Bundesliga · resolved market
Will SC Freiburg win on 2025-12-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83da76f045aa9d0282dbad87d83e022d5def160f291bc2d726a8995a2f000378
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $125,578
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $125,074
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,578 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 26c | 40,000$10,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,450 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 75c | 37,851$28,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,650.64 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Yes | 54c | 15,891$8,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,581.37 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed No | 46c | 14,182$6,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,658.48 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 13,647$10,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,477.71 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 33c | 9,317$3,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,031.16 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,649.99 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Yes | 53c | 4,444$2,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,336.31 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 77c | 2,999$2,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.23 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…7457backed No | 51c | 2,700$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4823…8419backed Yes | 49c | 2,700$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…794cbacked Yes | 53c | 2,700$1,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,431.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d5…e1e2backed No | 47c | 2,700$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed No | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.96 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 14c | 2,143$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 46c | 2,025$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.82 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 48c | 1,670$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.67 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 17c | 1,433$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.11 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 75c | 1,024$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.84 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Yes | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 55c | 999.52$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.61 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 55c | 983.31$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.18 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37ef…56f2backed Yes | 54c | 750.88$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed No | 76c | 749.63$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.52 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 45c | 606.89$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.43 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 49c | 571$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.21 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 51c | 505$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.5 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed Yes | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 50c | 441$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.5 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked No | 47c | 440$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.2 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed Yes | 48c | 434.06$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.35 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd371…4478backed Yes | 35c | 426.11$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.14 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +1,204.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 50c | 415$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.55 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked No | 65c | 386.28$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.37 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 53c | 351$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.03 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 62c | 340.98$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.71 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Yes | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 54c | 296$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.84 | 243 | 22.2%54 W · 189 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed No | 49c | 276.84$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.06 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718a…5d86backed Yes | 78c | 257$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 77cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 47c | 251$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.21 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 48c | 232.1$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.35 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 53c | 223.29$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 204 | 36.3%74 W · 130 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 48c | 220$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.4 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 47c | 220$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.65 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf68…8682backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…4917backed No | 49c | 194.97$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.08 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4588…d206backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…815bbacked Yes | 51c | 180$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 46c | 176.02$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.97 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 52c | 168$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.36 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 53c | 164$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.33 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 65c | 156$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…5480backed No | 48c | 155.3$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +4.7wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 36c | 154.52$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.55 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 54c | 136.86$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.97 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25b0…94ebbacked Yes | 51c | 135.29$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0415…6576backed Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 57c | 129.7$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.93 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 47c | 114.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.75 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee44…0082backed Yes | 54c | 109.26$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Yes | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3602…b407backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed No | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b5…7ba6backed Yes | 51c | 98.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 51c | 88$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc41b…4fdfbacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…5cc8backed Yes | 50c | 77.62$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 46cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 53c | 77.36$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…710fbacked Yes | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae4…47bcbacked Yes | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 48c | 54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…0e62backed No | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Yes | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 49c | 45.47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 47c | 45.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 48c | 42.79$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92ab…2b99backed Yes | 48c | 41.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked No | 25c | 41.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f6…eafebacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed No | 78c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdb…4851backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xceda…e67bbacked Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.38per pick | 51cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x760d…deaabacked Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d3…08bcbacked Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf64…92bdbacked Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed No | 54c | 35.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed No | 49c | 34.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fe…cd9abacked Yes | 33c | 30.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Freiburg win on 2025-12-06?this page
- Will 1. FC Heidenheim vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?No won
- Will 1. FC Heidenheim win on 2025-12-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.