…ebcfbacked Padres | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7620…b9eabacked Padres | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7623…565dbacked Padres | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…78e3backed Padres | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac5…3536backed Orioles | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44d3…6f65backed Orioles | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Orioles vs. Padresthis page
- Orioles vs. Padres: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Padres (-1.5)Orioles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.