Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FC Heidenheim win on 2025-12-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x268ea93286f9b5be4f838b056fbaa6ab3916655602c50e42db77af473d7df73f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $645,296
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $646,200
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $645,296 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 516 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 78c | 13,857$10,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,817.19 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Yes | 18c | 10,852$1,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,867.72 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 74c | 8,072$5,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,973.61 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x604f…2bffbacked Yes | 26c | 5,275$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,903.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +205.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Yes | 24c | 4,761$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.19 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3011…d3c2backed Yes | 26c | 4,276$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,164.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 22c | 4,190$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,264.72 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2102…1b31backed Yes | 26c | 4,137$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,061.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65cf…4034backed Yes | 26c | 4,051$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,997.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +205.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 58c | 3,492$2,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,042.83 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1782…e56bbacked Yes | 26c | 3,492$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,584.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e42…396fbacked Yes | 26c | 3,415$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,527.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +205.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb413…461ebacked Yes | 26c | 3,271$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,420.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +205.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…e233backed Yes | 26c | 3,227$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,387.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e70…4d91backed Yes | 26c | 3,182$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,355.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68d…bd95backed Yes | 26c | 3,097$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,291.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +205.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x047e…8bbbbacked Yes | 26c | 3,097$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,291.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +205.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19c0…d4b1backed Yes | 26c | 2,971$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,198.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +205.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61b3…fbffbacked Yes | 26c | 2,918$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…e053backed Yes | 26c | 2,905$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,149.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e88…2811backed Yes | 26c | 2,896$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,143.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb262…4277backed Yes | 26c | 2,853$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,111.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +205.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6edd…2c45backed Yes | 26c | 2,835$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,097.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5db3…a0d2backed Yes | 26c | 2,733$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,022.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +205.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a60…fbe7backed No | 74c | 2,725$2,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,016.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…8e15backed Yes | 26c | 2,714$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,008.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…da81backed Yes | 26c | 2,708$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,003.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa63a…ede3backed No | 74c | 2,685$1,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,986.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c5…4c95backed Yes | 26c | 2,668$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,974.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +205.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x075d…bb18backed No | 74c | 2,657$1,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,966.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849b…254abacked No | 74c | 2,531$1,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,872.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21df…a242backed Yes | 26c | 2,517$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,862.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +205.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f39…1601backed No | 74c | 2,417$1,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,788.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2a…2fa2backed Yes | 26c | 2,343$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +205.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc432…d926backed No | 74c | 2,329$1,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,723.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2afa…996dbacked Yes | 26c | 2,325$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…a6a3backed Yes | 26c | 2,285$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,690.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d6…3b2cbacked Yes | 26c | 2,247$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,662.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +205.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3607…c929backed No | 74c | 2,223$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3064…03e1backed Yes | 26c | 2,217$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +205.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1e…2b08backed Yes | 26c | 2,208$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,633.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2b…4adebacked Yes | 26c | 2,208$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,633.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +205.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7006…0840backed No | 74c | 2,207$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x103e…d767backed No | 74c | 2,192$1,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,622.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1147…da78backed Yes | 23c | 2,169$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,670.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a4…943cbacked Yes | 26c | 2,144$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,586.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb8…e38ebacked No | 74c | 2,126$1,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,573.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…6f92backed Yes | 26c | 2,126$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,573.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +205.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07c6…00e8backed No | 74c | 2,096$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…a81cbacked Yes | 26c | 2,081$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5741…61f1backed Yes | 26c | 2,072$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Yes | 23c | 2,064$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.59 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +5.4wins | +0.23per pick | 32cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe772…da07backed No | 74c | 2,044$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4f…550dbacked Yes | 26c | 2,014$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae0…058cbacked Yes | 26c | 2,010$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588a…f792backed Yes | 26c | 2,008$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +205.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef1c…5d1abacked No | 74c | 2,002$1,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,481.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5421…4964backed No | 74c | 1,985$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…6321backed No | 74c | 1,946$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeee8…c0ddbacked Yes | 26c | 1,944$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +205.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…69febacked No | 74c | 1,907$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d10…2d36backed No | 74c | 1,890$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x107e…f797backed No | 74c | 1,887$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7a…8f7dbacked Yes | 26c | 1,886$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2215…dda4backed Yes | 26c | 1,885$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a07…5a57backed Yes | 26c | 1,883$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +205.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38ae…edb2backed Yes | 26c | 1,880$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,391.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d5…cc5fbacked Yes | 26c | 1,876$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,388.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +205.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76ce…b2c0backed Yes | 26c | 1,826$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b1…6566backed Yes | 26c | 1,824$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +205.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0780…8789backed No | 74c | 1,795$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…04f0backed Yes | 26c | 1,792$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +205.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 22c | 1,790$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.39 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a6d…013ebacked Yes | 26c | 1,755$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00da…9168backed Yes | 26c | 1,752$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +205.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe613…29b4backed No | 74c | 1,744$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x522a…d0d1backed No | 74c | 1,720$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2763…9993backed Yes | 26c | 1,715$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…35dfbacked Yes | 26c | 1,695$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +205.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0690…d64cbacked No | 74c | 1,668$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d83…539abacked Yes | 26c | 1,660$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +205.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f11…94eabacked No | 74c | 1,645$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69f2…60d2backed No | 74c | 1,643$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ad…8026backed Yes | 26c | 1,564$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +205.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e2…b21bbacked Yes | 26c | 1,554$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +205.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x697d…3afcbacked Yes | 26c | 1,551$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41fc…c8ffbacked Yes | 26c | 1,551$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc2…526dbacked No | 74c | 1,551$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x439a…751cbacked Yes | 26c | 1,547$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…9985backed Yes | 26c | 1,539$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba9…3798backed No | 74c | 1,536$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbebe…a203backed No | 74c | 1,532$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dbd…9184backed Yes | 26c | 1,513$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +205.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…cbf9backed No | 74c | 1,508$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7b…d1b6backed No | 74c | 1,502$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Yes | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6698…f1e5backed Yes | 26c | 1,478$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0b…1d98backed No | 74c | 1,474$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe032…d0a8backed Yes | 26c | 1,474$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +205.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9597…eccfbacked Yes | 26c | 1,473$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FC Heidenheim win on 2025-12-06?this page
- Will 1. FC Heidenheim vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?No won
- Will SC Freiburg win on 2025-12-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.